What complicates and adds risk to the process for China is the country's
elevated debt levels, the true extent and proliferation of which is unknown.
But consumption patterns are likely to diverge from past cycles, given long - term factors inhibiting wage growth, still
elevated debt levels and an older population.
I would be particularly concerned as higher rates would be rising against a backdrop of an older population with a taste for income and
elevated debt levels.
Elevated debt levels from the acquisition, after accounting for the recent C$ 345 million equity issue, contribute to estimated pro forma leverage of about 3.5 x, which is high for the rating.
Last week, the Bank of Canada governor called
elevated debt levels a «side effect» of the central bank's struggle to boost stagnant economic growth.
Not exact matches
Pretty much from his first statements as governor in 2013 — that's about $ 100,000 ago in real estate appreciation terms — through to last week when the bank released its latest financial system review, Poloz has walked a tightrope between admitting that
elevated house prices and
debt levels pose a risk to the economy, and assuring Canadians that the likelihood of a crash is actually pretty low.
«In order to sustain prices at these
elevated levels, you need a continuous supply of new buyers willing to take that mortgage
debt, and [able to] get it cheaply,» he says.
They also fear that at such
elevated levels, many Canadian households would be unable to withstand a financial shock such as a loss of income, or a sudden spike in interest rates that raised
debt services charges.
«The world spends a lot of time talking about the
level of Canadian
debt being extremely
elevated, but what matters most is not the
level of
debt that Canadians hold, but the cost of carrying that
debt,» the Manulife economist said.
On the domestic front,
elevated household
debt levels continue to be a concern and would deter the central bank from cutting rates further.
While the current price / peak - earnings multiple is already at an
elevated level above 18, what I'll call the «P / E equivalent» multiples on other fundamentals are: 21 on the basis of book values, nearly 23 on the basis of enterprise value / EBITDA (which factors in the increasing share of
debt on corporate balance sheets), over 25 on the basis of revenues, and 29 on the basis of dividends (largely because dividend payout ratios remain relatively low even on the basis of normalized earnings).
Given the
elevated public and private
debt levels, it would likely weigh on economic activity.
At the same time, it warned risks remain
elevated, particularly high household
debt levels, and measures to rein in loans to the most highly indebted households will take time to work.
Translating helpful developments into more substantive progress on inflation still seems a difficult task in the near term, and in terms of investment potential, we remain skeptical about Japan's fundamentals, given its
elevated overall
debt levels.
After full sleep recovery, their
levels of blood glucose after breakfast were higher in the state of sleep
debt despite normal or even slightly
elevated insulin responses.
But your full schedule, credit card
debt, and micromanaging boss ensure that your cortisol
levels are chronically
elevated.
«We anticipate that while outstanding credit balances will likely rise further, this will be accompanied by steady income gains, resulting in the
debt - to - income ratio stabilizing, albeit at
elevated levels in upcoming quarters.»
Poloz then specified that these uncertainties comprise: inflation, the degree of excess capacity, continued softness in wage growth, and the
elevated level of household
debt.
So what are the implications of a large portion of the population entering the labor force with
elevated debt - to - income
levels?
As countless economists and think tanks have warned over the past few years,
elevated levels of
debt leave Canadians vulnerable to economic shocks and rate increases.