Yet hardly any nations are explaining their national ghg
emissions reductions commitments on the basis of how they are congruent with their equitable obligations and the international media for the most part is ignoring this vital part of this civilization challenging drama unfolding in Warsaw.
In the absence of a court adjudicating what equity requires of nations in setting their national climate change commitments, a possibility but far from a guarantee under existing international and national law (for an explanation of some of the litigation issues, Buiti, 2011), the best hope for encouraging nations to improve the ambition of their national
emissions reductions commitments on the basis of equity and justice is the creation of a mechanism under the UNFCCC that requires nations to explain their how they quantitatively took equity into account in establishing their INDCs and why their INDC is consistent with the nation's ethical obligations to people who are most vulnerable to climate change and the above principles of international law.
We're facing a big problem — or more specifically, a big gap: what's being referred to as the «gigatonne gap» means that
the emissions reduction commitments on the table are not enough to keep temperatures from rising.
But without developing countries getting involved in climate control and R&D investment, such a cooperation alone is unable to completely offset negative economic effects of
the emissions reduction commitments on both industrialized countries themselves and developing countries.
Not exact matches
Importantly, none of these groups could point to federal government dysfunction
on climate policy to defend their own inaction, he said, because the wild rhetoric of government dissidents like Craig Kelly does not reflect mainstream government policy for the nation to meet its Paris
commitments for a 26 - 28 per cent
reduction in carbon
emissions by 2030.
But we don't yet have a national
emissions reduction target that any credible expert believes is capable of delivering
on our Paris
commitments for the machinery to deliver.
This decrease is about five times larger than the annual
emissions reduction target for the first
commitment period (2008 - 2012) of the Kyoto Protocol
on climate change.
If Trump stays in, he might choose to weaken the United States»
commitment on emissions, which is currently a
reduction of 26 to 28 percent by 2025.
Industrialized countries like the United States will report
on the progress of their
emission reduction commitments, while developing countries will report
on their mitigation actions — a slight distinction, but an important one.
The analysis finds that a single policy tool — fossil fuel subsidy removal — could deliver
emissions reductions equivalent to one - quarter of all current country
commitments under the landmark Paris Agreement
on climate change.
Britain is currently saying we're going to have 34 percent
reduction by 2020
on 1990 [
emissions] as part of the E.U.
commitment and he wants us to go to a higher number.
Your purchase will fund a portion of our
commitment, made
on our customers» behalf, to purchase 100 percent of the carbon dioxide - equivalent verified
emissions reductions («VERs») to be produced by the Project over a specific period of time, usually its first 10 years of operations.
Sofidel Group (known in Italy mainly for its Regina brand) is re-launching its
commitment to the environment by broadening its agreement with WWF's Climate Savers, based
on the voluntary definition of substantial
reduction plans for carbon dioxide
emissions through the implementation of innovative strategies and technologies.
In addition to Sony's operational
emission reduction targets, the company is also announcing additional 2020
commitments including a goal to reduce the annual energy use of their products by 30 per cent
on average (compared to 2013 levels), a goal to increase the use of renewable energy, a target to reduce logistic - related
emissions by 10 per cent, and a program to engage suppliers and contract manufacturers to reduce their GHG
emissions.
Furthermore, some countries have actually backtracked
on their
commitments to
emissions reductions (e.g. Canada and Australia) 24,25.
Unless significant efforts are made
on the U.S. end (through a
commitment to a more stringent
emission reduction target), China will stick to the
emission intensity target announced in November 2009 as its international
commitment.
The Cancun meeting in fact made it more likely for the developed countries to shift from the Kyoto Protocol and its binding regime of
emission reduction commitments, to a voluntary system in which each country only makes pledges
on how much it will reduce its
emissions.
The US says it can join a new treaty but sets an unfair condition that is unlikely to fly — that developing countries which are major economies also take
on similar
emission -
reduction commitments as the developed nations.
What does that mean: There is a group of countries, mainly rich countries, who should be taking
on clear binding
commitments through
reductions; and, (the others, the) non-Annex-I countries should be taking strong action but with no strong binding
commitments on emissions.
In addition, because each national
emission reduction target
commitment must be understood as an implicit position of the nation
on safe ghg atmospheric concentration levels, setting national ghg
emissions goals must be set with full knowledge of how any national target will affect the global problem.
This technical document provides the following information: - An update of global greenhouse gas
emission estimates, based
on a number of different authoritative scientific sources; - An overview of national
emission levels, both current (2010) and projected (2020) consistent with current pledges and other
commitments; - An estimate of the level of global
emissions consistent with the two degree target in 2020, 2030 and 2050; - An update of the assessment of the «
emissions gap» for 2020; - A review of selected examples of the rapid progress being made in different parts of the world to implement policies already leading to substantial
emission reductions and how they can be scaled up and replicated in other countries, with the view to bridging the
emissions gap.
However, a clear understanding of how national
emissions reductions commitments affect global climate change impacts requires an understanding of complex relationships between atmospheric ghg concentrations, likely global temperature changes in response to ghg atmospheric concentrations, rates of ghg
emissions reductions over time and all of this requires making assumptions about how much CO2 from
emissions will remain in the atmosphere, how sensitive the global climate change is to atmospheric ghg concentrations, and when the international community begins to get
on a serious
emissions reduction pathway guided by equity considerations.
At climate negotiations at COP - 13 in Bali, Indonesia in 2007, parties to the UNFCCC agreed to replace the Kyoto Protocol with an agreement that would create a second
commitment period under the UNFCCC and would include binding
emissions reductions for developed countries and new programs
on adaptation for developing countries, deforestation, finance, technology transfer, and capacity building.
India has opposed any such
reduction commitment on its
emissions which, it says, would dampen its growth prospects.
C40 Cities Climate Leadership Group, 12 California, 7, 68, 102, 128, 169 - 170, 187, 196, 232 - 234, 245 California Energy Commission, 232 Cambridge Media Environment Programme (CMEP), 167 - 168 Cambridge University, 102 Cameron, David, 11, 24, 218 Cameroon, 25 Campbell, Philip, 165 Canada, 22, 32, 64, 111, 115, 130, 134, 137, 156 - 157, 166, 169, 177, 211, 222, 224 - 226, 230, 236, 243 Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (CMOS), 15 Cap - and - trade, 20, 28, 40 - 41, 44, 170, 175 allowances (permits), 41 - 42, 176, 243 Capitalism, 34 - 35, 45 Capps, Lois, 135 Car (see vehicle) Carbon, 98, 130 Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS), 192 Carbon Capture and Storage Association, 164 Carbon credits (offsets), 28 - 29, 42 - 43, 45 Carbon Cycle, 80 - 82 Carbon dioxide (CO2), 9, 18, 23, 49 - 51, 53, 55, 66 - 67, 72 - 89, 91, 98 - 99, 110, 112, 115, 118, 128 - 132, 137, 139, 141 - 144, 152, 240
emissions, 12, 18 - 25, 28 - 30, 32 - 33, 36 - 38, 41 - 44, 47, 49, 53, 55, 71 - 72, 74, 77 - 78, 81 - 82, 108 - 109, 115, 132, 139, 169, 186, 199 - 201, 203 - 204, 209 - 211, 214, 217, 219, 224, 230 - 231, 238, 241, 243 - 244 Carbon Dioxide Analysis Center, 19 Carbon Expo, 42 Carbon, footprint, 3, 13, 29, 35, 41, 45, 110, 132 tax, 20, 44, 170 trading, 13, 20, 40, 43, 44, 176, 182 Carbon monoxide (CO), 120 Carbon
Reduction Commitment (CRC), 44 Carlin, George, 17 Carter, Bob, 63 Carter, Jimmy, 186, 188 Cato Institute, 179 CBS, 141, 146 Center for Disease Control, 174 Center for the Study of Carbon Dioxide and Global Change, 62, 139 Centre for Policy Studies, 219 CERN (European Organization for Nuclear Research), 96 Chavez, Hugo, 34 Chicago Tribune, 146 China, 29, 32 - 33, 60 - 62, 120, 169, 176, 187 - 188, 211, 216, 225 - 226, 242 - 243 China's National Population and Planning Commission, 33 Chinese Academy of Sciences, 60 Chirac, Jacques, 36 Chlorofluorocarbons, 42 - 43, 50 Choi, Yong - Sang, 88 Christy, John, 105 Churchill, Winston, 214, 220 Chu, Steven, 187 Citibank (Citigroup), 40, 176 Clean Air Act, 85, 128 - 129 Clean Development Mechanism, 42 Climate Action Partnership, 14 Climate alarm, 4, 13, 21, 32, 35, 38, 56, 102 - 103, 115 - 117, 120, 137, 156, 168, 173, 182 Climate Audit, 66 Climate change, adaptation, 39, 110, 112 mitigation, 16, 39, 110 Climate Change and the Failure of Democracy, 34 Climate Change: Picturing the Science, 121 Climate Change Reconsidered, 242 Climate conference, 38 Cancun, 18, 29, 36 - 37, 124 - 125, 242 Copenhagen, 33, 36, 109, 125, 156, 158, 175, 241 - 242 Durban, 13, 36 - 37, 166, 242 - 243 Climategate, 2, 67, 152, 158 - 170, 180, 182, 242 Climate Protection Agreement, 12 Climate Research Unit (CRU), 48, 67, 120, 147, 152 - 153, 158 - 160, 162 - 163, 165 - 167, 169 Climate Science Register, 142 Climatism, definition, 2, 7 Clinton, Bill, 176, 178 Clinton Global Initiative, 176 CLOUD project, 96 Club of Rome, 21, 186 CO2Science, 59, 61 - 62, 66, 131 Coal, 19 - 20, 39 - 41, 80, 126, 128 - 129, 175, 185 - 186, 188 - 190, 192 - 196, 199 - 201, 209, 214, 217, 219, 222, 229 Coase, Ronald, 145 Coca - Cola, 138 Cogley, Graham, 156 Cohen, David, 220 Colorado State University, 117, 181 Columbia University, 7 Columbus, Christopher, 58 Computer models, 16, 51 - 53, 56, 67, 72, 74,77 - 79, 82, 87, 89 - 91, 94, 105, 110 - 111, 120, 124, 138 - 140, 168, 171,173, 181, 238, 240, 246 Conference
on the Changing Atmosphere, 15 Consensus, scientific, 12 Copenhagen Business School, 134 Coral, 53 Corporate Average Fuel Economy, 22 - 23 Cosmic Rays, 72, 93 - 99, 180 Credit Suisse, 176 Crow, Cheryl, 30 Crowley, Tom, 167 Cuadrilla Resources, 224 - 225 Curry, Judith, 164, 167 Cycles, natural, 3, 16, 57, 62 - 63, 66 - 69, 72, 80, 99, 103, 138, 238, 240 Milankovich, 62, 67, 80 Cyprus, 134 Czech Republic, 12, 37
Although some progress was made
on a few issues in the two year lead - up to Copenhagen, little progress was made
on the major issues and particularly
on commitments for GHG
emissions reductions and funding for adaptation, deforestation programs, and technology transfer.
The next entry in the series will look at the ethical issues entailed by the need for national
emissions reductions commitments to be based
on «equity» and «justice».
Urgenda's complaint, Matthew, was that the Dutch government reneged
on its earlier
commitment to a given
reduction of
emissions.
Based
on the statistics from the table below, the buildings sector has had differential success in addressing Canada's
commitment to the Kyoto Agreement, which requires
reductions to six per cent below 1990 GHG
emission levels between 2008 - 2012.
Vaughan Pratt: Urgenda's complaint, Matthew, was that the Dutch government reneged
on its earlier
commitment to a given
reduction of
emissions.
The
commitments made by countries in Paris,
on their own, did not achieve sufficient
reductions in greenhouse gas
emissions to meet the agreed target.
The Methane Challenge Program would expand
on the Natural Gas STAR program by recognizing companies that make specific
emissions reduction commitments and agree to submit annual data
on the progress they're making.
In summary, a strong case can be made that the US
emissions reduction commitment for 2025 of 26 % to 28 % clearly fails to pass minimum ethical scrutiny when one considers: (a) the 2007 IPCC report
on which the US likely relied upon to establish a 80 %
reduction target by 2050 also called for 25 % to 40 %
reduction by developed countries by 2020, and (b) although reasonable people may disagree with what «equity» means under the UNFCCC, the US
commitments can't be reconciled with any reasonable interpretation of what «equity» requires, (c) the United States has expressly acknowledged that its
commitments are based upon what can be achieved under existing US law not
on what is required of it as a mater of justice, (d) it is clear that more ambitious US
commitments have been blocked by arguments that alleged unacceptable costs to the US economy, arguments which have ignored US responsibilities to those most vulnerable to climate change, and (e) it is virtually certain that the US
commitments can not be construed to be a fair allocation of the remaining carbon budget that is available for the entire world to limit warming to 2 °C.
The US March announcement
on its
reduction targets for 2025 was met with mostly, but not uniformly, positive responses from nations around the world because the new
commitments were a significant increase over the US
commitment made in 2009 to reduce US ghg
emissions by 17 % below 2005
emissions levels by 2020.
Democrats were counting
on the regulations the EPA crafted to underpin the
commitments the president made at the Paris climate change conferences, and
on those
commitments to induce other nations to make similar
reductions in the growth of their
emissions.
Although it is speculation, it would appear that the reference by the United States to an 80 %
reduction commitment by 2050 originally made to the G8 was influenced by a 2007 report by the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007, p776) which concluded that developed nations needed to reduce ghg
emissions by 25 % to 40 % below 1990
emissions levels by 2020 and 80 % to 95 % by 2050 for the world to have any reasonable chance of limiting warming to 2 °C.
The steepness of these curves superimposed
on actual national ghg
emissions levels is an indication of the enormity of the challenge for the international community because the
emissions reduction curves are much steeper than
reductions that can be expected under projections of what current national
commitments are likely to achieve if fully implemented.
Second, the US has admitted that its
commitment on its 2025
emissions reductions of 26 % to 28 % is simply based
on what is achievable under existing law not what is required of the US as a matter of justice.
On the other, southern decision - makers refuse
emissions reduction commitments that they fear (with every justification) will derail their journey to «development.»
ARJOWIGGINS GRAPHICS Shaping the paper industry Arjowiggins Graphic's Climate Savers
commitment is to achieve a 23 %
reduction in its
emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) by 2014 (based
on 2007 levels) against stabilized sales volumes; with a sub-target
reduction of 10 % for each ton of paper.
The Senate does not support the Paris Agreement, which is why his administration prefers to not call it a treaty, and the centerpiece of the president's
emission reduction commitments, the Clean Power Plan, is
on shaky legal ground, which the United States Supreme Court recently affirmed.
THE COCA - COLA COMPANY World's biggest soft drinks manufacturer puts a lid
on carbon The Coca - Cola Company's Climate Savers
commitment consists of two complementary
emissions reduction targets for its global manufacturing operations: • Stabilize
emissions — grow the business, not the carbon • Reduce absolute
emissions by 5 % in developed countries.
As we have seen the Cancun agreements fail to modify the inadequate voluntary
commitments on ghg
emissions reductions made pursuant to the Copenhagen Accord.
As Copenhagen approached, optimism about a Copenhagen deal faded although there was a short spurt of renewed hope several weeks before the conference started in December 2009 as the US, China, and a few other nations publicly made non-binding
commitments on emissions reductions.
China and other developing countries are unlikely to agree to binding
emissions reductions, and the «national schedules» that some have proposed to take their place are unlikely to appease domestic constituencies in the United States and elsewhere concerned that domestic
emissions -
reduction commitments will further exacerbate the economic advantages that China and other developing economies have
on their competitors in the developed world.
Others saw Copenhagen as a success for achieving agreement
on the long - term goals of the UNFCCC, new voluntary
commitments from many developing countries, new levels of cooperation from China
on verifying its voluntary
emissions reductions commitments, and promises to mobilize significant amounts of money for adaptation in developing countries.
It would appear that some of the national
commitments that are referenced in the Cancun agreements are based upon grandfathering
emissions reductions from existing levels not
on what justice requires of nations.
On the official side, minor steps were made towards more emission reductions, including the agreement of a second commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol, continuation of climate finance and initiation of a discussion on raising the ambition level before 202
On the official side, minor steps were made towards more
emission reductions, including the agreement of a second
commitment period of the Kyoto Protocol, continuation of climate finance and initiation of a discussion
on raising the ambition level before 202
on raising the ambition level before 2020.
That is, although it may be in everyone's interest if the United States encourages others to make ghg
emissions reductions commitments, the United States may not refuse to reduce its
emissions to its fair share of safe global
emissions on the basis that others have not acted.
At the COP - 13 negotiations in Bali, Indonesia in 2007, parties to the UNFCCC agreed to replace the Kyoto Protocol with an agreement that would create a second
commitment period under the UNFCCC and would include binding
emissions reductions for developed countries and new programs
on adaptation for developing countries, deforestation, finance, technology transfer, and capacity building.