Sentences with phrase «ensemble of climate models»

A large ensemble of climate model simulations suggests that the frequency of extreme wet - to - dry precipitation events will increase by 25 % to 100 % across California due to anthropogenic forcing.

As it turns out, the IPCC's latest ensemble of climate models produce estimates that overshoot the warming of the past 20 years by 100 % and of the last 15 years by 300 %.

The scientists used the latest ensemble of climate models, prepared for the 5th assessement report of the International Panel on Climate Change.

We run large ensembles of climate models to answer questions about how climate change is affecting our world.

In their study, the researchers used an ensemble of climate models to simulate the concentrations of ozone and PM2.5 in the years 2000 and 1850.

To assess future projected changes to Montana's climate, we employed an ensemble of climate models from the fifth iteration of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), and utilized a statistically downscaled dataset.

So Horton and his colleagues used an ensemble of climate models to forecast when and where stagnant conditions would prevail around the world as the globe continues to warm.

What I can say for certain, is that the recent behavior of global temperatures demonstrates that global warming is occurring at a much slower rate than that projected by the ensemble of climate models, and that global warming is most definitely not accelerating.

I also include several other items of potential interest to the cherry harvesters; first is the dotted horizontal line representing a trend of zero — i.e., no change in global temperature, and second, the thick red horizontal lines which generally indicates the average trend projected to be occurring by the ensemble of climate models.

The IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report, published in 2013, acknowledges that its ensemble of climate models project 0.16 °C of warming since 2005.

Between 801 and 1800 ce, the surface cooling trend is qualitatively consistent with an independent synthesis of terrestrial temperature reconstructions, and with a sea surface temperature composite derived from an ensemble of climate model simulations using best estimates of past external radiative forcings.

An ensemble of climate model simulations reveals that limiting anthropogenic warming to 1.5 °C instead of 2 °C can markedly reduce the area undergoing, and thus the population exposed to, aridification.

Ensembles of climate models, sampling uncertainties in model formulation, are commonly used as the basis for generation of probabilistic projections.

The inter-model correlation of transient climate response with ocean heat uptake efficacy is greater than its correlation with equilibrium climate sensitivity in an ensemble of climate models used for the 3rd and 4th IPCC assessments.