Sentences with phrase «emissions stabilization scenario»

Using 1860 to 2005 as the historical period, this index has a global mean of 2069 (± 18 years s.d.) for near - surface air temperature under an emissions stabilization scenario and 2047 (± 14 years s.d.) under a «business - as - usual» scenario.

Impact assessment of emissions stabilization scenarios with and without induced technological change.

Not exact matches

To derive the climate projections for this assessment, we employed 20 general circulation models to consider two scenarios of global carbon emissions: one where atmospheric greenhouse gases are stabilized by the end of the century and the other where it grows on its current path (the stabilization [RCP4.5] and business - as - usual [RCP8.5] emission scenarios, respectively).

In end - of - century projections, summers have the largest increases in average temperature: 6.5 °F (3.6 °C) for the stabilization emission scenario, 11.8 °F (6.6 °C) for the business - as - usual emission scenario.

Average daily minimum and maximum temperatures increase in the mid-century and end - of - century projections for both stabilization and business - as - usual emission scenarios (Figure 2 - 10 shows output for annual average daily maximum temperature).

Differences exist in projections for the stabilization and business - as - usual emission scenarios, with the former consistently showing lower magnitudes of change than the latter.

We don't know exactly what emissions scenarios would lead to a stabilization at 560 ppm or what exactly the impacts of a given average termperature increase would be.

A large ensemble of Earth system model simulations, constrained by geological and historical observations of past climate change, demonstrates our self ‐ adjusting mitigation approach for a range of climate stabilization targets ranging from 1.5 to 4.5 °C, and generates AMP scenarios up to year 2300 for surface warming, carbon emissions, atmospheric CO2, global mean sea level, and surface ocean acidification.

The projected increase in annual average daily maximum temperature (°F) for each climate division in Montana for the periods 2049 - 2069 and 2070 - 2099 for (A) stabilization (RCP4.5) and (B) business - as - usual (RCP8.5) emission scenarios.

Unlike the scenarios developed by the IPCC and reported in Nakicenovic et al. (2000), which examined possible global futures and associated greenhouse - related emissions in the absence of measures designed to limit anthropogenic climate change, RCP4.5 is a stabilization scenario and assumes that climate policies, in this instance the introduction of a set of global greenhouse gas emissions prices, are invoked to achieve the goal of limiting emissions and radiative forcing.

RCP4.5 is based on the MiniCAM Level 2 stabilization scenario reported in Clarke et al. (2007) with additional detail on the non-CO2 and pollution control assumptions documented by Smith and Wigley (2006), and incorporating updated land use modeling and terrestrial carbon emissions pricing assumptions as reported in Wise et al. (2009a, b).

Comparison of the RCP4.5 to other 4.5 W / m2 stabilization scenarios in literature for a global population assumptions, b global GDP assumptions, c emissions of CO2 from all energy and industrial sources, and d price of carbon in 2005 US dollars per ton of CO2

To counter this business - as - usual scenario, the Stern Review proposes a climate stabilization regime in which greenhouse gas emissions would peak by 2015 and then drop 1 percent per year after that, so as to stabilize at a 550 ppm CO2e (with a significant chance that the global average temperature increase would thereby be kept down to 3 °C).

The WGI report is based on a new type of scenarios of future anthropogenic emissions called Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), which include a mitigation scenario leading to a very low climate forcing, two stabilization scenarios and one scenario with very high GHG emissions.

CSO's carbon metric functions by comparing the GHG emissions of organizations to specific targets taken from science - based climate change mitigation / stabilization scenarios.

The radiative forcing estimates are based on the forcing of greenhouse gases and other forcing agents.5 The four selected RCPs were considered to be representative of the literature, and included one mitigation scenario leading to a very low forcing level (RCP2.6), two medium stabilization scenarios (RCP4.5 / RCP6) and one very high baseline emission scenarios (RCP8.5).

It is a stabilization scenario in which total radiative forcing is stabilized shortly after 2100, without overshoot, by the application of a range of technologies and strategies for reducing greenhouse gas emissions (Fujino et al. 2006; Hijioka et al. 2008).

In considering the full range of IPCC scenarios, global net emissions would need to begin in approximately 2070 under scenarios seeking to keep temperature increases at the possible lowest levels, and progressively later for high - temperature stabilization levels;

Sankovski, A., W. Barbour, and W. Pepper, 2000: Quantification of the IS99 emission scenario storylines using the atmospheric stabilization framework (ASF).

Figure SPM.7: Emissions pathways of mitigation scenarios for alternative categories of stabilization levels (Category I to VI as defined in the box in each panel).