Radiative forcing can be related through a linear relationship to the global mean
equilibrium temperature change at the surface (ΔTs): ΔTs = λRF, where λ is the climate sensitivity parameter.
«Radiative forcing can be related through a linear relationship to the global mean
equilibrium temperature change at the surface (ΔTs): ΔTs = λ RF, where λ is the climate sensitivity parameter (e.g., Ramaswamy et al., 2001).»
«Radiative forcing [RF] can be related through a linear relationship to the global mean
equilibrium temperature change at the surface (delta Ts): delta Ts = lambda * RF, where lambda is the climate sensitivity parameter (e.g., Ramaswamy et al., 2001).
Not exact matches
The computer was allowed to run until conditions stabilized
at a new
equilibrium, and a map could be drawn showing
changes in
temperature, precipitation, and other factors.
While ECS is the
equilibrium global mean
temperature change that eventually results from atmospheric CO2 doubling, the smaller TCR refers to the global mean
temperature change that is realised
at the time of CO2 doubling under an idealised scenario in which CO2 concentrations increase by 1 % yr — 1 (Cubasch et al., 2001; see also Section 8.6.2.1).
I do understand that the solar energy - in dictates the earthly energy - out
at equilibrium at the balance point
at the Top Of Atmosphere (~ 10,000 m) and that unless the solar - in
changes then the law of conservation of energy requires that the Stefan - Boltzman derived 255 K
temperature at equilibrium at this balance point can not
change.
(Within the range where water vapor feedback is runaway, zero
change in external forcing»cause s» a large
change in climate; the
equilibrium surface
temperature, graphed over some measure of external forcing, takes a step
at some particular value.)
Any discussion about not being
at equilibrium yet (the usual response), fails to notice that on a daily basis the
temperature varies by 10 - 15 degrees and that these
changes will force the ground / atmosphere to get to
equilibrium within a day or two.
«What relevance to a 5 %
change in CO2, which
at equilibrium would make a
change in
temperature of about.0.21 C
at equilibrium based on a clmate sensitivity of 3C for doubling.»
(ppm) Year of Peak Emissions Percent
Change in global emissions Global average
temperature increase above pre-industrial
at equilibrium, using «best estimate» climate sensitivity CO 2 concentration
at stabilization (2010 = 388 ppm) CO 2 - eq.
What relevance does that have to a 5 %
change in CO2, which
at equilibrium would make a
change in
temperature of about.0.21 C
at equilibrium based on a clmate sensitivity of 3C for doubling.
The alternative formula, that a
change in
temperature causes a
change in dynamic
equilibrium between CO2 release and CO2 absorption is far more normal in nature: higher
temperatures lead to a new
equilibrium at a higher CO2 level.
It is defined as the
change in global mean surface
temperature at equilibrium that is caused by a doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration.
At the end of a climatic shift, the
temperature setup of the entire planet will have
changed — so far until a new
equilibrium energy budget is reached.
I will howl
at you that you can't tell me the glass of water has reached an
equilibrium with the ambient environment because the ambient
temperature is inhomogeneous and always
changing.
So, a system
at Local Thermodynamic
Equilibrium doesn't
change temperature.
While ECS is the
equilibrium global mean
temperature change that eventually results from atmospheric CO2 doubling, the smaller TCR refers to the global mean
temperature change that is realised
at the time of CO2 doubling under an idealised scenario in which CO2 concentrations increase by 1 % yr — 1 (Cubasch et al., 2001; see also Section 8.6.2.1).
If a black body with a fixed - rate energy source is in radiation - rate -
equilibrium with the vacuum of space
at 0 Kelvins, placing additional material separate from but surrounding the black body will likely cause the
temperature of the surface of the black body to
change in such a way that energy - rate -
equilibrium is re-established for the black body.
The
temperature at various locations in the atmosphere and on the surface of the earth is determined by the net flux of energy
at that location (and never reaches true
equilibrium because the energy input from the sun
changes with night / day and the seasons).
If local thermodynamic
equilibrium exists in a certain volume of a gas, and you add more CO2
at the same
temperature, it is true that the volume's
temperature will not
change.
But given the time constants for heating (or cooling) the oceans, there's
at least a half - century time lag between a large
change in forcing and a final
temperature equilibrium.
The Lewis and Curry paper said the best estimate for
equilibrium climate sensitivity — the
change in global mean surface
temperature at equilibrium that is caused by a doubling of the atmospheric CO2 concentration — was 1.64 degrees.
But that isn't an ECS calculation, it's somewhere between TCR and ECS, which is where we're always going to be when CO2 is
changing at a clip faster than thermal inertia of the oceans allows an
equilibrium temperature response.
I agree that reduction in snow or ice cover resulting from warming constitutes a likely slow positive feedback, but its magnitude may be quite small,
at least for the modest
changes in surface
temperature that can be expected to arise if sensitivity is in fact fairly low, so the Forster / Gregory 06 results may nevertheless be a close approximation to a measurement of
equilibrium climate sensitivity.
Pekka, I don't think you are disputing that in an adiabatic convective profile, the
temperature at higher altitudes is colder, so the higher molecules are slower, and are continually moving up and down without losing or gaining diabatic energy but with their
temperature changing, so I think this argument is about whether the convective profile is an
equilibrium profile or not.
where ΔT represents the
change in the
equilibrium temperature, C represents the CO2 level and Co represents the CO2 level
at which ΔT is nil.
With the ocean surface
at equilibrium, if DLR is increased by 10W / m ^ 2, the surface
temperature changes by T», the latent heat flux increases by L', the convected heat from below the top layer
changes by C» and the radiated heat
changes by R»..
Changing global
temperatures induce air circulation
changes as the air seeks to restore the sea surface / surface air
temperature equilibrium and
at the same time resolve ocean induced variations in the sun to sea / air to space
equilibrium.
By dividing the total
temperature change (as indicated by the best - fit linear trend) by the observed rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide content, and then applying that relationship to a doubling of the carbon dioxide content, Loehle arrives
at an estimate of the earth's transient climate sensitivity — transient, in the sense that
at the time of CO2 doubling, the earth has yet to reach a state of
equilibrium and some warming is still to come.
At some stage, the temperature of the earth ocean system will be at equilibrium (if we stop changing the forcing after 30 years and then wait a long time
At some stage, the
temperature of the earth ocean system will be
at equilibrium (if we stop changing the forcing after 30 years and then wait a long time
at equilibrium (if we stop
changing the forcing after 30 years and then wait a long time).
If you think of the system as being in steady - state,
at least approximately, instead of
equilibrium; and if you think of the effect of CO2 increase to be a
change from one steady - state to another, it would not necessarily be the case that the
temperature increase of the surface, middle troposphere, and upper troposphere to be the same.
At minimum, the surface, mid-troposphere and upper troposphere are never in
equilibrium, but are continually
changing total energy content and
temperature.
The IPCC defines radiative forcing as «the
change in net (down minus up) irradiance (solar plus longwave; in W m — 2)
at the tropopause after allowing for stratospheric
temperatures to readjust to radiative
equilibrium, but with surface and tropospheric
temperatures and state held fixed
at the unperturbed values».