That would help to isolate the separate
effects of yield curve shape and yield curve height.
Not exact matches
They also suggest that the quantitative
effects of economic news vary considerably along the
yield curve and across markets.
These announcements generally had larger
effects on the short end
of the
yield curve.
And so the
yield curve could possibly approach inversion, but it may or may not occur or stay there very long because at that stage
of the game, the flattening
of the
yield curve will greatly intensify all the other
effects — the reduction in the reserve, monetary, and credit aggregates, as well as the weakness in velocity.
«The multi-year massive expansion
of the Fed's balance sheet has had a recognized powerful
effect on asset markets — lowering
yields and flattening the
yield curve.
But when the
yield curve starts flattening, that intensifies the
effect of the monetary tightening because it takes away or, at the very least, greatly reduces the profitability
of the banks and all those that act like banks.
In practice this should allow targeting a positive
yield curve against the backdrop
of negative short - term rates and negative expected long - term real rates, thereby mitigating the debilitating
effect of yield compression on the financial system.
In fact, one observational system
of which I am aware (i.e., the TAP System for Teacher and Student Advancement) is marketing its proprietary system, using as a primary selling point figures illustrating (with text explaining) how clients who use their system will improve their prior «Widget
Effect» results (i.e.,
yielding such normal
curves; see Figure below, as per Jerald & Van Hook, 2011, p. 1).
The slope
of the Treasury
curve for that
effect to be active now, particularly since high
yield spreads have widened out from earlier in 2007.
In
effect, agency REITs are a play on the
yield curve as they borrow inexpensively on the short end
of the
curve, and «lend» more expensively on the long end.
You need a spreadsheet to predict the net
effect on bond prices
of both rate changes and changes
of the
yield curve (or position on the
yield curve).
If quantitative easing is successful in reducing the overall government debt
yield curve or injecting money into the system, but there is no trickle down
effect to corporate bonds for example, then the central bank can target specific maturities and specific types
of debt instruments (corporate bonds OR auto loans, mortgage backed securites, etc.) to achieve the desired
effect.
The risk - free interest rate for the period matching the expected term
of the option is based on the U.S. Treasury
yield curve in
effect at the time
of the grant.
Expected volatilities are based on a blend
of historical and implied volatilities
of our common stock; the expected life represents the weighted average period
of time that options granted are expected to be outstanding giving consideration to vesting schedules and our historical exercise patterns; and the risk - free rate is based on the U.S. Treasury
yield curve in
effect at the time
of grant for periods corresponding with the expected life
of the option.
The images produced by these methods
yield a shimmering interplay between closely aligned colors, such as the light and medium Cadmium reds
of Red
Curve (State 2)(Fig. 4), or create startling
effects of depth as in his black - and - white Rivers series.