In turn, the IPCC argues there are various other positive feedbacks that multiply
the effect of the additional warming from the CO2.
Not exact matches
If the British feasibility tests are successful, the balloon - and - hose contraption could be used to inject
additional particles into the stratosphere, thereby reflecting more
of the sun's energy back into space, and hopefully curbing some
of the
effects of global
warming.
The
additional warming potential is a few watts per square metre
of the Earth's surface, or about double the heating
effect of all human energy use.
As it does, it could release tons
of additional methane gas, which has 20 times the greenhouse
effect of carbon dioxide, possibly increasing the rate
of global
warming.
Schlesinger and Ramankutty reach broadly similar conclusions, but they also point out that even though greenhouse gases now dominate global
warming, if part
of the
warming during this century is indeed due to solar changes, the
additional greenhouse
effect may be weaker than was previously thought (Nature, vol 360, p 330).
However, a new University
of Minnesota study with more than 1,000 young trees has found that plants also adjust — or acclimate — to a
warmer climate and may release only one - fifth as much
additional carbon dioxide than scientists previously believed, The study, published today in the journal Nature, is based on a five - year project, known as «B4Warmed,» that simulated the
effects of climate change on 10 boreal and temperate tree species growing in an open - air setting in 48 plots in two forests in northern Minnesota.
Even allowing for the relative strength
of the
effects, CO2 is still responsible for two - thirds
of the
additional warming caused by all the greenhouse gases emitted as a result
of human activity.
For global
warming scenarios,
additional forcing comes into play: surface
warming and enhanced high - latitude precipitation, which will also reduce density
of northern surface waters (an
effect which alone has shut down deep water formation in some model experiments, e.g. Manabe and Stouffer 1993, 1994).
My point is that I could easily see how the entire system in question could be
warming, but because
of transient
effects, like weather patterns, the
additional heat energy could easily wind up not where we're measuring it for months or even years at a time.
That is no
additional effect, but part
of the mechanism by which El Niño years are
warm and La Niña years are cold at the Earth's surface.
Do you agree that when the heating
effect of extra CO2 is due almost exclusively to what it itself absorbs from outside, but the cooling
effect entails an ability to dissipate heat from the
additional source, cooling can now outweigh
warming?
(I think that an anomalously
warm ocean surface heated from below would lead to more evaporation, and the
additional water vapor would give a positive greenhouse
effect that would partially offset the
effect of a drop in greenhouse gas concentrations.)
Some fraction
of the increase in upward flux at TRPP can also be transferred to the stratosphere, requiring it to
warm again (if that is a small fraction, or if the fraction
of that which is transferred to the TRPP flux again is small), then the resulting iteration
of additional warming will converge relative quickly so that this feedback is a small
effect.
According to the company's SEC filings, food price increases during 2013 have made them more wary
of the
effects of global
warming on their food, and the company expects there to be «
additional pricing pressures on some
of those ingredients, including avocados, beef, dairy and chicken during 2014.»
We know that the
warming effect of atmospheric carbon dioxide is logarithmic (meaning each
additional unit has less
effect than the one preceding) and estimates
of warming due to increased carbon dioxide since the Industrial Revolution are really quite small.
You seem to be leaving out the ocean temperature data, as
additional evidence for global
warming independent
of the urban heating
effect: http://www.john-daly.com/mobydick/oceans.htm
His conclusion was that the CO2 forcing is unquestionably logarithmic, so that each
additional molecule we emit has less forcing and
warming effect than its predecessors; that the precise value
of the coefficient in the CO2 forcing function, which the IPCC has already reduced by 15 %, can not be determined; and that, all things considered, 1 K per doubling was probably in the right ball - park.
He has stated that
additional CO2 should have a small
effect on temperatures but I have not heard
of him endorsing the illogical idea
of «back radiation» (to which I believe you refer) as a
warming process in the atmosphere.
There is plenty
of doubt about how much
additional warming our enhancement
of the greenhouse
effect may cause, but there is no legitimate doubt about the fact
of the greenhouse
effect.
The required acceleration is most unlikely because each
additional molecule
of CO2 has less
warming effect than its predecessor, and because...
Thawing permafrost also delivers organic - rich soils to lake bottoms, where decomposition in the absence
of oxygen releases
additional methane.116 Extensive wildfires also release carbon that contributes to climate
warming.107, 117,118 The capacity
of the Yukon River Basin in Alaska and adjacent Canada to store carbon has been substantially weakened since the 1960s by the combination
of warming and thawing
of permafrost and by increased wildfire.119 Expansion
of tall shrubs and trees into tundra makes the surface darker and rougher, increasing absorption
of the sun's energy and further contributing to
warming.120 This
warming is likely stronger than the potential cooling
effects of increased carbon dioxide uptake associated with tree and shrub expansion.121 The shorter snow - covered seasons in Alaska further increase energy absorption by the land surface, an
effect only slightly offset by the reduced energy absorption
of highly reflective post-fire snow - covered landscapes.121 This spectrum
of changes in Alaskan and other high - latitude terrestrial ecosystems jeopardizes efforts by society to use ecosystem carbon management to offset fossil fuel emissions.94, 95,96
The currently observed near - surface
warming over nearly the entire globe is already considered by a large fraction
of our society to be result
of this
additional greenhouse
effect.
For one thing the two negative forcings cancel out much or most
of the
additional warming from the atmospheric CO2 and for another the atmospheric
warming effect is miniscule in relation to the oceanic
warming effect.
Over the last ten years, one - fourth
of human - emissions
of carbon dioxide as well as 90 percent
of additional warming due to the greenhouse
effect have been absorbed by the oceans.
To avoid the worst
effects of global
warming, there is broad scientific agreement that we must limit
additional warming to no more than 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels.
The social cost
of carbon is the discounted monetary value
of future climate change damages due to
additional CO2 emissions (for example, the costs
of adverse agricultural
effects, protecting against rising sea levels, health impacts, species loss, risks
of extreme
warming scenarios, and so on).
[As a caveat, it is
of course reasonable to postulate the relative risk / rewards involved in all feedbacks and
warming / cooling knock - on
effects for the future,
additional sea - level rise predicated on deep ocean warmth perhaps being one
of them.
If there was an atmosphere, but one made up
of, say, nitrogen only with no greenhouse
effect, then the Moon STILL be simple, with a small
additional damping
effect, and no
additional warming overall.
In order to limit global
warming to 2 °C and avoid the worst
effects of climate change, the world needs to invest an
additional $ 36 trillion in clean energy, an average
of $ 1 trillion per year for the next 36 years.
These
effects combined with an estimated decrease in electricity demand by 2 % due to
warmer temperatures, could provide an
additional 11 TWh
of annual energy.
I shot the portraits above in a black stairwell with overhead light; while both look great, the Stage Light
effect adds an
additional layer
of contextual lighting on the subject's face, giving it a
warmer and less washed out look.