If the Fed tightens enough to induce a recession, that's
the end of the business cycle.»
Even if a recession isn't imminent, Wall Street is starting to think about
the end of the business cycle.
Bottom line: While there are clear signs that we are in the late - cycle phase, some time remains before we near
the end of the business cycle.
So what parameters should we watch to see if
the end of the business cycle is approaching?
We're getting closer to
the end of the business cycle.
Taken together, the chart illustrates that, since the 1980s and when mortgages are not at the center of a recession, both the mortgage risk premium and the yield curve settle at historically predictable levels at
the end of the business cycle.
The peak short - term rate at
the end of the business cycle has, since the early 1980s, been below that reached just prior to the previous recession.
The end of a business cycle can be tough on investors.
2008 was the conclusion of the long term debt cycle and it laid on top of
the end of a business cycle.
I have found, over the years, when people begin to say things like «this time is different» or worse, «we have seen
the end of business cycles,» that the end is in fact near.