Although
the effects of a trade war would be overall substantial, we do see a lot of variance in our calculations.
Countries whose export bundle is concentrated in product where no country has substantial leverage may likely be spared from the worst
effects of a trade war.
The effects of a trade war would be felt far beyond those countries who are directly involved.
US companies continue to grow earnings, but it remains to be seen if the potential negative
effects of a trade war with China will negate the generally positive net impact of the tax cuts.
Not exact matches
While the
effects of a possible
trade war are still just in the realm
of possibilities and analysts are waiting for all the rhetoric dust to settle, if
trade and economic growth were to weaken, they could affect the pace
of oil demand growth.
«I think at the end
of the day that virtually all
of the «
trade war»
effects will be negotiated away and the true economic impact on industries as well as specific companies will be very small, so I haven't factored the impact
of any
trade war considerations into my portfolio,» she said.
Besides touching off a
trade war with other countries, a bump in costs — even if only for certain sectors
of the economy, like automotive companies — could have ripple
effects on the economy overall.
«
Trade wars create a lot
of casualties among innocent bystanders, and there are direct order
effects as well as second and third - order
effects.»
Foxconn's US investment provides some insulation for Apple from the worst
effects of a U.S. - China
trade war.
Investors are concerned about the negative implications
of a potential
trade war, the
effect of privacy breaches at social media companies, and the magnitude
of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate increases in 2018.
The moves add to fears
of escalating
trade wars and the
effects they could have on the global economy.
A partial but not complete list
of worries includes: China melt down, Yuan reevaluation after
effects or Taiwan action, global biomedical epidemics, e.g. Avian Flu, or bioterrorism outbreaks,
trade wars (China, EU), major hedge fund bankruptcies, a PBGC (Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.) shortfall crisis, major junk bond or emerging market bond default, a bank derivative blowup, Fannie Mae issues plus possible assorted natural disasters.
A string
of such retaliatory measures could lead to a
trade war, which would likely have damaging
effects in the US and across the globe.
Since World
War II, developed countries, especially the U.S., have championed
trade liberalization, having learned from the ill
effects of trade protectionism during the interwar years.
Since both US and EU are huge economical actors, one should expect that such a «
trade war» if started, to have significant global economical
effects (measured in tens
of billion $).
Although the
wars were generally considered failures from the standpoint
of advancing Christian faith, they had the positive
effects of bringing Eastern technologies and culture to Europe and establishing
trade routes.
It may seem a bit wonky as an issue itself, but the growing carbon
trade war precipitated by the European Union airline emission
trading program, now roughly six weeks in
effect, really is indicative
of the continued global denial about the environmental impact
of our activities.