I originally planned to
equal weight a portfolio of 20 to 30 cigar butt positions.
The investment objective of Horizons HEE is to provide Unitholders with: (a) exposure to the performance of
an equal weighted portfolio of Canadian companies that are involved in the crude oil and natural gas industry; and (b) monthly distributions of dividend and call option income.
The investment objective of Horizons HEA is to provide Unitholders with: (a) exposure to the performance of
an equal weighted portfolio of large capitalization U.S. companies; and (b) monthly U.S. dollar distributions of dividend and call option income.
To achieve its investment objective Horizons HEA primarily invests in
an equal weighted portfolio of large capitalization U.S. companies.
The investment objective of Horizons HEP is to provide Unitholders with: (a) exposure to the performance of
an equal weighted portfolio of North American listed gold mining and exploration companies; and (b) monthly distributions of dividend and call option income.
Not exact matches
As we noted earlier this month when we revealed this year's list, an
equal -
weighted portfolio of Fortune 500 stocks held since 1980, rebalanced with each new year's list, would have earned twice the return
of an investment in broader market indices.
We notice that the
equal -
weighted portfolio averages a 3.98 % return in January across the 30 years, 3.11 % above the value -
weighted portfolio, while there is no dramatic difference for the rest
of the year.
The following chart, taken from the paper, depicts the average asset mixes
of self - directed and advised investors based on
equal weighting of individual
portfolios.
If you take them as an
equal weighted portfolio, they are priced in about the 80th percentile
of the market.
Browne proposed an
equal -
weight portfolio of stocks, long - term bonds, cash, and gold.
He measures the attractiveness
of adding anomaly premiums to the benchmark
portfolio by comparing Sharpe ratios, Sortino ratios and performances during recessions
of five
portfolios: (1) a traditional
portfolio (TP) that equally
weights equity, term and default premiums; (2) an
equal weighting of size, value and momentum premiums (SVM) as a basic anomaly
portfolio; (3) a factor
portfolio (FP) that equally
weights all 10 anomaly premiums; (4) a mixed
portfolio (MP) that equally
weights all 13 premiums; and, (5) a balanced
portfolio (BP) that equally
weights TP and FP.
How hard is it to beat
equal weighting in constructing a
portfolio of attractive common stocks?
We first perform a sensitivity test
of fund ranking (lookback) intervals ranging from one to 12 months on the following monthly reformed
portfolios: the winner fund (Top 1); an equally
weighting of the top two funds (EW top 2); an equally
weighting of the Top 3 funds (EW Top 3); and, an
equal weighting of all five funds (EW All).
If you were to place an
equal weight (20 %) into each
of these stocks, you would have a
portfolio with a yield
of 4.26 %, better than any
of the other solutions we've discussed so far.
That means that the best estimate
of the return
of a randomly - selected
portfolio is the return
of an
equal -
weight index.
The
portfolio is an
equal -
weight portfolio of stocks, long - term bonds, cash, and gold.
Unique methodology in an ETF FUT is the only managed futures ETF to use an innovative risk -
weighting methodology so that each position contributes an
equal amount
of estimated risk to the overall
portfolio when it rebalances monthly.
Is the only Managed Futures ETF to use an innovative risk -
weighting methodology so that each commodity, currency, and fixed income position contributes an
equal amount
of estimated risk to the overall
portfolio when it rebalances monthly.
The bottom line is that you can achieve the somewhat higher returns
of an
equal -
weighted large - cap fund, by simply allocating some
of your
portfolio to mid-sized or small market - cap
weighted index funds.
Weighted Average Beta:
Weighted average beta
equals a stocks beta times its portion
of a
portfolio.
Standard deviation and max drawdown
of the
equal weight SPY / TLT
portfolio is lower than the combined market timing system and SPY:
So while it is true that there is a bit
of a mismatch, or «basis risk» between an
equal -
weight sector
portfolio and the S&P 500, we believe the deep liquidity
of S&P 500 options more than compensates for the basis risk.
Portfolio Strategies The Advantages
of Simple Allocation Strategies Complex strategies do not significantly outperform simpler ones, such as
equal -
weighting or a 60 % stocks / 40 % bond mix.
Because
of the
equal weight component, the
portfolio has a larger proportion
of smaller companies compared to a purely market capitalization
weighted portfolio.
Browne proposed an
equal -
weight portfolio of stocks, long - term bonds, cash, and gold.
If you take them as an
equal weighted portfolio, they are priced in about the 80th percentile
of the market.
Equal weight is a type of weighting that gives the same weight, or importance, to each stock in a portfolio or index fund, and the smallest companies are given equal weight to the largest companies in an equal - weight index fund or portf
Equal weight is a type
of weighting that gives the same
weight, or importance, to each stock in a
portfolio or index fund, and the smallest companies are given
equal weight to the largest companies in an equal - weight index fund or portf
equal weight to the largest companies in an
equal - weight index fund or portf
equal -
weight index fund or
portfolio.
If you look at a
portfolio of equal weight stocks, bonds and cash the total return over the last 10 years is 4.8 %.
They calculate alphas for each anomaly by using the specified linear model risk factors to adjust gross monthly returns from a
portfolio that is long (short) the value -
weighted or
equal -
weighted tenth
of stocks that are «good» («bad») according to that anomaly, reforming the
portfolio annually or monthly depending on anomaly input frequency.
The monthly rebalancing
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio generates the alpha for this strategy.
The results
of both experiments confirm our hypothesis that it is the monthly rebalancing
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio that generates the alpha for this strategy.
As we reduce the rebalancing frequency
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio from the base case
of 1 month to 6 months and then to 12 months, the per annum alpha
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio drops from 175 basis points to 117 basis points and then to 80 basis points.
The higher systematic return
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio arises from its higher exposure to the market, size, and value factors.
They seem to agree with Greenblatt when they find that the higher alpha
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio arises from the monthly rebalancing required to maintain
equal weights, which is a «contrarian strategy that exploits reversal and idiosyncratic volatility
of the stock returns; thus, alpha depends only on the monthly rebalancing and not on the choice
of initial
weights.»
We test a
portfolio that is annually rebalanced on June 30th,
equal -
weight invested across 30 stocks on July 1st, and held until June 30th
of the following year.
For me, the most important part
of the study is the finding that «The nonparametric monotonicity relation test indicates that the differences in the total return
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio and the value - and price -
weighted portfolios is monotonically related to size, price, liquidity and idiosyncratic volatility.»
They find that total return
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio exceeds that
of the value - and price -
weighted because the
equal -
weighted portfolio has both a higher return for bearing systematic risk and a higher alpha measured using the four - factor model.
The white paper Performance
of Value Investing Strategies in Japan's Stock Market examines the performance
of equal -
weight and market capitalization
weighted quintile
portfolios of five price ratios — price - to - book value, dividend yield, earning - to - price, cash flow - to - price, and leverage - to - price — excluding the smallest 33 percent
of stocks by market capitalization.
Two notes though, at present I am running with 8 % cash, and Allstate and the Japan Smaller Capitalization fund are roughly 1.5 x the size
of the largely
equal -
weighted portfolio.
The value quintile
of equal -
weighted portfolios book - to - market, dividend yield, earning - to - price, cash flow - to - price, and leverage - to - price generated monthly returns
of 0.84 percent (10.6 percent per year), 0.78 percent (9.8 percent per year), 1.31 percent (16.9 percent per year), 1.13 percent (14.4 percent per year) and 0.0 percent (0.0 percent per year) in the 1990 — 2011 period, respectively.
The average 60 - month buy - and - hold raw return is 254 percent with
equal weighting within the NCAV / MV
portfolio and 216 percent with value
weighting, which are much higher than market indices
of only 137 percent and 108 percent.
Similarly, for the second experiment we see from Table 5 that once we hold constant the
weights of the value - and price -
weighted portfolios for 12 months and rebalance the
weights only after 12 months, the differences in alphas for the
equal -
weighted portfolio relative to the value - and price -
weighted portfolios is statistically insignificant (with the p - values being 0.65 and 0.30).
The researchers find find that the
equal -
weighted portfolio with monthly rebalancing outperforms the value - and price -
weighted portfolios in terms
of total mean return, four factor alpha, Sharpe ratio, and certainty - equivalent return, even though the
equal -
weighted portfolio has greater
portfolio risk.
If our claim is correct, then as we keep fixed the
weights of the value - and price -
weighted portfolios for 6 months and 12 months, the alphas
of these two
portfolios should increase toward the alpha
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio.
Table 4 shows that as we reduce the rebalancing frequency
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio from the base case
of 1 month to 6 months and then to 12 months, the per annum alpha
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio drops from 175 basis points to 117 basis points and then to 80 basis points.Once the rebalancing frequency
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio is 12 months, the difference in the alpha
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio and that
of the value - and price -
weighted portfolios is no longer statistically significant (the p - value for the difference in alpha
of the
equal - and value -
weighted portfolios is 0.96 and for the difference
of the
equal - and price -
weighted portfolios is 0.98).
Yuliya Plyakha, Raman Uppal and Grigory Vilkov examine the performance
of equal -, value -, and price -
weighted portfolios of stocks in the major U.S. equity indices over the last four decades (note that here «value»
weight is used in the academic sense, meaning «market capitalization
weight»).
If our claim is correct, then as we reduce the rebalancing frequency, we should see the alpha
of the
equal -
weighted portfolio decrease toward the level
of the alpha
of the value - and price -
weighted portfolios, which do not entail any rebalancing.
Then, again for the next 12 months, we keep the
weights of the value - and price -
weighted portfolios constant so that they are
equal to the
weights for these
portfolios at the 12 - month date.
Next, I tested the results
of buying and holding this
portfolio since 2006,
equal weighted.
Equal weighting solves the problem
of concentrated positions, but it creates other problems, including higher
portfolio turnover and increased costs.