Since even the IPCC estimates this constant at ~ 8 years (corresponding to a half - life of 5 years), this means that if humankind had been
emitting at the current rate of 8GTC / yr for the last century we still would only be responsible for ~ 30ppm of the 100ppm increase over that time.
Not exact matches
This is partly due to the
current atmosphere containing much less CO2 — approximately 400 ppm (parts per million)-- compared to before the PETM, where the concentration was about 1,000 ppm and partly because we
emit carbon into the atmosphere
at a much faster
rate than during the PETM.
«Dramatic rises in sea level are almost inevitable if we continue to
emit greenhouse gases
at the
current rate.»
If demand for meat continues to increase
at its
current rate, by 2050 we'll be eating two thirds more meat than we do today — which would also mean
emitting two thirds more greenhouse gases from meat production.
Just over half that amount has already been
emitted since the beginning of the Industrial Revolution, and
at current rates of energy consumption, the trillionth ton will be released around 2040, according to calculations by Myles R. Allen, a scientist
at the University of Oxford and one of the authors of the new report.
You could argue the paleo isn't refined enough for the
current period, but there is nothing to suggest that the
current warming will not continue
at its
current rate as long as we continue to
emit.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change projects that if the world continues to
emit greenhouse gasses
at its
current rate, carbon dioxide could double somewhere around the middle of the century.
Their unwillingness to take immediate action is intellectually and morally bankrupt because unless carbon emissions are stopped very soon (remember that the damage is cumulative so continuing to
emit at current of even reduced
rates still causes additional damage hundreds if not thousands of years into the future.)
therefore: ``... If we continue to
emit greenhouse gases
at our
current rate, we risk doubling that atmospheric CO2 level in roughly 2050.»
About 24 years — that's how long it will take for humans to burn enough fossil fuels and
emit enough carbon (
at current and projected
rates) to use up that «carbon budget.»
We will get to about 580ppm by 2100 simply by continuing to
emit CO2
at our
current rate (about 2ppm p.a.) with our
current population and level of GDP.
At the current carbon emissions rate of more than 10 billion tons each year and growing at around 2 percent, humans will have emitted a trillion tons of carbon by 204
At the
current carbon emissions
rate of more than 10 billion tons each year and growing
at around 2 percent, humans will have emitted a trillion tons of carbon by 204
at around 2 percent, humans will have
emitted a trillion tons of carbon by 2041.
If humans continue to
emit greenhouse gases
at current rates, the remaining carbon budget to reduce the risk of exceeding the internationally - agreed 2 °C temperature rise target will be exhausted in around 20 years.
If, for instance, the United States and India are required to reduce ghg emissions by the same percentage amount, for instance 90 %, then the US per capita emissions of approximately 20 tons CO2 per capita would allow US citizens to
emit CO2
at the
rate of 2 tons per capita while the
current India per capita emissions of approximately 1.8 tons per capita would mean that the Indian citizens could
emit only
at the
rate 0.18 tons per capita even though India needs to dramatically increase its energy use to assure that hundreds of millions of people economically rise out of grinding poverty and India has comparatively done little to cause the existing problem.
That means
emitting in total no more than about 800 billion tons of CO2 from all sources — or less than 20 years worth
at current rates.
Since the world is now
emitting carbon dioxide equivalent emissions
at approximately 10 metric gigatons per year, the world will run out of emissions under the budget in approximately 25 years
at current emissions
rates.
In any case, again, figure 3 shows that if we stop all emissions now (and yes, Jim, that means completely stop
emitting any more CO2, not just stabilize the
rate we are
emitting at now, unless I'm missing something), with a climate sensitivity of 3 degrees C we will see atmospheric CO2 levels remain
at current high levels for centuries.
To radiate all that energy away
at the
current rate the earth emits would be: Current emitted power = 1.22 * 10 ^ 17W 7.62 * 10 ^ 23J / 1.22 * 10 ^ 17W = 6.25 million seconds =
current rate the earth
emits would be:
Current emitted power = 1.22 * 10 ^ 17W 7.62 * 10 ^ 23J / 1.22 * 10 ^ 17W = 6.25 million seconds =
Current emitted power = 1.22 * 10 ^ 17W 7.62 * 10 ^ 23J / 1.22 * 10 ^ 17W = 6.25 million seconds = 72days
Assuming China's emissions continue to rise
at the
current rate of about three per cent a year for the next sixteen years, the country will be
emitting around 16 gigatonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent a year by 2030, according to thinktank Climate Action Tracker.