I would further add that since natural uptake is pulling half of CO2
emissions out of the atmosphere, even a 25 % reduction in CO2 emissions cuts in half the rate of climb of CO2, greatly lengthening our time and hence our options.
Or better yet, call them up, and tell them that organic farming could pull forty percent of global greenhouse gas
emissions out of the atmosphere — each year.
Not exact matches
Their message did not single
out individual countries, but the administration
of President Donald Trump has announced it is withdrawing the United States from the Paris climate accord, which seeks to curb
emissions of heat - trapping gasses in the
atmosphere.
Researchers are pursuing a handful
of negative
emissions technologies (NETs) that would mitigate global warming by pulling carbon dioxide (CO2)
out of the
atmosphere.
Mercury
emissions from human activities take several forms that behave differently in the
atmosphere Oxidized mercury, notated as Hg (II), generally settles or is rained
out of the
atmosphere close to
emission sources.
The world's plants can only pull so much CO2
out of the
atmosphere in a given season, while human
emissions keep rising.
If we embark on a path that is equivalent to setting
emissions to zero now (say by having a period
of negative
emissions in the 2035 to 2050 time frame), and call the sequestration we accomplish mitigation then mitigation can arrest climate change, make adaptation unneeded and bring us to a safe concentration
of carbon dioxide in the
atmosphere as Hansen has pointed
out.
To comment # 16, your confusion is that the estimated 5.7 GT carbon uptake is not
out of this year's
emissions, it's
out of the entire (roughly) 200GT
of excess carbon that has built up in the
atmosphere since the start
of the industrial revolution.
Forests and other land vegetation currently remove up to 30 percent
of human carbon dioxide
emissions from the
atmosphere during photosynthesis, but thanks to this latest study, experts now know that we have tropical forests to thank for a great deal
of this work - absorbing a whopping 1.4 billion metric tons
of CO2
out of a total total global absorption
of 2.5 billion metric tons.
Carbon dioxide emitted at the start
of the industrial revolution is still warming the
atmosphere today, which is why scientists take into account historical
emissions as well as present day ones to work
out a country's contribution to climate change.
«Unfortunately, if we add up human
emissions from the pre-industrial age to the present, then around 2000 gigatonnes
out of the 5000 total have already been released into the
atmosphere — so the situation is worrying,» explains Finnish Meteorological Institute researcher Antti - Ilari Partanen, who is currently carrying
out research at Concordia University and was involved in the study.
The manmade
emissions fueling global warming are accumulating so quickly in the
atmosphere that climate change could spiral
out of control before humanity can take measures drastic enough to cool the earth's fever, many climate scientists say.
Berkeley Lab received these competitive awards from ARPA - E's Rhizosphere Observations Optimizing Terrestrial Sequestration (ROOTS) program, which seeks to develop crops that take carbon
out of the
atmosphere and store it in soil — enabling a 50 percent increase in carbon deposition depth and accumulation while also reducing nitrous oxide
emissions by 50 percent and increasing water productivity by 25 percent.
To stay within the budget, global
emissions would have to peak by 2020, and then become negative — with more CO2 being taken
out of the
atmosphere by plants and the oceans than is put into the air each year — by 2090.
He said regulators have always thought that there are few
emissions during the drilling process, but when drilling rigs drill through shale layers containing a lot
of natural gas, a pressure pulse will send gas
out of the well and into the
atmosphere.
The more carbon
emissions it puts
out, the more land it needs to pull that carbon back
out of the
atmosphere and trap it.
[1] CO2 absorbs IR, is the main GHG, human
emissions are increasing its concentration in the
atmosphere, raising temperatures globally; the second GHG, water vapor, exists in equilibrium with water / ice, would precipitate
out if not for the CO2, so acts as a feedback; since the oceans cover so much
of the planet, water is a large positive feedback; melting snow and ice as the
atmosphere warms decreases albedo, another positive feedback, biased toward the poles, which gives larger polar warming than the global average; decreasing the temperature gradient from the equator to the poles is reducing the driving forces for the jetstream; the jetstream's meanders are increasing in amplitude and slowing, just like the lower Missippi River where its driving gradient decreases; the larger slower meanders increase the amplitude and duration
of blocking highs, increasing drought and extreme temperatures — and 30,000 + Europeans and 5,000 plus Russians die, and the US corn crop, Russian wheat crop, and Aussie wildland fire protection fails — or extreme rainfall floods the US, France, Pakistan, Thailand (driving up prices for disk drives — hows that for unexpected adverse impacts from AGW?)
As you may know, we have some satellites flowing around
out of the
atmosphere, which measure short waves (SW reflection) and heat (LW
emission) from below.
It needs to be spelled
out, because the «solutions» that are acceptable to the business world (carbon credit trading and attempts at burying CO2
emissions) will have almost zero effect on the real world — the rate
of increase
of CO2 in the
atmosphere will be unaffected by such «solutions».
The extreme end
of this, at very large optical depth throughout a deep part
of the
atmosphere, is when the OLR slope flattens
out to a horizontal line and the outgoing
emission becomes completely decoupled from the surface temperature, which is when a runaway greenhouse can kick in.
Once the ice reaches the equator, the equilibrium climate is significantly colder than what would initiate melting at the equator, but if CO2 from geologic
emissions build up (they would, but very slowly — geochemical processes provide a negative feedback by changing atmospheric CO2 in response to climate changes, but this is generally very slow, and thus can not prevent faster changes from faster external forcings) enough, it can initiate melting — what happens then is a runaway in the opposite direction (until the ice is completely gone — the extreme warmth and CO2 amount at that point, combined with left - over glacial debris available for chemical weathering, will draw CO2
out of the
atmosphere, possibly allowing some ice to return).
Since, if I understood correctly, scientists point
out that the reduction
of CO2 in the
atmosphere, even if all
emissions stopped today, will take decades, I believe positively and steadily moving toward the goal will be most effective for the long - term.
And, that just coincidently, the rate
of the rise has consistently been (when averaged over a few year period to smooth
out variability due to seasonal cycles and other factors) equal to about half
of the
emissions of CO2 that we are putting into the
atmosphere?
But if we fail to reduce at the required rate — and the inadequate
emissions targets indicate this is the intention — then we will be left with no option but to scrub the excess CO2 back
out of the
atmosphere in future.
Thus, either we must conclude that basic economics is wrong (which it isn't on that particular basic issue) OR carbon (which becomes carbon dioxide,
of course) must have (or be assigned) a cost that somehow reflects or represents a cost
of cleaning it
out of emissions or a cost
of pulling it back
out of the
atmosphere.
But this is a charged issue for many environmentalists and some scientists (including Jane Lubchenco, the new under secretary
of commerce for oceans and
atmosphere) who oppose such interventions with nature because they could produce unintended harms, falsely imply that we can engineer our way
out of any problem or blunt efforts to cut
emissions of greenhouse gases at the source.
But even when carbon dioxide does make its way
out of the
atmosphere, Earth's natural systems can release other carbon dioxide molecules that were previously stored in the oceans / land back into the
atmosphere, making the full effect
of carbon dioxide
emissions on surface temperatures much longer than this 5 - 200 year average.
But triggering an algae bloom is also a way to suck carbon dioxide
out of the
atmosphere, and along with spewing particles into the stratosphere to block some
of the sun's heat, it's one
of the main techniques geoengineers talk about using if efforts to limit those
emissions ultimately fail.
After fossil fuel use, deforestation is the largest single source
of greenhouse gas
emissions into the
atmosphere, climate experts point
out.
For example:
Out — In = Net flux — > 772Gt — 778Gt = -6 Gt
of CO2 from the
atmosphere naturally... now, with human
emissions: 772Gt + 29Gt — 778Gt = +23 Gt to the
atmosphere.
Indeed,
out of the three prime drivers, the only one that has seen major changes in the past few decades is the chemistry
of the
atmosphere, as a consequence
of the
emissions from burning fossil fuels.
The other is to capture fossil fuel
emissions before they enter the
atmosphere, or to suck them directly
out of the air — a technique known as carbon dioxide removal.
For a 1.5 - degree goal, large - scale negative
emissions activity would need to begin soon, before 2030, and expand rapidly, so that by 2050 or sooner the amount
of carbon sucked
out of the
atmosphere would have to exceed the amount emitted into it from fossil fuel burning.
Smokestack
emissions can be diverted directly into the ponds, feeding the algae while keeping greenhouse gases
out of the
atmosphere.
You either have to be talking about sucking a lot
of CO2
out of the
atmosphere once
emissions have peaked, or you have to talk about reducing, slightly, the amount
of sunlight that's coming into the system.
Negative
emissions technologies aim to draw carbon dioxide
out of the
atmosphere and store it safely.
Nearly all
of the discussion is about reducing future
emissions — next to none is about dealing with the fact that we already have too much CO2 up there in the
atmosphere and how to get it back
out of circulation.
Confined to the troposphere, they settle
out of the
atmosphere in a matter
of weeks to months, so in order to have a sustained climate impact there must be sustained
emissions.
George is convinced that by adding iron sulphate to the oceans, he can stimulate plankton blooms and so suck enough carbon dioxide
out of the
atmosphere to offset human
emissions from burning coal and oil.
It was a shift that made perfect sense on paper, but not on the ground, where the country's forest fires have been pumping more greenhouse gasses into the
atmosphere than do all the planes, trains, and factories
of the United States, as the World Resources Institute (WRI) pointed
out in a blog post called Indonesia's Fire Outbreaks Producing More Daily
Emissions than Entire US Economy.
BECCS is being promoted as a means to achieve negative
emissions whereby more greenhouse gases are taken
out of the
atmosphere than are put into it.
Climate Emergency Darebin will pursue the creation
of a zero
emissions economy that also engages in drawing excess CO2
out of the
atmosphere on order to contribute to the emergency speed restoration
of a cool safe climate.
GHG
emission mitigation strategies designed to prevent GHGs from going in to the
atmosphere would be one side
of the «carbon management» coin, CDR strategies designed to take carbon
out of the
atmosphere would be the other side
of this coin.
Just a further comment — the so - called greenhouse effect is also the effect
of temperature being raised as a result
of the energy stored in the atmoshpere, due to that thermal resistance
of the
atmosphere acting on the infra - red
emissions from the ground back
out.
28 May 2014 Washington, D.C. In a bid to reduce their contribution to global greenhouse gas
emissions, corporate leaders like Chevrolet, Marks & Spencer, and Allianz continued to voluntarily purchase carbon offsets in 2013, locking 76 million metric tonnes
of greenhouse gases
out of the
atmosphere, according to the annual State
of the Voluntary Carbon Markets report, previewed by Forest Trends» Ecosystem Marketplace this week in Cologne, Germany.
28 May 2014 Washington, D.C. In a bid to reduce their contribution to global greenhouse gas
emissions, corporate leaders like Chevrolet, Marks & Spencer, and Allianz continued to voluntarily purchase carbon offsets in 2013, locking 76 million metric tonnes
of greenhouse gases
out of the
atmosphere, according to the annual State
of the -LSB-...]
Happily, Hsu debunks the notion
of «
emissions certainty» that was used to sell cap - and - trade, by pointing
out that for a «stock» pollutant such as CO2 that persists in the
atmosphere for a century, the objective must be cumulative rather than annual reductions.
«India has already started reducing
emission intensity, reducing the energy intensity
of development, increasing energy efficiency and also increasing the forest cover (to take more carbon
out of the
atmosphere).
Wehner and his co-authors
of Chapter 2
of the NCA, which looked at the physical basis for our understanding
of climate change, considered seven different future scenarios (including four new ones), ranging from the «do nothing» option to a geoengineering option, which would require an as - yet uninvented technology to take CO2
out of the
atmosphere on a global scale, to achieve net negative
emissions of greenhouse gases by 2050.
However, as I wrote recently, most
of those scenarios rely heavily on «negative
emissions» — ways
of pulling carbon dioxide
out of the
atmosphere.