Sentences with phrase «election forecast»
Recently, I hit bottom, constantly jumping between half a dozen browser tabs refreshing various election forecasts.
lawyerist.com
Continue reading How the 2015 general election forecast probabilities have changed thus far and why →
The graph below shows how my 2015 general election forecast probabilities have changed since October last year.
The Times was streaming live updates of its «presidential election forecast.»
Political analyst Nate Silvers» polls - only election forecast currently gives Hillary Clinton a 69.8 percent chance of becoming the next president versus 30.2 percent for Donald Trump.
He is a co-founder and director of Oraclum Intelligence Systems Ltd, a start - up specialised in election forecasting and big data analysis.
Complex Forecasting Models: ElectionForecast.co.uk (Chris Hanretty) Electoral Calculus (main and local election forecast) Forecast UK UK - Elect PME Politics (Patrick English) Nigel Marriot (Uniform Regional Swing + Tactical Voting Model) Chris Prosser (GE vote shares from Local elections vote shares) Lord Ashcroft (3 models based on different turnout estimates)
When I visit Samuel Wang's election forecast site, I can see at a glance that he has two models predicting Clinton's chance of winning.
In our example, we'll be pulling data from two election forecast websites, combining that data to get an average and reporting it out via Twitter.
New York, NY About Blog FiveThirtyEight, created by Nate Silver, who is best known for election forecasts such as the 2012 presidential election in which FiveThirtyEight correctly predicted the vote winner of all 50 states.
In this example we'll be pulling data from the Princeton Election Consortium and Betfair's 2016 presidential election forecasts.
Yet the Liberal's last budget before the election forecast growth of 2.5 per cent for each of the next two years, rising to 2.6 per cent by 2017 — growth rates not out of step with what the other parties might expect.
In bringing together such a wide range of information, including candidate names, previous election results, demographics, party funding information, election forecasts, and information about constituency history, the Dashboard is the most comprehensive data source for citizens seeking to find out more about their local area.
However, I know that my model has quite a few similarities with Lord Ashcroft's approach and if you visit his election forecast page, you can see the likely range of errors.
I will now use my nURS model described in step 4 to generate an election forecast for a variety of CON - LAB leads shown in the blue and green labels in table P0.
Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting Tagged With: Election forecasting, elections, General Election 2017, Politics
Filed Under: Elections, Forecasting Tagged With: Election forecasting, elections, General Election 2017, Lord Ashcroft poll, Politics
[139] An election forecasting conference on 27 March 2015 yielded 11 forecasts of the result in Great Britain (including some included in the table above).
A short note on how and why my election forecasts differ from current polls Some polls suggest GE2017 will be close.
If Makse's group nailed the election forecast, they would have reason to brag.