What we may be seeing is Scottish parliament
election voting patterns being repeated at a UK general election.
Not exact matches
Initial reports suggest that four out of five white evangelical Christians
voted for Trump, continuing their
pattern of support for the Republican candidate in US presidential
elections since the 1980s.
Yet, Gold's generation represents one exception to the
pattern; unlike any other age group, millennial evangelical women were more likely than their male counterparts to
vote for Trump, according to the Cooperative Congressional
Election Study (CCES) provided to CT by Ryan Burge, politics researcher and blogger for the site Religion in Public.
«Because Nov. 6 is a presidential
election, we expect 4,000 more voters, based on
voting patterns from the past.»
This
pattern is likely to be repeated at the next general
election; in almost every
voting intention poll, women express a lower propensity than men to
vote, sometimes significantly so.
I know of no firm metrics (other than
voting patterns, which are flawed as participation rates are so low 38 % - 62 % typically for national
elections), though there is a plethora of writing on the effectiveness of government.
If such a legislature would exist, I would expect this
voting pattern to be the result of large - scale
election fraud.
One of the key
patterns in last year's general
election results was a tendency for those who
voted Remain to swing more to Labour than those who
voted Leave, while the Conservatives lost ground amongst Remain voters while advancing amongst their Leave counterparts.
Our analysis of
voting patterns in the June 2017 General
Election shows that Labour has a strong chance of winning across the city region, leading by over 27 per cent over the Conservatives.
If a similar
pattern is maintained at these local
elections — and it was in last year's county council
elections — then the Labour
vote will increase more (or fall less) were the Remain
vote was higher in 2016, while the converse will be true of the Conservatives.
The
voting pattern will also be different, in local
elections people tend to focus on local issues and they also provide an opportunity to teach the parties a lesson if they are thought to be ignoring public opinion.
This is certainly a story that fits the main
pattern of change in the general
election vote intention opinion polls.
The general
election results underlined a number of long term trends in
voting patterns reflecting the reconfiguration of British politics away from a two - party system.
The differences between locals, Euros and general
election voting follow a familiar
pattern.
Fabian Society report on
voting patterns in local
elections finds party performed badly in its traditional heartlands
If the demographic
patterns to the
voting alignments in Batman are repeated at the Victorian state
election on November 24, the Greens could win at least four lower house seats.
In this set of seats there is no consistent
pattern in the difference between the standard
voting intention question («if there were a general
election tomorrow, which party would you
vote for?»)
In a widely circulated article released over the weekend, Dr. Atuguba cites what he calls the
voting pattern of justices who sat on the Supreme Court panel that decided the 2012
Election Petition in favour of President John Mahama as evidence of how Ghanaian Justices have historically allowed their personal politics to decide matters of law in their courts.
A portion of the article reads: «On issues of pure politics, and going by which party appointed them; the way they have historically
voted on political issues; and their posture and
voting pattern during the
Election Petition Case of 2012; and in the case of a non-unanimous decision, the majority of the current panel of the Supreme Court will likely rule in favour of the stance preferred by the New Patriotic Party (NPP) in this case and the minority for the stance of the National Democratic Congress (NDC).»
I don't know what EF do for UKIP, but one common strategy is to adjust the UKIP
vote according to the
voting pattern at the 2014 European Parliament
elections.
On issues of pure politics, and going by which party appointed them; the way they have historically
voted on political issues; and their posture and
voting pattern during the
Election Petition Case of 2012; and in the case of a non-unanimous decision, the majority of the current panel of the Supreme Court will likely rule in favour of the stance preferred by the New Patriotic Party (NPP) in this case and the minority for the stance of the National Democratic Congress (NDC).
But if the
pattern set in Oldham East and Saddleworth continues, tactical
voting will bring a de facto return to a two - party system rendering AV largely irrelevant, at least for the next
election in 2015.
The final outcome of the 2015 general
election will be shaped by the results in dozens of marginal seats, where relatively modest shifts in
voting patterns will be enough to change the result.
State Republican Party chairman Ed Cox slammed the Siena poll as flawed for oversampling New York City voters and under - sampling upstate voters compared to historic
Election Day
voting patterns, thus inflating Cuomo's popularity.
(5) investigate allegations, made in writing and under oath or affirmation, that citizens of the United States are unlawfully being accorded or denied the right to
vote, or to have their
votes properly counted, in any
election of presidential electors, Members of the United States Senate, or of the House of Representatives, as a result of any
patterns or practice of fraud or discrimination in the conduct of such
election; and
When it comes to
voting patterns, political affiliations interact with ideology, religion and many other factors, including dissatisfaction with the political establishment — a dominant theme in this
election cycle.
CA then used it to predict
voting patterns for the 2016 US presidential
election, and target voters with highly specific advertising.