Solar radiation management attempts to offset
effects of greenhouse gases by causing Earth to absorb less solar radiation.
This is a representative concentration pathway that represents a forcing of 8.5 watts per meter squared that is used by climate modelers to represent the worst case atmospheric
effect of greenhouse gases by 2100.
Not exact matches
Marshalling convincing scientific data, they tell us that the environmental degradation caused
by massive pollution
of air water and land, threatens the very life
of earth — fast depletion
of non renewal resources, indeed
of species themselves, the thinning
of the ozone layer that exposes all living creatures to the danger
of radiation, the build up
of gases creating the
greenhouse effect, increasing erosion
by the sea — all these are brought out through their research.
While recognising that all countries are affected
by the
effects of climate change under «One Planet» but some are more vulnerable, the summit seeks for tangible collective action to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions.
But the reactive
gases emitted
by trees can also increase the amounts
of ozone and methane, both
greenhouse gases which have warming
effects on the climate.
It remains too soon to tell exactly how this climate system will work under changed conditions and other environmental factors — such as whether the cooling
effect of the soot generated
by industry and burning forests outweighs the warming
effect of greenhouse gases — which may play large roles.
Scientists can measure how much energy
greenhouse gases now add (roughly three watts per square meter), but what eludes precise definition is how much other factors — the response
of clouds to warming, the cooling role
of aerosols, the heat and
gas absorbed
by oceans, human transformation
of the landscape, even the natural variability
of solar strength — diminish or strengthen that
effect.
Jacobson said the sum
of warming caused
by all anthropogenic
greenhouse gases — CO2, methane, nitrous oxide, chlorofluorocarbons and some others — plus the warming caused
by black and brown carbon will yield a planetary warming
effect of 2 degrees Celsius over the 20 - year period simulated
by the computer.
Much
of the damage will have been done
by the year 2010, it says, and the rest
by 2070, when the predicted
effects of global warming from emissions
of greenhouse gases will have done their worst.
Indeed, the reduction in the emission
of precursors to polluting particles (sulphur dioxide) would diminish the concealing
effects of Chinese aerosols, and would speed up warming, unless this
effect were to be compensated elsewhere, for instance
by significantly reducing long - life
greenhouse gas emissions and «black carbon.»
But the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (and the California Air Resources Board) have noted that turning corn into ethanol can actually be a significant source
of greenhouse gas emissions and other unintended environmental
effects, largely
by driving the expansion
of agriculture and its attendant pollution — as evidenced
by previous studies published in Science.
In his new paper, Lovejoy applies the same approach to the 15 - year period after 1998, during which globally averaged temperatures remained high
by historical standards, but were somewhat below most predictions generated
by the complex computer models used
by scientists to estimate the
effects of greenhouse -
gas emissions.
The
effect of these small orbital changes was amplified
by positive feedbacks, such as changes in
greenhouse gas levels.
The European Union needs to cut
greenhouse gas emissions
by 50 percent from 1990 levels
by 2030 to avoid the worst
effects of climate change, according to a British government paper, likely to fuel debate on whether deeper cuts are affordable.
Kalnay and Cai developed a more precise measurement
by comparing one set
of long - term temperature data recorded from satellite and weather balloons, which detect the
effects of warming from
greenhouse gases, with another set recorded at ground level
by 1,982 weather stations across the continent.
Scientists knew about the warming
effects of greenhouse gases, but proponents
of global cooling argued that
greenhouse warming would be more than offset
by Earth's orbital changes.
David Campbell, Boiling Springs, N.C. Stormier weather I was confused
by the conclusion that «simulations suggest that the climate
effects of greenhouse gases will again reduce tropical storm frequency later this century» in «Cleaner air may bring on storms &
BURNING UP The heat radiated
by burning fossil fuels such as natural
gas, shown, is overshadowed within months
by the
greenhouse gas effect of the released carbon dioxide, new research shows.
The
effects of wind changes, which were found to potentially increase temperatures in the Southern Ocean between 660 feet and 2,300 feet below the surface
by 2 °C, or nearly 3.6 °F, are over and above the ocean warming that's being caused
by the heat - trapping
effects of greenhouse gases.
Temperature observations are sparse around the hostile continent, but scientists recently modeled the ocean current knock - on
effects of these wind changes, which have been caused
by ozone thinning and
by the buildup
of greenhouse gases.
Even allowing for the relative strength
of the
effects, CO2 is still responsible for two - thirds
of the additional warming caused
by all the
greenhouse gases emitted as a result
of human activity.
Frustrated
by the ongoing diplomatic stalemate, a number
of urban leaders have decided to take matters into their own hands, adopting solutions that already exist or inventing new ones for limiting
greenhouse gas emissions and preparing for the
effects of ongoing global warming.
Greenhouse gases are already having an accelerating
effect on sea level rise, but the impact has so far been masked
by the cataclysmic 1991 eruption
of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines, according to a new study led
by the...
Results: The least costly way to manage the heat - trapping
effect of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is to pursue every available option to reduce emissions, according to a study
by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, published in the journal Climatic Change.
Scientists have modelled the expected temperature drop over the 21st century due to waning solar activity — and they found that the change is likely to be dwarfed
by the much bigger warming
effect of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
Current state -
of - the - art climate models predict that increasing water vapor concentrations in warmer air will amplify the
greenhouse effect created
by anthropogenic
greenhouse gases while maintaining nearly constant relative humidity.
... The Earth's atmospheric methane concentration has increased
by about 150 % since 1750, and it accounts for 20 %
of the total radiative forcing from all
of the long - lived and globally mixed
greenhouse gases (these
gases don't include water vapor which is
by far the largest component
of the
greenhouse effect).
Carbon dioxide and sulfur
gases blown extremely high into the atmosphere would have the opposite
of a
greenhouse effect: surface temperatures plummeting
by more than 20 degrees Celsius, or about 40 degrees Fahrenheit.
Most studies consider a range
of anthropogenic forcing factors, including
greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosol forcing, sometimes directly including the indirect forcing
effect, such as Knutti et al. (2002, 2003), and sometimes indirectly accounting for the indirect
effect by using a wide range
of direct forcing (e.g., Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001; Forest et al., 2002, 2006).
Global warming in the modern era is being driven
by increasing concentrations
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, which leads to an enhanced
greenhouse effect.
The
effects of global warming are the ecological and social changes caused (directly or indirectly)
by human emissions
of greenhouse gases.
Such changes are driven in large part
by the
greenhouse effect, the trapping
of greenhouse gases in Earth's atmosphere and consequent warming
of the planet.
Much
of this radiation is returned to the space and the other part is absorbed
by the layer
of gas surrounding atmosphere causing the
greenhouse effect.
Global climate change will occur as a result
of global warming resulting from the
greenhouse effect caused
by the retention
of heat in the lower atmosphere
of the Earth caused
by the concentration
of gases of various kinds.
The warming trends in looking at numerous 100 year temperature plots from northern and high elevation climate stations... i.e. warming trends in annual mean and minimum temperature averages, winter monthly means and minimums and especially winter minimum temperatures and dewpoints... indicate climate warming that is being driven
by the accumulation
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere — no visible
effects from other things like changes in solar radiation or the levels
of cosmic rays.
Unfortunately for policymakers and the public, while the basic science pointing to a rising human influence on climate is clear, many
of the most important questions will remain surrounded
by deep complexity and uncertainty for a long time to come: the pace at which seas will rise, the extent
of warming from a certain buildup
of greenhouse gases (climate sensitivity), the impact on hurricanes, the particular
effects in particular places (what global warming means for Addis Ababa or Atlanta).
Temperature
effects on the absorption
of IR
by greenhouse gasses won't help you, as they are pretty tiny over the range
of terrestrial temperatures.
We analyzed the
effect of a medium - high
greenhouse gas emissions scenario (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios A2 in IPCC 2000) and included updated projections
of sea - level rise based on work
by Rahmstorf (Science 315 (5810): 368, 2007).
Research
by an international team
of scientists recently published in the journal Geophysical Research Letters says that the cooling
effect of aerosols is so large that it has masked as much as half
of the warming
effect from
greenhouse gases.
Re «Estimates
of the drivers
of global temperature change in the ice ages show that the changes in
greenhouse gases (CO2, methane and nitrous oxide) made up about a third
of the
effect, amplifying the ice sheet changes
by about 50 % (Köhler et al, 2010).»
In a world
of declining American influence, according to the article, the assessment foresees unavoidable social disruption, particularly in developing countries, from the
effects of climate shifts driven
by accumulating
greenhouse gases.
Yes, the cause and
effect relationship between the
greenhouse gas effect and global temperature has been established
by the laws
of physics, just as these other cause and
effect relationships have been established
by the laws
of physics.
Just like the predictions then
of doomsday coming in form
of «nuclear winter», nobody can escape being exposed today to the projection
of the ominous
effects of greenhouse gases proclaimed
by the «experts», the news media, politicians and,
of course, Hollywood.
By the proper use
of the terms «trend» and «correlation», we do in fact have the established physics that shows the cause and
effect relationship
of greenhouse gases and heat in many observed correlations in the laboratories and in the universe — and this includes Venus.
However, the AGW side is not much better, with articles like this that basically say we're all doomed unless «emissions
of greenhouse gases are reduced
by 60 % over the next 10 years» (for 2 deg C rise, and the chance
of avoiding each further 1 deg C rise is given as «poor» due to cascading
effects) which isn't going to happen, becuase, well, China.
The loss
of energy to space, measured
by Wielicki e.a. in the past 15 years, is
of near the same magnitude as what the theoretical increase in
greenhouse effect is from the extra
greenhouse gases since the beginning
of the industrial revolution.
As detailed in section V
of this notice, it is widely recognized that
greenhouse gases (GHGs) have a climatic warming
effect by trapping heat in the atmosphere that would otherwise escape to space.
The proportion
of forcing to CO2 amount eventually becomes linear as the amount
of CO2 goes to zero — this is nothing special; any continuous smooth function can be approximated
by a straight line over a sufficiently short interval; adding a sufficiently small amount
of any
greenhouse gas will have about half the
effect as adding twice as much.
As levels fell in the atmosphere, their cooling
effect was soon outweighed
by the warming
effect of the steadily rising levels
of greenhouse gases.»
It's clear, too, that many ecosystems are already feeling the
effects of warming driven substantially
by the buildup
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, and more is coming.