Uncertainties are related to model differences and to differences in
energy use scenarios.
Not exact matches
A. Is beneficial, safe & healthy for individuals and communities throughout its life cycle; B. Meets market criteria for performance and cost; C. Is sourced, manufactured, transported, and recycled
using renewable
energy; D. Optimizes the
use of renewable or recycled source materials; E. Is manufactured
using clean production technologies and best practices; F. Is made from materials healthy in all probable end - of - life
scenarios; G. Is physically designed to optimize materials and
energy; H. Is effectively recovered and utilized in biological and / or industrial closed loop cycles.
I recently calculated hypothetical future temperatures by plugging different ECS values into a so - called
energy balance model, which scientists
use to investigate possible climate
scenarios.
While some transportation researchers have suggested autonomous cars could cut emissions by boosting driver efficiency, others, including Fulton and his colleagues, project that
energy use and carbon emissions would increase over a business - as - usual
scenario because more people will travel farther.
In their newly published study, the U-M researchers examined cost,
energy use and greenhouse gas emissions for different types of 60 - watt - equivalent bulbs and created a computer model to generate multiple replacement
scenarios, which were then analyzed.
The GHG reduction
scenario emphasizes
energy efficiency and shifts
energy production and
use away from highly polluting forms toward cleaner sources with less air pollution.
Tyner and Jung evaluated how the economics of
using solar
energy in homes and businesses would change in a
scenario in which policies gave solar and coal power the same treatment.
Structured expert judgment has been
used for decades in fields where
scenarios have high degrees of uncertainty, most notably nuclear -
energy generation, Oppenheimer explained.
The WEC
scenarios use an explorative approach to assess what is actually happening in the world now, to help gauge what will happen in the future and the real impact of today's choices on tomorrow's
energy landscape.
On the limited information available to me, they seem quite promising — but it certainly would have been helpful in making judgments on this point if the IPCC had modelled a low - medium population projection (as in the A1 and B1
scenarios) which made more moderate assumptions about growth in output and
energy use.
The book includes chapters on the economic assumptions
used,
energy supply and storage technologies, demand and technology assumptions, a reference
scenario, variations on that
scenario, federal and state policies needed, a «roadmap,» and a final chapter of the main findings and recommendations.
Using a stock - flow model based on data from Norway, a researcher at the country's Institute of Transport Economics (TØI) has calculated the
energy transition time lag for motor vehicles under a number of
scenarios.
«It's pretty convincing stuff: observations and the physical law of
energy conversation have been
used to show greenhouse gases are responsible for global warming and that alternative
scenarios violate this law of nature.
The Met Office Hadley Centre (Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research) climate change model, Hadley Centre Coupled Model, version 3 (HadCM3)[53], a coupled atmosphere - ocean general circulation model, was
used for the time intervals 2020, 2050 and 2080 (note these date represent a time windows of ten years either side of the time interval date, i.e. 2020 is an average of the years 2010 — 2029, 2050 for 2040 — 2059 and 2080 for 2070 — 2089), under three emission
scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater
scenarios of the IPCC Special Report on Emissions
Scenarios (SRES)[54]: scenario A1B (maximum energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower energy requirements; emissions greater
Scenarios (SRES)[54]:
scenario A1B (maximum
energy requirements; emissions differentiated dependent on fuel sources; balance across sources), A2A (high
energy requirements; emissions less than A1 / Fl) and B2A (lower
energy requirements; emissions greater than B1).
However, the model had been
used to trace the
energy impact of a deep recession — giving credibility to the recession - and - recovery
scenarios that were created and presented to Shell's executive committee within days of the Lehman Brothers collapse in 2008.
Second,
scenarios with 2 °C or more warming necessarily imply expansion of fossil fuels into sources that are harder to get at, requiring greater
energy using extraction techniques that are increasingly invasive, destructive and polluting.
Humanity must become aware of the urgent need to replace fossil fuels with renewable
energy sources to avoid the catastrophic
scenario of
using coal as an
energy source as well as to replace the current model of development for sustainable development, which, by reverse logistics, with the reuse, recovery and recycling of materials, thus reaching the so - called closed production cycle, could delay the exhaustion of natural resources of the planet Earth.
The Bright Ideas Challenge is a new national, curriculum linked schools competition, which will challenge young people age 11 - 14 to assume the role of future
scenarios planners and to
use their STEM learning to imagine creative solutions to the types of
energy challenges that cities in 2050 will face (by 2050 it's estimated that 3 out of four of us will live in cities).
The company explained the iBooster and ESP - hev technology balance the
use of the CT6 electric motors to act as generators to slow the vehicle and capture as much kinetic
energy as possible during low - demand
scenarios, while blending the traditional hydraulic brakes with the motors in high - demand
scenarios.
Using Honda's new Advanced Compatibility Engineering II body structure, the 2013 Accord's front frame is designed to disperse more
energy away from the driver and passengers during a wider range of car crash
scenarios than previous models.
On the limited information available to me, they seem quite promising — but it certainly would have been helpful in making judgments on this point if the IPCC had modelled a low - medium population projection (as in the A1 and B1
scenarios) which made more moderate assumptions about growth in output and
energy use.
As the third story in our series will discuss, there are certainly times when wood
energy can be beneficial — but those
scenarios tend to play out at much more local scales, in which true waste wood is
used for heat and power.
But, there seems to be a kind of futility to projecting out these possible futures, I can't see any good
scenario here, especially given inevitable realistic future
energy use trends in the US.
They assume that no action will be taken before the global warming signal will be significant in the late 1990s, so the different
energy -
use scenarios only start diverging after that.
The other vital component of the assessment process has been the
use of
scenarios to depict how certain societal behaviors, particularly
energy use, might affect the pace and extent of climate shifts over the course of the century.
Thus, climate scientists and
energy - economic modelers have developed hundreds of plausible
scenarios of future emissions and
used them to identify emissions pathways that might achieve climate policy goals.
Solid biomass
use in developing countries begins to decline slowly in the New Policies
Scenario at about 0.6 % annually between 2016 and 2030, and its share of residential
energy drops from 54 % in 2016 to 43 % in 2030.
Statewide Time - of -
Use Scenario Modeling for 2015 California
Energy Commission Integrated
Energy Policy Report.
GCAM reference
scenario results showing a global GDP and population drivers, b global primary
energy consumption by fuel source, c global electricity production by technology, and d global allocation of land among major land cover and land
use categories
We will then proceed to describe the underlying socioeconomic assumptions that shape RCP4.5 and its associated reference
scenario and discuss the characteristics of RCP4.5, highlighting the global
energy, economic, land
use, and land cover systems, as well as the mechanisms employed to limit radiative forcing to 4.5 W m − 2 and contrast RCP4.5 to its reference
scenario.
Using long - term solar and wind
energy power production data series, the authors of this journal article present a modelling approach to investigate the influence of storage size and efficiency on the pathway towards a 100 % renewable
energy sources
scenario.
• Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage (2006) •
Energy Sector Methane Recovery and
Use Initiative (2007) • IEA
Energy Technology Essentials: Biofuel Production, Biomass Power for Power Generation and CHP, CO2 Capture and Storage, Fuel Cells, Hydrogen Production and Distribution, Nuclear Power (2007 & 2006) • International CHP / DHC Collaborative (2007) • International
Energy Technology Co-operation — Frequently Asked Questions (Chinese, Russian)(2006/7) • Renewables in Global
Energy Supply (2007) •
Energy Technology Perspectives Fact Sheets: Buildings and Appliances; Electricity Generation; Industry; Road Transport Technologies and Fuels; and
Scenario Analysis (2006)
In this
scenario, renewable
energy would ideally be
used only when it's available.
Since it is impossible to know which elements, if any, of these models are correct, we
used an average of all 13
scenarios to approximate growth rates for the various
energy types as a means to estimate trends to 2040 indicative of hypothetical 2oC pathways.
It said the only way to avoid the pessimistic
scenarios will be radical transformations in the ways the global economy currently functions, rapid uptake of renewable
energy, sharp falls in fossil fuel
use or massive deployment of CCS, removal of industrial emissions and halting deforestation.
The model is a large - scale simulation model designed to replicate how
energy markets function and is the principal tool
used to generate detailed sector - by - sector and region - by region projections for the WEO
scenarios.
The
energy system reference cases
used for future greenhouse gas (GHG) emission pathways in climate change research are a case in point: baseline emission
scenarios commonly project levels of coal combustion many times higher than current reserve estimates by the year 2100.
Compared with a «business - as - usual»
scenario, it shows how a green investment
scenario would allow the sector to continue to expand steadily over the coming decades while ensuring significant environmental benefits such as reductions in water consumption,
energy use and CO2 emissions.
Even in the simplest
scenarios, where solar power is
used for the
energy for outdoor lighting or for other small things, can reduce your
energy costs over the long haul.
To develop the Baseline
Scenario, Acadia Center
used the U.S.
Energy Information Administration's 2016 Annual
Energy Outlook as well as forecasts from the New York and New England Independent System Operators, with changes to reflect recent policy actions by states.
The selective
use of
scenarios which fit business as usual for the fossil fuel industry we believe is misleading for investors trying to understand the
energy transition.
New York / London, April 23 — The Carbon Tracker Initiative and
Energy Transition Advisors today jointly publish a «blueprint» showing the benefit of fossil fuel companies stress testing their businesses
using a set of low carbon, low price
scenarios.
One last note, the
energy budget framework can also be
used to understand the consequences of geo - engineering
scenarios that block incoming solar radiation to compensate the warming by CO2:
Modeling the Greek
energy system:
Scenarios of clean
energy use and their implications.
As
scenario analysis is mooted as a useful tool to understand the risks of the
energy transition, it is clear that
using a
scenario with no changes in technology and policy (the CPS) or the new policy
scenario (NPS)(AKA the «no new policies
scenario»), which includes what is already known about and set to come into force does not help companies or their shareholders understand risk and opportunity.
Successful 1.9 W m − 2
scenarios are characterized by a rapid shift away from traditional fossil - fuel
use towards large - scale low - carbon
energy supplies, reduced
energy use, and carbon - dioxide removal.
To me this would appear to be a worst case
scenario, based on the least developed economies building up
energy infrastructures largely
using fossil fuels, in order to pull their populations out of poverty, as China and India are doing today (thereby reducing their rate of population growth as they become more affluent and improving their carbon efficiencies) and the remaining societies continuing to improve their overall carbon efficiencies as they have already been doing.
The optimistic
energy scenario is a continuation of the accelerating rate of
energy use that has occurred over the last few decades, and exceeds the projected
energy supply of any published account, yet even this amount of
energy fails to bring global growth rates to zero.
For the «pessimistic»
scenario we
used an estimate of the future total primary
energy supply from [11], which predicts continued growth of primary
energy supplies followed by declines beginning after mid-century, and is consistent with other estimates [31].
As a general rule, in the SRES
scenarios an increasing affluence causes
energy use per capita to rise and leads to the substitution of solid fuels, such as coal and fuelwood, with
energy forms of higher quality.