Sentences with phrase «election polls do»

What the chart shows is that, while previous election polls do converge toward the result over the final three weeks of the campaign, they still tend to overestimate the Labour vote — even on the very eve of the election.

Not exact matches

For example, Silver argues that a number of factors had more to do with the media's misunderstanding of what was happening during the election than any alleged errors in polling.

We didn't translate that to being down double — we knew we were going to have a big Election Day, knew Republicans were going to turn out, because we had a state poll that showed 62 % of Republicans were going to vote on Election Day.

I've polled every statewide election in Michigan going back 30 years... I don't like to get it wrong, but I'm not alone.»

According to Mentel, given the many elections across Europe, the situation «needs to be watched,» though overall he doesn't believe that voters will follow the populist route when heading to the polls.

An Abacus Data poll released this month found 62 percent of Canadians think Trudeau is doing at least «an acceptable job» on the economy, including 49 percent of those who voted in the last election for the Conservatives.

«Although recent history shows there is reason to be skeptical of political polls, we do not believe populist parties will score victories significant enough in national elections to cause an existential threat to the European Union (EU).»

The full results of the local elections won't be known until Friday evening, as some councils don't start the count until the day after polling...

Despite polls showing Liberal support has collapsed in Central Alberta, I would not be surprised to see Mr. Dawe do well on Election Night.

This is just one poll, and as we learned from the May 2011 Federal Election, campaigns do matter.

-- «Goodbye, neighborhood polling places — 5 counties switch to mega-vote centers,» by CALmatters» Rhonda Lyons: «This election season five California counties are doing away with hundreds of neighborhood polling places and replacing them with fewer «one - stop vote centers» — an experiment sold by Democrats as a way to save money and boost anemic voter turnout from the last midterm elections.»

It's an election issue that gets virtually no attention, but we found out today that many of you do feel strongly about it: Churches being used as Election Day pollingelection issue that gets virtually no attention, but we found out today that many of you do feel strongly about it: Churches being used as Election Day pollingElection Day polling places.

(CNN)- It's an election issue that gets virtually no attention, but we found out today that many of you do feel strongly about it: Churches being used as Election Day pollingelection issue that gets virtually no attention, but we found out today that many of you do feel strongly about it: Churches being used as Election Day pollingElection Day polling places.

Polls don't win elections, votes do.

I don't know how the poll was worded but reality is that 8 % control the swing in elections.

Third, the poll was conducted by Gallup, which did a very poor job in predicting the 2012 election.

Whatever Corbyn decides to do in this Parliament, it would be a mistake to judge him in the manner of a conventional politician — a politician to whom poll ratings and elections matter most.

Okonkwo, who insists that he is now a senator - elect by virtue of the Supreme Court ruling of January 29 that made him the authentic candidate of the PDP for the polls, picked holes in APC's claims that he did not contest the elections and as such can not be senator - elect.

But, still, most of the quality election forecasters did also measure in some considerations of this trend towards less poll reliability, and were urging caution regarding overconfidence in the indicated spread (as Nate Silver of fivethirtyeight did here on election morning).

So, what I'm asking is: Is there research or statistics showing whether controversial or «politically incorrect» candidates / parties tend to do better or worse in actual elections than in polls?

Hillary Clinton's 2016 campaign exemplifies the problem, since they were so confident in their modeling that they didn't even bother to conduct polls in the last few weeks of the presidential race in the states that swung the election.

«I didn't take a poll to enter this race, and my policies and approach to this election will not be determined by polls,» Spitzer said in the statement this evening.

In a discussion about the recent French presidential election at the Personal Democracy Forum unConference this past Saturday, Pascal - Emmanuel Gobry presented an interesting thesis: not only did Ségolène Royal's «net - centric strategy fail to win a majority at the polls, but her campaign's emphasis on citizen participation may have actually backfired entirely by undermining her perception as a leader and by leaving her dependent on a fatally unrepresentative group of voters.

Asked if it doesn't concern him that Haggerty has never been able to account for the full $ 750,000 contributed by Mayor Bloomberg to the state Independence Party and subsequently handed over to him to (ostensibly) pay for poll watcher on Election Day, Paladino replied: More >

The Senate GOP must be happy campers with this poll result, but don't count the chickens before they hatch on election day

How did Alvarado Muñoz, an evangelical singer, who puts his religion front and center, come to lead in the polls going into Sunday's run - off election?

I am linking a resource that shows what election precinct officials and poll watchers, which can be anyone, are allowed to do, on what grounds, and the evidentiary and process standards for so doing.

Adeyeye who polled 771 votes at the election accussd Fayose of plotting to do third term in office by installing Olusola.

How Kenyans are using tech to stop election fraud and violence How Kenyans are using tech to stop election fraud and violence Odinga, running as the NASA candidate, told CNN Thursday that he doesn't «trust» the paper forms from polling stations around the country that officials used to authenticate votes.

The post-referendum polls do not mark new electoral territory for Scotland in terms of Holyrood elections.

The UK Independence Party tends to poll significantly better in European Parliament elections than it does in Westminster general elections.

The Conservative Party looks set to do even better than the surprising exit polls predicted, but the real glory in this election lies with the small parties.

Jim Murphy's election as Scottish Labour leader two months ago did lead to a change in the party's fortunes in the polls, but he has more recently taken some interesting strategic positions.

As someone who gives a somewhat greater credibility to polls than many, I was not among those of the true faith who never doubted that Labour would do well, and indeed was, until late April, in despair as polls had consistently for about five months indicated a Tory landslide, for which the poor local election -LSB-...]

Continue reading What do the polls tell us about local election results?

The rating is based on the average of all their polls done within 5 days of the last general election, and the previous election carries more weight that than the one before that.

In a number of Labour targets, constituency polls and local election results suggest the party simply does not have enough of a lead (and sometimes none at all) over the Conservative incumbent.

But to dismiss Miliband himself as a failure as leader, as centre - right commentators and Blairite backbenchers tend to do, is bizarre when the only metrics we have (by - elections, opinion polls, increasing numbers of party members) suggest that Labour is on the road to recovery.

Turnout is usually very low in even the hardest - fought special elections, in part because voters simply don't expect polls to be open in April.

Turnout is typically very low in even the hardest - fought special elections, in part because voters simply don't expect polling places to be open in April.

I did a quick calculation and discovered that in 1992 in the 43 opinion polls prior to the general election of that year the Conservatives were, on average, on 38.01 % and Labour on 39.91 %.

The Rochester and Strood by - election was already looking like a done deal in favour of Ukip, with one poll putting defector Mark Reckless comfortably in the lead.

According to Mr. Ephson, his opinion poll done over a stretch of five months indicates I'll be defeated based on the fact that «elections are not won by huge billboards so Obuobia may have to wait till 2020.

In fact, the pollster who came closest with an eve - of - election poll in 2005 (GfK NOP) did it with a slightly smaller sample than this.

My Rochester & Strood poll found more than one fifth of UKIP voters saying either that they would revert to the Tories in a general election, or that they didn't know what they would do.

If he does, his first contribution could be to the New York City budget — saving the expense of a runoff election,» Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a statement, referring to the runoff election that will take place in October if no candidate gets 40 percent of the primary vote on Sept. 10.

Though Corbyn's polling is diabolical and the likelihood of Labour winning an election under his leadership is slim, that does not mean Smith will defeat him in the leadership election.

The polls did overestimate the Tories in 2010, and in every other election since 1974 apart from 1992.

Senator Brian Kavanagh, Ranking Member of the Senate Elections Committee, released the following statement: «Voting is the bedrock of our system of government, and we must do everything in our power to ensure eligible New Yorkers are able to access the polls and make their voices heard.

Public polls don't seem to show that wave as likely to be particularly strong in tomorrow's New York elections.