The inclusion of the very warm 1998 El Nino year at the end (or start) of either of those two periods only has a significant
effect on the trend over the shorter period.
Now, where GG's graph does have shortcomings is that it does not account for the timeframe of adjustments, but rather it looks at the net
effect on the trend over the full period of measurements for each individual station.
Not exact matches
It is, in particular, the second of evangelicalism's two tenets, i. e., Biblical authority, that sets evangelicals off from their fellow Christians.8
Over against those wanting to make tradition co-normative with Scripture; over against those wanting to update Christianity by conforming it to the current philosophical trends; over against those who view Biblical authority selectively and dissent from what they find unreasonable; over against those who would understand Biblical authority primarily in terms of its writers» religious sensitivity or their proximity to the primal originating events of the faith; over against those who would consider Biblical authority subjectively, stressing the effect on the reader, not the quality of the source — over against all these, evangelicals believe the Biblical text as written to be totally authoritative in all that it affi
Over against those wanting to make tradition co-normative with Scripture;
over against those wanting to update Christianity by conforming it to the current philosophical trends; over against those who view Biblical authority selectively and dissent from what they find unreasonable; over against those who would understand Biblical authority primarily in terms of its writers» religious sensitivity or their proximity to the primal originating events of the faith; over against those who would consider Biblical authority subjectively, stressing the effect on the reader, not the quality of the source — over against all these, evangelicals believe the Biblical text as written to be totally authoritative in all that it affi
over against those wanting to update Christianity by conforming it to the current philosophical
trends;
over against those who view Biblical authority selectively and dissent from what they find unreasonable; over against those who would understand Biblical authority primarily in terms of its writers» religious sensitivity or their proximity to the primal originating events of the faith; over against those who would consider Biblical authority subjectively, stressing the effect on the reader, not the quality of the source — over against all these, evangelicals believe the Biblical text as written to be totally authoritative in all that it affi
over against those who view Biblical authority selectively and dissent from what they find unreasonable;
over against those who would understand Biblical authority primarily in terms of its writers» religious sensitivity or their proximity to the primal originating events of the faith; over against those who would consider Biblical authority subjectively, stressing the effect on the reader, not the quality of the source — over against all these, evangelicals believe the Biblical text as written to be totally authoritative in all that it affi
over against those who would understand Biblical authority primarily in terms of its writers» religious sensitivity or their proximity to the primal originating events of the faith;
over against those who would consider Biblical authority subjectively, stressing the effect on the reader, not the quality of the source — over against all these, evangelicals believe the Biblical text as written to be totally authoritative in all that it affi
over against those who would consider Biblical authority subjectively, stressing the
effect on the reader, not the quality of the source —
over against all these, evangelicals believe the Biblical text as written to be totally authoritative in all that it affi
over against all these, evangelicals believe the Biblical text as written to be totally authoritative in all that it affirms.
Although a significant natural influence
on weather patterns, the temperature
effects of the cycle smooth out
over years and decades, and aren't linked to the overall warming
trend.
Climate impacts research is in its infancy compared to science
on the physical climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and
effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data
over timescales and regions long and large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful
trends from their analysis.
Functions The teacher leader: a) Collaborates with colleagues and school administrators to plan professional learning that is team - based, job - embedded, sustained
over time, aligned with content standards, and linked to school / district improvement goals; b) Uses information about adult learning to respond to the diverse learning needs of colleagues by identifying, promoting, and facilitating varied and differentiated professional learning; c) Facilitates professional learning among colleagues; d) Identifies and uses appropriate technologies to promote collaborative and differentiated professional learning; e) Works with colleagues to collect, analyze, and disseminate data related to the quality of professional learning and its
effect on teaching and student learning; f) Advocates for sufficient preparation, time, and support for colleagues to work in teams to engage in job - embedded professional learning; g) Provides constructive feedback to colleagues to strengthen teaching practice and improve student learning; and h) Uses information about emerging education, economic, and social
trends in planning and facilitating professional learning.
With the combination of xDrive and Dynamic Perforance Control, the X6 is able counteracting even the slightest
trend to
over - or under - steer right from the start at the earliest conceivable point with the positive
effects on the driver's sense of driving dynamics.
When analyzing interest coverage
trend over several accounting periods, it is important to consider significant changes in the level of borrowings since the full extent of such changes
on future interest cover may not be entirely revealed due to the
effect of additional borrowings or repayments of loans close to end of accounting periods.
Furthermore, to determine with confidence the
effects of any spay / neuter program
on the animal population, which naturally fluctuates somewhat from year to year, population
trends must be examined
over a period sufficiently long to absorb those natural fluctuations.
There are quite a few reasons to believe that the surface temperature record — which shows a warming of approximately 0.6 ° -0.8 °C
over the last century (depending
on precisely how the warming
trend is defined)-- is essentially uncontaminated by the
effects of urban growth and the Urban Heat Island (UHI)
effect.
Although a significant natural influence
on interannual weather, the temperature
effects of the cycle smooth out
over years and decades, and aren't linked to the overall warming
trend.
with respect to the direct
effect of the sun
on arctic meltinc, i failed to mention that sunspot activity has been directly correlated to warming and cooling
trends over the course of geohistory.
Of course one can characterize the
trend beyond 1989, but does such a characterization represent a description of «climate», based
on the consensus that climate ought to consist of roughly equally weighted
effect of the weather
over at least 25 or 30 years?
Again, no significant
trend of the global averaged Gaa [atmospheric greenhouse
effect] is found from 2003 to 2014 (Fig. 2) because the enhanced warming
effect over the western tropical Pacific is largely counteracted by the weakened warming influence
on the central tropical Pacific.
At the risk of oversimplifying, the
effects of groundwater storage can be differentiated between shallow - aquifer
effects that modulate global sea level
on year to year and decade to decade timeframes, versus deep aquifer
effects that modulate sea level
trends over centuries and millennia.
Contrary to what Peter Taylor says in his book, it is well known that sulphate aerosols created in the atmosphere from fossil fuel combustion were a major influence
on the small cooling
trend from 1940, although uncertainties remain
over the scale of the
effect.
And lets say we do figure out how to control the temp
trend (at climate level), what
effect will THAT have
on the rest of the climate
over the following 25 — 100 years?
Obviously, there is still considerable confusion
over what
effect (if any) the poor station siting problem has had
on estimates of U.S. temperature
trends.
The «unnatural» warming so far seen is however
trended strongly to the alterations to the planetary surface by Humanity
over the past 400 years and the rebalance towards greater kinetic induction (in its cumulative
effect) is now producing observable alterations not only to the Land Surface median Temperature, but to the Ocean (vie conduction / convection) and a still unconfirmed claim of a small overall rise in Median Atmospheric Temperature, which if «true» would place the Planetary Biosphere
on the «Human Population Plot» with regard to «warming».
Remember that Parker has published
trends for 290 stations
over 50 years from which he concludes, and I assume Neal King agrees, means we have no UHI
effect «
on average»
over tose stations and time period.
Actually Fielding's use of that graph is quite informative of how denialist arguments are framed — the selected bit of a selected graph (and don't mention the fastest warming region
on the planet being left out of that data set), or the complete passing
over of short term variability vs longer term
trends, or the other measures and indicators of climate change from ocean heat content and sea levels to changes in ice sheets and minimum sea ice levels, or the passing
over of issues like lag time between emissions and
effects on temperatures... etc..
«Happer focuses
on the
effects of El Nino to cause the two large spikes, but he does not acknowledge the underlying upward
trend that you can see even if you remove the two El Ninos, and which is more apparent
over the longer record -LSB-...]»
If some impossibly resilient La Niña would last
over 10 or 15 years then it would have no
effect at all
on the underlying
trend over that whole period.
Conversely, bias corrections which vary
over time can have a big
effect on trends.
Bias corrections which are stable
over time will have a big
effect on time averages, but no
effect on trends.
He has also shown the
effect of hurricanes of short duration, less than two or four days,
on the
trend of hurricanes
over the past century.
Although the sunspot
effect may very well be minimal
over 100 years or so the cumulative
effect over 500 years does seem capable of providing a background temperature
trend that eventually does rank significantly as compared to ENSO
on its own.
It would have no
effect at all
on the
trends over the period, of course, but it would lead to less complaining about distant past temperatures changing at the expense of more present temperatures changing..
In other words the adjustments don't have that much
effect on the warming / cooling
trends over and above those evident in the raw data.
Climate impacts research is in its infancy compared to science
on the physical climate, for a number of reasons: attributing cause and
effect isn't easy; neither is collecting data
over timescales and regions long and large enough such that it's possible to draw any meaningful
trends from their analysis.
He was right about so many things — the background nineteenth - century CO2 concentration level and its increase
over the twentieth century; the importance of high - quality temperature data and the warming
trend observed
over much of his lifetime; the infrared spectroscopy of CO2 and its
effect on «sky radiation»; and more.
The trouble with the method is that a random walk including year to year variation and longer term variations, all equally likely to move up as down) superimposed
on a long - term
trend would not be distinguishable from a random walk including various longer - run
trends that are also pure random walks but involve low - frequency components («
trends», in
effect) running
over longer periods as well as «mere» year to year variation.