I had a recent phone chat with Susan Solomon of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration about the CO2 challenge in the face of
emissions trajectories like those in the oil companies» reports.
Not exact matches
Over the years, IPCC has issued numerous scenarios describing the
trajectory of civilization and what they may mean for CO2
emissions and the
like.
[AR: I keep hearing, again and again, that China simply will not budge from its growth, coal, and
emissions trajectories without help — meaning money — from countries,
like the United States, that have built their own economies on fossil fuels for a century or two.
«I was surprised to see that the
trajectory of
emissions since 2000 now looks
like it's running higher than the highest scenarios climate modelers are using.»
Indeed, his core objection appears to be with technology fixes in general, or the conviction that any bit of technological derring - do — be it a high - efficiency photovoltaic cell or a low -
emissions vehicle — will be sufficient to nudge the planet from unpleasant
trajectories like global warming.
But its proposed tax of $ 40 / T CO2 would rise only 2 % / year, nothing
like the more aggressive $ 5 / year Mr. Komanoff espouses and nowhere near the
trajectory needed to reduce
emissions 80 % by 2050.
«I think they are engaging on a more operational level and areas of surer ground,
like HFCs, rather than peaking years and
emission trajectories.»
This is most clearly demonstrated by the fact that global CO2
emissions have now been flat for three years, which is greatly at odds with every
emissions trajectory from the fossil fuel industry or major modelling institutions
like the IEA or US EIA.