Sentences with phrase «election seats changes»

Meanwhile, for the Liberal Democrats, their changing opinion poll performance relative to the Conservatives, but not Labour, has historically been correlated with headline local election seat changes.

Not exact matches

The election of a majority Liberal government not only saw high - profile changes in rhetoric — think, «Canada is back» — but also equally lauded announcements on accepting 25,000 refugees from Syria, international peacekeeping, or a bid for a seat on the United Nations Security Council, among others.

The passage of the Reform Bill may be defined in a shorthand way as the procedure of voting by Parliament, and approval by King William IV, of a law changing the qualifications for voting in British elections and redistributing seats in the House of Commons.

there's a whole laundry list of minor changes that could save billions but no one wants to talk about them because they will lose their seat during the next election.

The Lisle Park District board met Monday to discuss the district's current operating policies, but officials acknowledged they aren't likely to make many changes or recommendations until a new board is seated after the April 3 election.

The share they were defending is defined as share of all seats that were either up for election or abolished, so the measure takes some account of boundary changes, but assumes that there was no instances of seats being abolished for territories without new elections.

Local elections are often said to be about local issues but actually most of the changes over time in shares of council seats won the Conservatives, Labour and Liberal Democrats can be accounted for by changes the popularity of these parties at the national level.

The Root MSE tells us that the models are on average 3 to 5 percentage points out on the change in share of the council seats won, which is a big average error for a prediction model when there are thousands of seats up for election.

The dependent variable for the models is the change in share of seats at a given election.

The graphs below show how changes in the shares of council seats won by each party are strongly correlated with changes in general election vote intentions.

Flanagan is remaining majority leader after an election year in which his conference was expected to at least lose several seats in the chamber, but is returning with no net changes and a preserved alliance with the Independent Democratic Conference.

Compounding problems for Democrats hoping to win the seat, a majority of voters — 54 percent — are locked into their decision as to who they will vote for in the special election, while 33 percent said they were «fairly certain» they won't change their mind.

Whilst it is truethat in 2005, Plaid won three seats (Caernarfon, Merironydd and Carmarthen East), boundary changes have merged those seats into a Dwyfor seat, however Caernarfon is now re named Arfon and is a notional Lab seat (thus meaning that Plaid enter the election with two seats)

Chambers in either of the «likely» categories are not expected to change party control on Election Day, but it's possible that the minority party could net a non-trivial number of seats and nibble into the majority's margins.

What would be the point of doubling seats (to 100 MPs) in two elections if not to take a deal as similar to this one as possible from one of the major parties, and to change the political system.

My forecasting model for seat gains / losses at local elections has previously been a simple model based on change in party support in the polls.

My model takes into account five things: the vote share a party received in the by - election constituency at the preceding general election; changes in public opinion towards the party since the last general election; whether the party won the seat at the last election; whether the party is in government; and whether there are «party effects» on by - election outcomes.

In the most recent election, as the original post notes, neither of the major parties changed their share of seats in local government offices by more than 0.3 %, which rounds down to 0 %, so it is fair to say that there was «no clear winner» judged relative to the status quo.

We begin our tour in London, in three seats that illustrate the complicated dynamics of this election: Bermondsey & Old Southwark, which the Liberal Democrats are aiming to take back from Labour; Twickenham, now a Tory seat which is under threat from the Lib Dems; and Brentford & Isleworth which, if Labour lose it to the Conservatives, will have changed hands three elections running.

A relatively well - off and low unemployment seat, Dumfriesshire (and its predecessor constituency, Dumfries) has not changed hands since the first Scottish parliament election in 1999.

He was elected to the House of Commons at the 1983 general election for the Somerset seat of Wells, whose sitting MP Robert Boscawen had decided to move to Somerton and Frome following boundary changes.

Although European elections will not change the national political landscape, where Labour enjoys a nine - seat parliamentary majority (out of 69), national issues predominate.

On the Today programme this morning Simon Hughes, the Lib Dem deputy leader, said quite explicitly that the Conservatives» failure to back Lords reform could lead to the Lib Dems blocking the boundary changes that are expected to give David Cameron an extra 20 seats in the 2015 election.

But even if Democrats managed to win elections to the two seats that were on the ballot on Tuesday, that outcome wouldn't change the balance of power in either state Legislature's chambers.

We need leaders at every level who are dedicated to progress and creating meaningful change,» Assemblywoman Shelley Mayers, who running in a Special Election for George Latimer's vacant State Senate seat, April 24th shares with Black Westchester.

The party failed to win any council seats in Manchester, Liverpool or Newcastle in the local elections earlier this year, and today's visit with shadow chancellor George Osborne is part of a wider drive to persuade voters that the Tories have changed.

Election barometer The Political Forecasting Unit's «election barometer», designed to capture the changing state of the race as it unfolds through the campaign, shows Labour as the largest party, 29 seats ahead of the Conservatives but still 50 seats short of an overall mElection barometer The Political Forecasting Unit's «election barometer», designed to capture the changing state of the race as it unfolds through the campaign, shows Labour as the largest party, 29 seats ahead of the Conservatives but still 50 seats short of an overall melection barometer», designed to capture the changing state of the race as it unfolds through the campaign, shows Labour as the largest party, 29 seats ahead of the Conservatives but still 50 seats short of an overall majority.

While minor, the changes are enough to make the seat notionally Conservative at the next election.

Re-selected to fight the seat again (now renamed after minor boundary changes), Caroline requires a swing of 0.2 % to gain the seat at the next election.

When Kakto takes office, it will mean the 24th Congressional District seat has changed parties every election since former Rep. Jim Walsh retired before the 2008 election after 20 years in office.

The Political Forecasting Unit's «election barometer», designed to capture the changing state of the race as it unfolds through the campaign, shows the Conservatives on top in terms of vote share, but Labour leading in terms of projected seats, despite trailing last or joint last in terms of vote share.

The seat is currently held for Labour by Nick Raynsford and after minor boundary changes he is projected to go into the next election defending a notional majority of 11,638, according to the calculations of Professors Rallings and Thrasher of the University of Plymouth.

But these losses will only be felt after Scottish independence is complete and won't change the number of seats contested in the May election.

The seat has been held since 1997 by Liberal Democrat Bob Russell who will be defending a majority of around 6,000 after boundary changes at the next election.

The entire council was up for election, following boundary changes that reduced the number of wards by one, but altogether had added an additional two seats.

The challengers seeking seats on the Southold Town Board this Election Day centered their campaigns around the idea that there's a need for change in a town where all five board members have been elected with Republican support.

With boundary changes coming in at the next election, Annunziata has to overturn a notional Lib Dem majority of 595 in order to gain the seat, which will entail achieving a swing of less than 1 %.

[4] In total, a mere 29 parliamentary seats changed hands at the 2001 Election.

This move proved completely effective, as no State or Federal legislative office changed party in the 2004 election, although 53 congressional, 20 state senate, and 80 state assembly seats were potentially at risk.

His seat was one of several to see substantial changes when Florida courts ordered the Senate maps redrawn ahead of the 2016 elections.

The Rallings and Thrasher projection (based on the 2005 general election result) of the seat after minor boundary changes suggests that Heppell will go into the general election defending a notional majority of 7,083 over the Conservatives, with Ewan requiring a swing of a little over 12 per cent to take the seat.

He remained the MP until the seat was redrawn in boundary changes at the 1997 general election.

Boundary changes took place for the 2002 election, leading to the whole council bring elected in that year and reducing the number of seats by two.

These boundary changes are good for winning extra seats but bad if the Conservative party wishes to form a Government at the next election.

Significant boundary changes at the general election will make the seat far safer for the Conservatives than it is at present.

Under proposed constituency boundary changes announced in September 2016, ahead of the next general election, the seat's boundaries will be extended.

At 0.01 %, this is the fourth - lowest majority in all of post-war UK electoral history — and quite a change from the previous election in 2005 when this was the UK's 158th most marginal seat.

If there were any losers affected by Koo's change it was the Queens Republican organization with Koo's election in 2009, along with Councilmember Dan Halloran of Whitestone, it was Republican Chairman Phil Ragusa, who could then boast of his organization's new found power as it brought the council ranks from Queens to three as Eric Ulrich had been previously elected to the Ozone Park seat.

The district has changed hands between the GOP and the Democrats over the last several election cycles, and its current representative, Democrat Dan Maffei, lost his seat once before to a conservative Republican who accused him to being too liberal for this centrist region.

The winners of special elections for state legislative seats often do not fare well in the general election — which Senate Democrats hope to change on Long Island.