Different groups take different approaches, but generally assume that Paris commitments remain in place post-2030 and
that emissions continue on a similar path.
These projections assume that greenhouse gas
emissions continue on current trajectories and local threats are not addressed.
And wouldn't you know it, some research indicates climate change could to push the mode into the positive phase more often if
emissions continue on their current trend, meaning that these wild wintertime melt events could occur more regularly as well.
Climatic changes will accelerate if
emissions continue on a «business - as - usual» trajectory.
If
emissions continue on their current path, that 3 ˚C rise could occur by 2065; significant cuts in emissions would delay that point, while accelerated emissions would make it come sooner.
The moralising stridency of so many arguments for cap - and - trade, carbon taxes, and global emissions treaties was founded on the idea that there is a consensus about how much warming there would be if carbon
emissions continue on trend.
# 24 «If CO2
emissions continue on their current trends, earth is on course to be 2.6 - 4.8 C (4.7 - 8.6 F) degrees warmer and the oceans could be up to a meter higher by the end of this century.
CO2 emissions in particular continue to increase at a rapid rate; ii) the effect of these gases is to warm the climate and it is very likely that most of the warming over the last 50 years was in fact driven by these increases; and iii) the sensitivity of the climate is very likely large enough that serious consequences can be expected if carbon
emissions continue on this path.
If greenhouse gas
emissions continue on their current trend, the rate of warming will reach 0.7 °F per decade and stay that high until at least 2100.
If carbon dioxide
emissions continue on the current trajectory, coral reef erosion is likely to outpace reef building some time this century.
If carbon
emissions continue on their current trajectory, with global temperatures rising by 2.6 C to 4.8 °C by 2100, applications could increase by 188 percent, leading to an extra 660,000 applications filed each year.
New research predicts that migrants applying for asylum in the European Union will nearly triple over the average of the last 15 years by 2100 if carbon
emissions continue on their current path.
Unexpectedly (i.e. not predicted), global temperatures flat - lined and CO2
emissions continued on their merry, amazing growth path, unabated.
Michaels» assumption that
emissions continued on a «business as usual» path is without merit.
Not exact matches
It also found that if greenhouse gas
emissions continue unabated, aircraft fuel capacities and payload weights will need to be reduced
on the hottest days for some planes.
As China
continues to choke
on its own
emissions, the country is starting to pump the brakes
on what was once considered an insatiable appetite for coal - fired power.
China
continues to lead in the ranking of the world's top 40 renewable energy markets, despite its
continuing high greenhouse gas
emissions and dependence
on coal.
For seven consecutive years Walmart has reduced our Scope 1 and 2 carbon intensity, and we believe we are
on track to hold our absolute
emissions flat over this decade, despite our Company's
continued growth.
As a relative newcomer to the company, a former BMW executive who joined only two months before an
emissions scandal erupted, Mr. Diess is not associated with the wrongdoing that
continues to weigh heavily
on the company's image and finances, and that remains the subject of major criminal investigations by German and United States authorities.
«Our industry's
continued focus
on environmental stewardship and the role that growers, manufacturers, logistics companies, retailers and others play is driving heightened awareness and actions aimed at reducing greenhouse gas
emissions, while simultaneously boosting cost and energy efficiencies.»
We are
continuing to maintain our focus
on reducing the carbon
emissions from across our value chain.
«The Clean Energy Jobs and Climate Agenda released today will
continue New York's path towards a more sustainable future by reducing harmful carbon
emissions, ending New York's reliance
on coal, and advancing offshore wind, energy efficiency, and energy storage.
«As part of the shift to 50 percent renewables and
emissions reductions, New York must use all of its existing carbon free power sources, including our upstate nuclear fleet, to
continue our progress
on climate change,» Kauffman wrote.
«While we
continue to work internationally to seek a global agreement
on reducing aviation
emissions, each country must take action domestically,» the chancellor said in his pre-Budget report (PBR) statement today.
The DEC spokeswoman says the agency is
continuing the state's
on - site monitoring of all operations and air
emissions to ensure that there
continue to be no adverse impacts to the surrounding community or the environment.
«In doing so, we have succeeded in cushioning the necessary balance between being affected by the ban of vehicles
on one the hand, by exemptions
on the other hand, but also not losing sight of the actual objective of the low
emission zone,» Rosenthal
continued.
We are almost halfway to that temperature already; there is some further warming kind of built - in — even if we stopped our
emissions tomorrow, the world would
continue to warm
on an average temperature basis.
When we mitigate greenhouse - gas
emissions, we also create huge co-benefits in the nature of energy security, because if we
continue to increase our consumption of fossil fuels, we're really going to put pressure
on limited resources of these fossil fuels.
If current trends
continue and the world fails to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions, then severe bleaching will occur every year
on 99 per cent of the world's reefs within the century, according to the study.
«It's possible the kinds of changes we are seeing with increased jet stream sinuosity might
continue into the future as a result of anthropogenic CO2
emissions, although it's not a perfect comparison,» said Gabriel Bowen, a geochemist at the University of Utah and an author
on the study.
Indeed, the Clean Power Plan proposed by the Obama administration to clean up CO2
emissions from power plants relies
on capture and storage to allow coal - fired power plants to
continue to produce electricity, but with less climate - changing pollution.
As climate change negotiations drag
on, greenhouse gas
emissions continue to rise, fulfilling scientists» predictions.
Authors project with high confidence that
continued growth in
emissions from global passenger and freight activity could «outweigh future mitigation measures,» says a preliminary version of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) study obtained by ClimateWire.
Emissions in China are expected to rise for years, given the importance China's political elite
continue to place
on economic growth.
Under Obama the CEQ is moving forward with plans formulated during his predecessor's tenure for a U.S. policy
on oceans — from newly protected areas to reconciling competing authorities and laws — along with
continuing the Major Economies Forum
on Energy and Climate as a way to address global greenhouse gas
emissions.
If these rates
continue,
emissions of methane, a greenhouse gas 25 times more powerful than carbon dioxide
on 100 - year time scales, will increase 4 percent over the next decade.
«There is the potential for the U.S. and other countries to
continue to rely
on coal as a source of energy while at the same time protecting the climate from the massive greenhouse gas
emissions associated with coal,» says Steve Caldwell, coordinator for regional climate change policy at the Pew Center
on Global Climate Change, an Arlington, Va., think tank.
Studies
on coral, mollusks, and other ocean denizens are helping to paint a picture of what the future might entail for specific species, should carbon
emissions continue to increase.
The European Investment Bank's new criteria
on coal lending — tied to specified limits
on fossil fuel power plant
emissions — have been criticized as being too generous to polluters, while the U.S. Ex-Im Bank
continues to back coal - fired power stations in many parts of the world.
The 72 - year - old has also been arrested five times in protests against the
continued burning of fossil fuels or to demand that the United States put a price
on carbon
emissions.
Talks likely to
continue, but slowly Japan, meanwhile, focused
on ways to curb more
emissions by midcentury instead of by 2020; Saudi Arabia, like India, insisted that the burden of doing more to cut
emissions falls squarely
on the shoulders of industrialized countries — which, within the world of U.N. climate talks, does not include Saudi Arabia, despite its wealth and vast oil resources; and Qatar, which is hosting the next major climate conference but which has historically played a quiet role in the talks, did not offer a submission.
Ricke said: «Our results show that if we
continue on our current
emissions path, by the end of the century there will be no water left in the ocean with the chemical properties that have supported coral reef growth in the past.
In using the model to assess the ocean - carbon sink, the researchers assumed a «business as usual» carbon dioxide
emissions trajectory, the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario found in the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change for 2006 - 2010, where
emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century.
When this model was then applied to the future, they found that in a world of
continuing high greenhouse gas
emissions, the threshold for widespread drought - induced vascular damage would be crossed and initiate widespread tree deaths
on average across climate model projections in the 2050s.
At one such session, Qian Zhimin, deputy director of China's National Energy Administration, told his fellow CPPCC delegates that solar energy and wind power will
continue to play a major role in China's economy and in the reduction of carbon dioxide
emissions, according to a report
on CPPCC's Web site.
«We will
continue to look at the issues within fleet operations and determine what other efficiencies can be applied in order to cut down
on emissions while maintaining customer satisfaction.»
Carbon dioxide
emissions continue to track the high end of
emission scenarios, eroding the chances to keep global warming below 2 °C, and placing increased pressure
on world leaders ahead of the United Nations Climate Summit
on the 23rd September.
One outcome emphasised by experts is that if society
continues on the current high
emissions trajectory, cold water coral reefs, located in the deep sea, may be unsustainable and tropical coral reef erosion is likely to outpace reef building this century.
The authors estimate that if globe - warming
emission continue unabated, fuel capacities and payload weights will have to be reduced by as much as 4 percent
on the hottest days for some aircraft.
In the time since the 2007 version of this report, the human effect
on the climate has grown more than 40 percent stronger, thanks to
continued emissions of greenhouse gases and more precision in measurements, with carbon dioxide leading the charge.