But those rose - tinted glasses can cloud investing decisions, leading savers to assume too much risk at the
tail end of a bull market.
OTT content could be worth $ 62 billion by 2020, putting companies like Netflix at the top of the heap for investors looking for promising plays during the
tail end of the bull market.
The
inevitable end of the bull market: With this bull market in commercial real estate now five years old (six for public real estate securities), isn't it time to be cautious?
Still, Wilson is not calling for
the end of the bull market — at least not right this instant — since, as he notes, this euphoric stage can last for a while.
To Morgan Stanley, this so - called «euphoria» stage marks the beginning of
the end of a bull market.
Just before that, relentless buying from retail and institutional investors alike struck Wilson as euphoria, the stage that marks the beginning of
the end of a bull market.
DoubleLine Capital's chief investment officer, Jeffrey Gundlach, is similarly wary of the signals being flashed by bonds, though he hasn't yet gone as far as to call
the end of the bull market.
Nonetheless, any Fed induced weakness should not be view as
the end of this bull market.
I have seen people predicting
the end of this bull market in 2017 and now in 2018.
The CAPE ratio is great for setting return expectations, but it's terrible at anticipating
the end of a bull market.
At
the end of a bull market, signs of excess are typically obvious for those willing to see them — a flurry of initial public stock offerings rising 100 % on their first day trading, or no - income, no - asset mortgages to home buyers.
Well, the indexes closed at levels very close to signal
the end of the bull market.
Assuming rates are rising because the economy is strengthening and the rise is modest, higher rates should not signal
the end of the bull market.
You might be worried that we're reaching
the end of this bull market.
The market dogs that didn't bark Stocks plunged, but oil prices, bond prices and currencies were calmThe correction in the stock market probably doesn't mean
the end of the bull market, because of the dogs that didn't bark, writes Anatole Kaletsky.
The most dangerous part of
the end of the bull market may not be what happens to stock prices.
«Looking at domestic short interest balances, I wouldn't say that
the end of the bull market is near, but investors seem to be preparing their «go bags» just in case,» Dusaniwsky says.
One thing for sure is that we don't want to be blindsided by the tail
end of the bull market.
Owen Murray, director of investments for Horizon Advisors, says investors concerned about
the end of the bull market should closely monitor a handful of leading economic indicators.
The FT ran a story this week that tried to correlate a decline in precious metals ETF flows with
the end of the bull market in gold.
I believe that the US 10 - year treasury, having been in a 35 - year bull market, is either at
the end of that bull market or at the beginning of a bear market.
In 2007, the initial break in mid-summer was fully recovered, with the market registering a fresh nominal high in early October that marked
the end of the bull market and the start of a 55 % market collapse.
If you believe, like I do, that gold trades inversely to the US 10 - year treasury, with the US 10 - year treasury at
the end of a bull market or the beginning of a bear market, that would suggest to me, the gold price is at the end of a bear market or at the beginning of a bull market.
Although it's still entirely possible to have a bear market despite a decent economy, I don't believe the current correction marks
the end of the bull market, especially considering solid growth and a lower likelihood for a September Federal Reserve (Fed) hike in interest rates.
Can a basket of equities backed by a broad cross-section of commercial fantasy images developed over the course of a bull market reflect
the end of that bull market ahead of other major indexes?
And so, there is a variety of factors on the pro and con side, but to simply declare this as the as the pivot point of
the end of the bull market, it is too early to determine and more importantly, there is a growing awareness in the global economy, the improving factors globally that are going to the data, not just in the United States, the Euro zone, even Japan is starting to see that.
I don't think we are at
the end of the bull market, but we may be at the beginning of the end.
The spike in volatility we've seen recently — and the unusual down market days we've seen this week — probably have more to do with inflation and interest rate concerns at this point, rather than signaling
the end of the bull market altogether.
These days, as the stock market reaches lofty levels, they want to know how close it is
the end of the bull market.
Many pundits have been predicting
the end of the bull market for years now, and yet markets have moved even higher.
The uncertainty faced by investors declined noticeably during each secular bull market, and
the end of each bull market usually coincided with a few years of very low economic volatility which helped the markets move into steeply overvalued territory in each case.
I wonder if this is how Seth Klarman feels toward
the end of a bull market.
At
the end of bull markets leaders fail, interest rates increase and there are divergences.
Although it's still entirely possible to have a bear market despite a decent economy, I don't believe the current correction marks
the end of the bull market, especially considering solid growth and a lower likelihood for a September Federal Reserve (Fed) hike in interest rates.
Assuming rates are rising because the economy is strengthening and the rise is modest, higher rates should not signal
the end of the bull market.
Do I disagree that correlations begin rising among risky assets toward
the end of a bull market?
There is a Wall Street aphorism, «The fool does at
the end of a bull market what the wise man does at its beginning.»
Spoiler alert: Being able to predict
the end of the bull market cycle is difficult, if not impossible.
As a market veteran, I pay very close attention to two things when I try to spot
the end of a bull market cycle.
I see the 3.25 — 3.5 % level as being the critical point on the 10 - year note where we'll likely see
the end of the bull market in US equities — risk premium spreads would be completely collapsed at that point and holding stocks would offer the same return as cash but with a lot more volatility.
This is because average investors, retail and institutional, are not as heavily invested in the equity markets as is typical toward
the end of bull markets.
As a result, most investors have a strong subconscious bullish bias by
the end of a bull market.
This is because companies usually issue convertibles during periods of time that are advantageous for the company; such as near
the end of bull markets.