Sentences with phrase «election vote intentions of»

Not exact matches

Reasons have since been offered for the high - profile provincial misses — in the case of Alberta, a last - minute swing in voting intentions from Wildrose to the PCs; in B.C., the failure of those who said they'd vote NDP to show up on election day.

They may account on some Trump supporters hiding their vote intention because of peer pressure / embarrassment using historical data, but if peer pressure is higher in this election than in previous elections it is difficult to tune up that effect correctly (how can you measure peer pressure to adjust your model before the election day?).

The graphs below show how changes in the shares of council seats won by each party are strongly correlated with changes in general election vote intentions.

The graph below shows the BBC Projected National Share of the vote (PNS) from local elections together with general election vote intention from the polls for the month before each round of local elections.

The graph below shows the latest What Scotland Thinks / ScotCen Poll of Polls of voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 UK general election and how it has evolved over time.

Much like yesterday's Panelbase poll in The Sunday Times today's poll suggests there might have been some narrowing of the SNP lead in voting intentions for May's Westminster election.

Its standing in polls of vote intentions for Scottish Parliament elections averaged just 16 %, while its reading on vote intentions for a Westminster election were, at 14 %, even slightly worse.

UKIP's share of general election vote intention, at 14 % last week, is much more muted than the 23 % they achieved in the Projected National Share of the vote (PNS) from the local elections.

The latest poll of voting intentions for Thursday's election, conducted by Survation for the Daily Record, is of particular interest for two reasons.

Last week a poll from Survation suggested that the huff and puff of the campaign, including not least two televised leader debates that took place either side of the Easter weekend, had not made much difference to the balance of voting intentions for next month's Scottish Parliament election.

To get the nomination, you need 25 percent of the vote to get on the ballot, I think 40 percent to get the official designee or nominee of the party, so you want someone that would have the intention to continue to run and then that person would be on the ballot in September in the primary formally, and then in November in the general election,» Smikle explained.

The net effects of this trend are reflected in the vote intention polls, but geographical implications for this year's local elections are not part of my model.

The Murdoch press empire decided to rain on the Scottish Labour leadership parade on Saturday by releasing a YouGov poll in The Sun and The Times showing the party is 20 points behind the SNP in voting intentions for next Westminster's election — an outcome that could see it lose the vast bulk of its Commons seats.

The poll's figures for general election voting intentions are not as bad but still not good: although the headline figures are Con 31 %, Lab 36 %, LD 9 %, UKIP 15 %, of those who voted Labour in 2010, 9 % are said to be intending to vote UKIP.

This is certainly a story that fits the main pattern of change in the general election vote intention opinion polls.

«For the first time in a poll on voting intentions in an election of a national character, the NF is clearly ahead,» an Ifop spokesperson said.

The forecasting model works by combining the number of seats won by parties in the previous election with vote intentions data from polls conducted six months prior to the election — in this case the data is from November 2014.

An ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph of voting intentions in a general election put Labour on 22 points, 18 behind the Conservatives, who are on 40 points, and three behind the Liberal Democrats on 25.

There is also the question of Gordon Brown — voting intention figures 4 years from a general election are of little importance at the best of times, let alone when we know the sitting Prime Minister will probably change before the next election.

The actual voting intention figures, with don't knows and won't votes excluded, is CON 49 %, LAB 20 %, LDEM 21 %, Others 10 % — representing a swing of 10.9 % from the last general election.

A new YouGov poll for ITV London has topline voting intentions for the London mayoral election of Livingstone 44 % -LRB--1), Johnson 40 % -LRB--4), Paddick 8 % (+1).

And while UKIP has been consistently running at 14 - 15 % in voting intentions over the last year, a similar score in the general election of next year could bring a meagre return in seats.

There is a Populus poll in The Times tomorrow which does not appear to cover voting intention, but rather asks the public what they expect they outcome of the next election to be.

I am a member of You Gov and Populus and I can tell you I was rarely asked my opinion about voting intentions during the last election campaign.

In the end, Meng won an absolute majority of the vote against Lancman and Councilmember Elizabeth Crowley, and a week after the November election the outgoing Assemblyman announced his intention to run for the 24th Council District, held for three terms by the term limited James Gennaro.

Seats that have had a by - election are changed by it, so Eastleigh is probably representative of nothing but itself, but for the record Ashcroft found voting intentions there of CON 27 %, LAB 10 %, LDEM 39 %, UKIP 22 %.

YouGov did the fieldwork for two academic election surveys (the British Election Study and the SCMS) as well as their daily polling, and all three used different question ordering (daily polling asked voting intention first, SCMS after a couple of questions, the BES after a bank of questions on important issues, which party is more trusted and party leaders) so will allow testing of the effect of «priming questionselection surveys (the British Election Study and the SCMS) as well as their daily polling, and all three used different question ordering (daily polling asked voting intention first, SCMS after a couple of questions, the BES after a bank of questions on important issues, which party is more trusted and party leaders) so will allow testing of the effect of «priming questionsElection Study and the SCMS) as well as their daily polling, and all three used different question ordering (daily polling asked voting intention first, SCMS after a couple of questions, the BES after a bank of questions on important issues, which party is more trusted and party leaders) so will allow testing of the effect of «priming questions».

In two of the seats polled, Thanet South and Thurrock, UKIP were ahead in voting intentions, which will be enormous help for them in convincing voters they are a viable general election vote in the local area.

In this set of seats there is no consistent pattern in the difference between the standard voting intention question («if there were a general election tomorrow, which party would you vote for?»)

A YouGov poll for the Daily Telegraph shows the SNP ahead of Labour in voting intentions for a UK general election for the first time in the party's history.

It is better to turn a blind eye to Tories who vote UKIP in June but have every intention of supporting Conservatives in the real contest - the General Election.

Just realised I've missed an Ipsos MORI poll of Scottish voting intentions here, MORI's first Scottish voting figures since the general election.

Our latest voting intention figures for the Sunday Times have the Liberal Democrats at 12 %, their lowest level of support since 2007 when the party removed Menzies Campbell as leader, and a halving of their support since the General Election.

Voting intention figures are more interesting — the Lib Dems secured 23 % of the vote at the general election.

More interesting, given we are only a few months away from the London council elections in May, are local government voting intentions of CON 28 % (+2), LAB 54 % (+17), LDEM 11 % (+1), GRN 4 % -LRB--6) UKIP 2 % -LRB--10).

If the leaders remain as they are now at the next election (which YouGov ask as a control question) people's voting intentions would be CON 34, LAB 41, LDEM 9 (when asked this way it consistently shows a slightly smaller Labour lead than usual — probably the effect of mentioning Ed Miliband in the question).

This is the highest «none of the above» vote since the time of the 2009 European elections, when successes for UKIP, the BNP and the Greens in that proportional - voting contest transferred briefly into well - above - average general election voting intentions.

The narrow two point lead held by the Conservatives would be enough to deprive Labour of an overall majority, but it is nowhere near the sort of lead the Conservatives would require to win a majority at an election — still, on voting intention Cameron does seem to have made a difference.

This is because a significant number of Londoners — 8 % of our total sample — are Labour supporters (according to their General Election voting intention) who prefer Boris as mayor.

However well intentioned, Labour can't get itself elected by pleading the cause of needy non-voters: so elections depend on ever fewer swing votes in a diminishing number of marginals.

«While it's well - intentioned by them,» said Mike Reich, a member of the Queens party who presided over the meeting, «the executive committee has voted to table this because the additional expenses would be astronomical and the restrictions on it would hamper the ability of the political party to operate in an election time where you have to make quick expenditures in response to Republicans — as you know, Republicans can drop a million dollars in a district in a blink of an eye — and we have to be able to respond.»

BPIX don't give the detailed voting intention figures, but at present Labour are 7 points ahead of the Conservatives (whatever that may mean — we don't know how people are answering the standard voting intention — when they say how they'd vote in a General Election tomorrow are they already taking into account who they expect to be the next leader?

Being utterly bored with what passes for news in the media, in particular the endless opinion polls supposedly showing voting intentions 3 months before the general election — and how many of those questioned actually know why they will be voting for the party they choose; even more importantly, how many of those questioned even understand what democracy is or how politics works in this country — I thought a little light relief was called for.

«Surveying over 10,000 people, the poll gives an insight into voting intentions for the next Scottish elections, opinions of party leaders and achievements of the Scottish Parliament, while putting support for independence at 26 per cent, the no vote at 65 per cent and just 10 per cent undecided.»

All of this suggests Labour should enjoy some healthy leads in national voting intention polls and the way the vote was distributed in the UK at the last election, that should translate into an easy Labour majority if repeated at an election....

A YouGov poll carried out for the Sun which took the views of more than 10,000 people gave the Tories a 12 - point lead over Labour, by 42 % to 30 %, on voting intentions if there were a general election tomorrow.

Also from Ipsos MORI was this curious poll of voting intentions in the Police Commissioner elections.

Ahead of the local elections Government would do well to remember the impact school funding had on the voting intentions of the public during the general election.»

I have formally announced my intention to hand off responsibility for the Sudbury Writers» Guild newsletter, but elections (newsletter - er isn't an elected position, but volunteer positions are filled at the same time as elected ones are voted upon) aren't until the May meeting at the end of the month.

The surveyed elector may change his or her mind between the survey and the election, they may be deliberately lying, they have no intention of actually voting on the day.