The continent's policies most likely have the biggest
effect on aerosol - related climate change.
To test
their effect on aerosol nucleation, Kirkby's team fired beams similar to cosmic rays through the chamber and found it increased nucleation between 2 and 10 times.
My best guess from browsing Chapter 8 of the Physical Science Basis is that given the high uncertainty in the indirect
effect on aerosols, the decision was to report GWPs that don't include these effects.
Probably not the most relevant one, though, given that the main point of the Shindell et al paper was methane's indirect
effect on aerosols.
Obviously this could have
an effect on aerosols, sulphur, co2 and warming into the sea, which I had previously understood to be trivial.
Not exact matches
Their
aerosol paths and
effects on surface temperatures could be modeled using Pinatubo guidelines.
Even without the complicating
effects of
aerosols, things aren't that simple
on Earth.
The small
aerosols need to grow nearly a million times in mass in order to have an
effect on clouds.
In this paper, UCR and Forest Service researchers teamed up to explore a previously unstudied aspect of nitrogen saturation: its
effect on the gases and
aerosols released during burning of forest fuels from an area experiencing nitrogen saturation.
Aerosols can also have big
effects on clouds, for instance making them brighter so that they reflect more sunlight back into space.
Besides SSCE, scientists have also been investigating stratospheric sulfur injections — firing sun - reflecting
aerosols into the air, similar to the cooling
effect after a volcanic eruption — and cirrus cloud thinning, where you thin the top level of clouds, which have a warming
effect on the planet.
«It is widely understood that
aerosols have a net cooling
effect on climate, counteracting the warming caused by greenhouse gases.
Overall, improving our understanding of one of the largest natural
aerosol sources is critical if we are to understand the
effects of human - made
aerosols on climate,» says Matt Salter.
«Tiny particles have outsize impact
on storm clouds, precipitation: Amazon rainforest provides a unique natural lab to study
effects of
aerosols.»
«We've shown that under clean and humid conditions, like those that exist over the ocean and some land in the tropics, tiny
aerosols have a big impact
on weather and climate and can intensify storms a great deal,» said Fan, an expert
on the
effects of pollution
on storms and weather.
Several symposia have a local focus, including sessions
on ecology and education in San Diego's Mission Bay Park and the causes and
effects of
aerosol particles in San Diego's atmosphere.
A deeper understanding of dust
aerosols and their
effects on precipitation could also be used to boost precipitation artificially, Prather said.
Despite its smaller ash cloud, El Chichn emitted more than 40 times the volume of sulfur - rich gases produced by Mt. St. Helens, which revealed that the formation of atmospheric sulfur
aerosols has a more substantial
effect on global temperatures than simply the volume of ash produced during an eruption.
Forster's chapter also reports
on another important uncertainty: the cooling
effect of smoke and other
aerosols, which some argued almost negated the warming
effect of greenhouse gases in the short term.
The theory of dangerous climate change is based not just
on carbon dioxide warming but
on positive and negative feedback
effects from water vapor and phenomena such as clouds and airborne
aerosols from coal burning.
The information could also feed into climate models to help understand the
effects of clouds and
aerosols on Earth's energy balance.
Scientists believe that
aerosols exert an influence
on climate roughly equal to that of greenhouse gases, but the current estimate of
aerosols» climate
effect carries a large margin of error.
«There is a link between the chemistry that goes
on in this type of air motion and the subsequent
effects on the trace gases and
aerosols in the atmosphere that ultimately impact climate.»
The study also showed that the
effect was much larger
on a regional scale, counteracting possibly up to 30 % of warming in more rural, forested areas where anthropogenic emissions of
aerosols were much lower in comparison to the natural
aerosols.
Yet there is no doubt that research into atmospheric
aerosols is becoming increasingly important due to the
effects that they can have
on the global temperature of Earth, given that solar radiation is the main source of energy for Earth - Atmosphere system.
However, he says, «
Aerosol effects on climate are one of the main uncertainties in climate models.
«Scientists have talked about Arctic melting and albedo decrease for nearly 50 years,» said Ramanathan, a distinguished professor of climate and atmospheric sciences at Scripps who has previously conducted similar research
on the global dimming
effects of
aerosols.
At least over the oceans, the pre-industrial cloud conditions would have been considerably different from those of today; this implies that the
aerosols we have been adding to the atmosphere may have had a significant
effect on global patterns of cloud formation and rain.
What's more, according to Tim Bates of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), «there's a very wide range of sizes [for
aerosol particles], and the
effect that the particle is going to have
on climate is going to be very dependent
on its size, which makes it trickier.»
When analyzed together with the
aerosol loading over the same area at the same time, the outcome, says Koren, was a «textbook demonstration of the invigoration
effect» of added
aerosols on clouds.
The latter type of sensors, Robock notes, could directly measure the size distribution of
aerosols, which could help researchers better model their
effects on climate.
The cooling
effect of
aerosols can partly offset global warming
on a short - term basis, but many are made of organic material that comes from sources that scientists don't fully understand, said Joost de Gouw, a research physicist at NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory in Boulder, Colo., who is unaffiliated with the studies.
He explained that the intermediates turn certain greenhouse gases into
aerosols, which help form clouds that have a net cooling
effect on the planet.
Various
aerosols also rise up in the atmosphere, but their net
effect on global warming or cooling is still uncertain, as some
aerosols reflect sunlight away from Earth, and others, in contrast, trap warmth in the atmosphere.
This mission is fulfilled by operating atmospheric observatories around the world that collect massive amounts of atmospheric measurements to provide data products that help scientists study the
effects and interactions of clouds and
aerosols and their impact
on the earth's energy balance.
One just included the effective influence
on temperatures from manmade forces (including greenhouse gases and
aerosols, which tend to have a cooling
effect), while the second included both manmade and natural ones (including volcanic activity and solar radiation).
Subsequently we will investigate the
effects of these vapours
on the nucleation and growth of
aerosols.
I disagree with Leis's claim that climate models do not good enough information
on aerosol effects.
What's next: The team is working to gather additional field data and perform further simulations to accurately address
aerosol effects on clouds.
This is one of the best examples of why
aerosol mixing state is so important for modeling the
effect of
aerosols on climate.
Now if this was the 1980s they might have had a point, but the fact that
aerosols are an important climate forcing, have a net cooling
effect on climate and, in part, arise from the same industrial activities that produce greenhouse gases, has been part of mainstream science for 30 years.
I guess I am surprised that with better understanding of the importance of water vapor feedback, sulfate
aerosols, black carbon
aerosols, more rapid than expected declines in sea ice and attendant decreases in albedo,
effects of the deposition of soot and dust
on snow and ice decreasing albedo, and a recognition of the importance of GHGs that were probably not considered 30 years ago, that the sensitivity has changed so little over time.
In future work, the team will tackle the
aerosol effects on precipitation.
The multi-scale
aerosol - climate model, an extension of a multi-scale modeling framework, examined specific
aerosol - cloud interactions and their
effects on the Earth's energy budget, one of the toughest climate forecasting problems.
Sally, who was nominated by Dr. Beat Schmid, Associate Director, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division, was honored for her exceptional contribution in the field of atmospheric science, particularly in her efforts to improve understanding of the radiative
effect of clouds and
aerosols on the Earth's atmosphere and their representation in climate models.
Microphysical
effects determine macrophysical response for
aerosol impacts
on deep convective clouds, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, Early Edition online the week of November 11 - 15, 2013, DOI: 10.1073 / pnas.1316830110.
Comparisons show a lesser
effect on the Earth's energy budget, considering the additional burden of human - caused
aerosols.
This mis - representation and can have significant ramifications for estimating the direct and indirect
effects of
aerosols on climate.
Fascinatingly, the book from the mid-70s said that there was one climate scientist — Wally Broecker - who predicted that the greenhouse warming was
on the verge of overtaking the
aerosol cooling
effects and that by the year 2000 the planet would be warmer than it had been in 1000 years.
CLOUD is designed to understand how new
aerosol particles form and grow in the atmosphere, and their
effect on clouds and climate.