You suggest I'm saying «you appear to be saying that (for some reason) the increase in temperature of the top few microns due to a (hypothetical) increase in DLR will have zero
effect on the convection from below.»
Some had regions of minimum warming in the North Atlantic and Ross Sea due to positive feedbacks: a local
effect on convection in the Ross Sea and a non-local impact on the meridional circulation in the North Atlantic.
Earlier I pointed out that it could / should be better to specifically block solar IR, or in particular those wavelengths absorbed by H2O vapor, other gases and clouds, in the troposphere, rather than block all solar wavelengths indiscriminately (because selective shading could reduce
the effect on convection and precipitation — caveats about cloud and H2O distribution... etc.).
However, model physics process representations that are supposed to account for the eddy moisture transport
effects on convection significantly underestimate them compared to simulations that explicitly resolved eddy moisture transport without using convective representations.
Not exact matches
By comparison, conventional saunas must rely only
on indirect means of heat: first,
on convection (air currents) and then, conduction (direct contact of hot air with the skin) to produce its heating
effect.
Effect of different air / steam
convection cooking methods
on turkey breast meat: Physical characterization, water status and sensory properties.
On closer examination, however, this disagreement appears to be the recorded part of a sometimes heated dialogue between experts in a rapidly developing field as they try out a new way of parameterizing some part of the problem (such as the
effects of moist
convection), or as they parameterize a previously specified quantity (such as snow cover).
So really it's the gain of the temperature -
convection feedback that's at stake, and if it were high enough to fully offset all radiative
effects on temperature, there'd be some obvious symptoms — low natural variability and glacial cycles perfectly correlated with insolation perhaps.
The only process that one could argue is minimally
effected by CO2 is — the RATE of heat transfer from the Earth's surface — but with convective / conductive energy / mass transfer as the controlling mechanism — it would be immediately acted
on by increased
convection anyway — because Earth isn't surrounded by a glass bowl now is it — NO — just the cold depths of space!
The mechanism by which the
effect of oceanic variability over time is transferred to the atmosphere involves evaporation, conduction,
convection, clouds and rainfall the significance of which has to date been almost entirely ignored due to the absence of the necessary data especially as regards the
effect of cloudiness changes
on global albedo and thus the amount of solar energy able to enter the oceans.
Increased evaporation and
convection must have some
effect on the global air circulation.
The impossible AGWSF Greenhouse
Effect world does not have any atmosphere at all, it goes straight from the surface to its imagined empty space with the imaginary ideal gases without mass zipping around at great speeds miles apart from each other, so it has no
convection because it has no real gas for gravity to work
on.
The same principle explains why a blanket or thick jacket keeps you warm
on a cold day better than a thin one (assuming no wind, which adds the cooling
effect of
convection to that of radiation).
Since the poles are
on the central cylinder of thermal
convection (here Dr. Pratt may have misunderstood Hide and Dickey work, to which I've been referring in my posts for some time now, widely discussed
on the web with another researcher of the «LOD - climate - solar
effects» Paul Vaughan), it takes about 15 years for disturbances to propagate to the equatorial cylinder of thermal circulation, etc....
AGWSF's Greenhouse
Effect doesn't have
convection because it doesn't have real gases, it has substituted the imaginary ideal gas without properties and processes, but our real Earth's atmosphere does have
convection — the heavy ocean of real fluid gas oxygen and nitrogen weighing a ton
on our shoulders, a stone per square inch, acts like a blanket around the Earth stopping the heat escaping, compare with the Moon which has extreme swings of temperature.
We have the gravito thermal
effect acting in water exactly (more or less) contrary to its
effect in gas, even though water is capable of
convection, advection and so
on.
So an electric heater (or a light) bulb essentially has an infinite thermal diffusivity and rock has a lower (i.e. slower) thermal diffusivity than any gases in the atmosphere (even without considering
convection) so there is no thermal insulator
effect going
on in the atmosphere, as you correctly point out; «See them GHG's over there, they AI N'T NO INSULATOR....
In discussion with Roy Spencer a year or so ago he agreed that this plus plain old thermal
convection was very important, but it seems that everyone is competing
on the radiative
effects, last I looked.
Your accusation of «ignorance»
on my part about the «buffering»
effects of a thermalized air mass is as amusingly misplaced as your ideas about what
convection does throughout the diurnal cycle.
The «unnatural» warming so far seen is however trended strongly to the alterations to the planetary surface by Humanity over the past 400 years and the rebalance towards greater kinetic induction (in its cumulative
effect) is now producing observable alterations not only to the Land Surface median Temperature, but to the Ocean (vie conduction /
convection) and a still unconfirmed claim of a small overall rise in Median Atmospheric Temperature, which if «true» would place the Planetary Biosphere
on the «Human Population Plot» with regard to «warming».
Over large areas the addition of so much water vapor does have regional
effects on temp,
convection and precip.
It is essentially the result of a balance between (a) the stabilizing
effect of upward heat transport in moist and dry
convection on both small and large scales and (b), the destabilizing
effect of radiative transfer.
The real explanation for the spread of scent of course is basic
convection in a fluid medium, with the different weights and
effects of the actual scent molecules which is alchohol and water, the alchohol having a triggering
effect on water at the surface making it even lighter than air than it usually evaporates.
(This is also the reason, why the warming of real greenhouses is based essentially
on stopping
convection rather than
on the radiative greenhouse
effect, which is in them too weak to observe.)
Clouds and condensation are the balancing outgoing delivery mechanism of heat
on this planet, and overwhelm the radiative
effect with
convection, and as a bonus also block incoming radiation, especially in the tropics, leading to a natural, self regulating thermostat
effect.
The non-radiative
effects (
convection) and phase changes carry more heat into the upper atmosphere where there is a greater chance for energy to be radiated directly to space, less chance of radiative interaction with molecules
on the way out.
% DLR and solar forcing
on the ocean % to investigate the impact if DLR does and doesn't heat the ocean % this version to look at solar heating below the surface and its
effect % % v2 considers
convection if temperature inversion occurs % v3 looks at heat flows to compare changing heat flow for changing DLR % and changing solar % also tries to improve the algorithm (v3.2) by reducing the vector to % a manageable size and just retaining hourly figures instead of every % second.
This runs to ~ 90 pages, the first 40 of which are devoted to proving that real greenhouses rely
on cutting off
convection rather than differential radiation
effects!
The physics that must be included to investigate the moist greenhouse is principally: (i) accurate radiation incorporating the spectral variation of gaseous absorption in both the solar radiation and thermal emission spectral regions, (ii) atmospheric dynamics and
convection with no specifications favouring artificial atmospheric boundaries, such as between a troposphere and stratosphere, (iii) realistic water vapour physics, including its
effect on atmospheric mass and surface pressure, and (iv) cloud properties that respond realistically to climate change.
Considering them as two different black bodies, based
on observation of their combined
effect at the TOA without consideration of lapse rate,
convection and condensation seems unlikely to provide an accurate answer.
The forcing aspect of the indirect
effect at the top of the atmosphere is discussed in Chapter 2, while the processes that involve feedbacks or interactions, like the «cloud lifetime
effect» [6], the «semi-direct
effect» and aerosol impacts
on the large - scale circulation,
convection, the biosphere through nutrient supply and the carbon cycle, are discussed here.
Present global climate models (GCMs) supersede the old simple conceptual models
on the greenhouse
effect, some of which include radiative -
convection and heat balance models discussed over the period 1890 — 1980 (Arrhenius 1896; Hulburt 1931; Charney et al. 1979; Schneider and Dickinson 1974; North 1975; Wang WC and Stone P 1980).
The real greenhouse
effect, no quotes needed
on that, would raise the temperature of earth significantly more than 33C if it was not for
convection.
We have already seen in this marathon with the 2 N's that without
convection the greenhouse
effect would be much larger
on Earth; that being the case, given that Mars has an atmosphere almost entirely composed of the greenhouse gas CO2 and no
convection, why does it have equivalent Tave and Teff if the greenhouse
effect works as Arthur Smith describes?
Which is basically what I said: «The real greenhouse
effect, no quotes needed
on that, would raise the temperature of earth significantly more than 33C if it was not for
convection.
The second issue is far more complex, namely the inter-relationship with other gases in the atmosphere and what
effect it may have
on the rate of
convection at various altitudes and / or whether
convection effectively outstrips any «heat trapping»
effect of CO2 carrying the warmer air away and upwards to the upper atmosphere where the «heat» is radiated to space.