The move by the Obama administration is mostly doing what's possible, not what's needed given global
emissions trends for carbon dioxide, but is still creditable given the lack of such a step under previous administrations.
The post centers on an interview with Glen Peters, a scientist who is one of the authors of this year's Global Carbon Budget report, tracking
emissions trends for carbon dioxide from energy and cement production.
Not exact matches
All of Alfa Laval's hygienic food equipment, food machinery, and services
for the food processing industry are developed with the aim of keeping up with the food industry
trends and addressing four key challenges; supplying food products to consumers at a competitive price, getting the most from raw materials, reducing waste and
emissions, and delivering safe and hygienic food products.
State government agencies have provided baseline numbers
for 1990
emission levels and expected 2020 levels based on current
trends.
Combination of economic
trends and policies Still,
for now an array of Obama administration actions and economic
trends are conspiring to cut
emissions, according to EIA: Americans are using less oil because of high gasoline prices; carmakers are complying with federal fuel economy standards; electricity companies are becoming more efficient; state renewable energy rules are ushering wind and solar energy onto the power grids; gas prices are competitive with coal; and federal air quality regulations are closing the dirtiest power plants.
Global GHG
emissions continue to be dominated by fossil carbon dioxide (CO2)
emissions, which however show a slowdown
trend since 2012, and were stalled
for the third year in a row in 2016.
Global warming became big news
for the first time during the hot summer of 1988 when now - retired NASA climate scientist James Hansen testified before Congress that the
trend was not part of natural climate variation, but rather the result of
emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gasses from human activities.
But other IPCC work — on
trends in
emissions of greenhouse gases,
for instance — assumes poor nations will grow richer.
In its annual analysis of
trends in global carbon dioxide
emissions, the Global Carbon Project (GCP) published three peer - reviewed articles identifying the challenges
for society to keep global average warming less than 2 °C above pre-industrial levels.
The latest report blends key points of the group's earlier reviews of climate
trends, the possibility of adapting to a warmer climate and strategies
for cutting carbon
emissions.
The figure is also about 10 per cent less than the estimate given
for China in the most recent publication of the Global Carbon Project, which updates annually the global carbon
emissions and their implications
for future
trends.
A new study, published today in Nature Climate Change, suggests that — if current
trends continue — food production alone will reach, if not exceed, the global targets
for total greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions in 2050.
While national data
for environmental performance is limited and difficult to quantify, the research team were able to plot investment in two key agri - environment schemes, land «retirement»
for conservation and limiting fertiliser use, against national
trends for farmland bird populations and
emissions from synthetic fertiliser across landmasses including the US, Canada, Australia and Europe.
A recent
trend in GCMs is to extend them to become Earth system models, that include such things as submodels
for atmospheric chemistry or a carbon cycle model to better predict changes in carbon dioxide concentrations resulting from changes in
emissions.
On the contrary, SOMO35
trends were very different
for both periods with a median
trend of a 1.6 % relative increase over 1990 — 2001, whereas a sharp 30 % decrease was observed
for the 2002 — 2012 period; highlighting the effectiveness of European
emissions controls
for this health metric (Colette et al., 2016).
The study highlighted significant impacts of this
trend, including land clearing
for farming, logging and settlement; introduction of invasive species; carbon
emissions leading to climate change and ocean acidification; and toxins that poison the ecosystem.
Nonetheless, our sea - level rise projections
for the first half of this century are not strongly affected by the way Antarctica is modeled, nor are they strongly tied to global greenhouse gas
emissions trends.
Still, a great portion of the «summary
for policymakers» deals with the recent temperature rise, and it concludes that it's «likely» that there is a human contribution to the observed
trend (by which I assume CO2
emissions are especially understood, even more so considered the negative forcings mentioned).
Economy and
emissions particularly have been two major factors in the
trend for «downsizing» we've experienced in the car industry over the past decade or so.
If current
trends continue, the 2.0 - litre TDI Ultra diesel with 187bhp will be by far the most popular engine, thanks to its economy of up to 68.9 mpg and CO2
emissions of 108g / km,
for a company - car friendly Benefit - in - Kind (BiK) band of 23 %.
It was feared the V8 petrol engines from both car - makers could have been killed off and replaced by a twin - turbo V6 as part of the general downsizing
trend in search of lower
emissions, but now thanks to sharing its considerable development costs the well - loved V8 configuration will live on
for at least another generation at both Audi and Porsche.
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for sale, car reviews and news →
EPA released the latest edition of its annual report on
trends in CO2
emissions, fuel economy and powertrain technology
for new personal vehicles in the US.
[7] Because of the GT - R's heritage, the chassis code
for the all - new version has been called CBA - R35, [8] or «R35»
for short (where CBA is the prefix
for emission standard), carrying on the naming
trend from previous Skyline GT - R generations.
The
trend for diesel registrations declining and increases in SUV registrations, combined with rising gasoline registrations, follows the recent news that CO2
emissions increased by 0.3 g / km in 2017.
* Scientists from the Carnegie Institution's Department of Global Ecology have calculated that if current carbon dioxide
emission trends continue, by mid-century 98 % of present - day reef habitats will be bathed in water too acidic
for reef growth.
Jos de Laat had helpfully replied to two previous questions (concerning what was included in the
emissions and the method used
for the average
trend), and I'm sure he or the other authors involved would have been happy to clarify anything else that might have come up.
In order
for Cook to produce the necessary «correlation» between CO2
emissions and the various warming and cooling
trends of the last 100 years or so it is necessary to see CO2 as «the dominant forcing.»
Victor @ 28 citing some incredible ass: In order
for Cook to produce the necessary «correlation» between CO2
emissions and the various warming and cooling
trends of the last 100 years or so it is necessary to see CO2 as «the dominant forcing.»
There's a long history of concerns about the validity of the MSU2 / AMSU5 data (aka: the MT), going back to Spencer and Christy's work published in 1992 in which they introduced the TLT (or LT) as a correction
for the MT.. It was their claim at the time that the MT is contaminated by
emissions from the stratosphere, which has a well known cooling
trend.
But models are not tuned to the
trends in surface temperature, and as Gavin noted before (at least
for the GISS model), the aerosol amounts are derived from simulations using
emissions data and direct effects determined by changes in concentrations.
Researchers at Stanford University who closely track China's power sector, coal use, and carbon dioxide
emissions have done an initial rough projection and foresee China possibly emitting somewhere between 1.9 and 2.6 billion tons less carbon dioxide from 2008 to 2010 than it would have under «business as usual» if current bearish
trends for the global economy hold up.
He recently wrote a Policy Forum paper in Science reviewing his and other research on widespread misunderstanding of this kind of risk, including a 2007 study he was a co-author of in which 84 percent of 212 M.I.T. participating grad students drew curves
for proposed
emission trends that would result in concentrations continuing to climb.
In any case, if what really counts is the second half of the century, that makes the 7 vs 9 vs 20 debate somewhat marginal, since what matters most is what the wedges say about technological and infrastructure
trends, not what they mean
for emissions per se.
In our analysis we found that an urban development strategy focused on access
for all, rather than
for a minority who use cars, with congestion pricing, realistic parking charges, and speed limits low enough to stop the slaughter of pedestrians and cyclists would as a co-benefit also reduce oil use and CO2
emissions from cars to barely more than twice today's levels in 2020, way below the
trends.
It's been nice in recent days to see some strong advocates
for curbs in
emissions of greenhouse gases shift from the more overheated, and unsupported, rhetoric they used earlier this year in attempting a kind of «kitchen sink» argument aiming to tie virtually every recent harmful weather event to warming, even those — like powerful tornadoes —
for which there is no link and certainly no
trend.
When I wrote «In either case, we see no evidence of any long term warming
trend, in either the atmosphere or the ocean,» that should have read «long term warming
trend due to CO2
emissions...» There may be some evidence consistent with long term warming in the oceans, but I can't see how that could be due to CO2,
for reasons given above.
«If current
trends in CO2
emissions continue unabated,» says Caldeira, «in the next few decades, we will produce chemical conditions in the oceans that have not been seen
for tens of millions of years.
Given the total irrelevance of volcanic aerosols during the period in question, the only very modest effect of fossil fuel
emissions and the many inconsistencies governing the data pertaining to solar irradiance, it seems clear that climate science has no meaningful explanation
for the considerable warming
trend we see in the earlier part of the 20th century — and if that's the case, then there is no reason to assume that the warming we see in the latter part of that century could not also be due to either some as yet unknown natural force, or perhaps simply random drift.
As
for pessimism, he's considered global
emissions trends, not just USA's.
The realities of sea - level rise and Antarctic
trends and China's
emissions, etc., make me feel ever more confident that the [bend, stretch, reach, teach] shift I charted
for my goals in my TEDx talk (away from numbers and toward qualities) is the right path.
James E. Hansen, the head of Goddard and an outspoken campaigner
for prompt cuts in greenhouse - gas
emissions, explained that the decades - long global warming
trend and patterns of warming remain consistent with a growing influence on climate from the planet's building blanket of heat - trapping greenhouse gases.
has an excellent overview of energy
trends in the world — and what would need to happen
for the world to curtail its greenhouse gas
emissions and avoid significant global warming.
They say their findings, which focused on the effect titling had on forest clearing and disturbance in the Peruvian Amazon between 2002 and 2005, suggest that the increasing
trend towards decentralized forest governance via granting indigenous groups and other local communities formal legal title to their lands could play a key role in global efforts to slow both tropical forest destruction, which the researchers note is responsible
for about the same amount of greenhouse gas
emissions as the transportation sector, and climate change.»
Minister
for the Environment and Water Resources, Masagos Zulkifli, said that it makes business sense
for companies to start pricing the cost of
emissions into operations given the growing
trend towards decarbonisation of the economy.
He emphasizes a recent
trend in finance models
for forest preservation and a growing consensus in the international community: local projects linked to regional or national government
emissions accounting frameworks limit the risk
for leakage and increase the security of reductions.
I prefer the
trend of the accumulated
emissions, which is a near perfect fit
for the observed accumulation in the atmosphere, above the temperature
trend which is not so perfect... See and compare: with:
If temperature is responsible
for the
trend, where does the
emissions go?
The problem is that you expand this to that temperature is responsible
for the current
trend, which is caused by something else (
emissions), while the sensitivity only holds
for the variability around the
trend and a (small) part of the
trend, depending of the temperature difference between begin and endpoint.
«My view is that a Chinese target of a 40 percent reduction in carbon
emissions intensity between 2005 and 2020 would be a continuation of historical
trends,» said Jim Watson, from the Tyndall Centre
for climate change research in Britain [and whose report on China's carbon scenarios we've discussed on this blog; see previous post «Tyndall Centre Climate Report: High Hopes
for Low Carbon»].