I would much rather be running my «long only»
equity portfolio during a bull market.
Or, to put it another way, it would be a huge mistake to stay 100 % in stocks on the theory that «you can handle it» only to find that the reality of owning an all -
equity portfolio during a market meltdown like the 50 % - plus downturn from late 2007 to early 2009 is more financially and emotionally unsettling than it seemed when stock prices were at or near a peak.
However with right strategy and strict discipline one can protect
equity portfolio during any kind of market crash.
Not exact matches
The market was very much an all - ships - rose - with - the - tide - type market,» said David Stepherson, chief investment officer for Baltimore - based Hardesty Capital Management, which saw its
equity returns rise 32 percent
during 2013, while its total
portfolio increased 20 percent.
For example,
during 2008 and 2009, many third - party investors that invest in alternative assets and have historically invested in our investment funds experienced significant volatility in valuations of their investment
portfolios, including a significant decline in the value of their overall private
equity, real assets, venture capital and hedge fund
portfolios, which affected our ability to raise capital from them.
Even with low interest rates, bonds and preferred shares also protect the
portfolio during periods of higher
equity volatility.
Templeton gave the company a strong
portfolio of international
equity funds as well as the expertise of emerging markets guru Dr. Mark Mobius, who,
during his distinguished career, spent more than 40 years working in emerging markets all over the world.
Here's an interesting question for investment professionals: Do you have a retiree with an
equity heavy
portfolio who has to make a withdrawal in a bear market
during the early years of the client's retirement?
The difficult feature of the interim, at least for hedged
equity strategies, is that as the «troops» diverge from the «generals,»
portfolios that aren't comprised of the largest and most speculative stocks of the preceding bull market often underperform the indices
during top formations.
None of the factors consistently generated positive performance
during recent market crashes However, almost any factor exposure would have increased the risk - return ratio of an
equity - centric
portfolio Low Volatility and Mean - Reversion would have been most beneficial, Momentum least INTRODUCTION A
In our
equity portfolio, we were down 1.3 %
during the quarter.
Comprehensive loss to shareholders and book value per share were impacted by declines in both our fixed income and
equity portfolios, driven by an increase in interest rates and unfavorable movements in the
equity markets
during the period.
Whereas most investors
during that time of financial panic were dumping their freefalling U.S.
equities, Buffett was snatching them up at such great volume that he imagined his personal, non-Berkshire Hathaway
portfolio would soon be composed only of domestic stocks.
Flowserve served the
Equity and Income Fund well
during its nearly three years in the
portfolio, and we wish to thank our recently retired long - time partner John Raitt for this successful idea (as well as many others).
He previously served as executive vice president and chief investment officer of non-US and global
equity investments for MFS,
during which time he oversaw the company's global
portfolio management, research and trading functions.
Putting aside the performance of bonds
during the bear market beginning in 1980 (both because the starting yields on Treasuries were so high but also because the bear market was relatively mild as the decline began from relatively low levels of valuation), what's interesting about the above chart is how dependably bonds protected a
portfolio during equity bear markets.
The best framework for bonds protecting
portfolio capital
during equity bear markets is: average to above - average starting bond yields, with an average to above - average rate of inflation — which is set to decline in a recession - induced bear market.
It plots the returns of bonds, stocks and a balanced
portfolio (60 percent stocks, 40 percent bonds)
during each
equity bear market since 1960.
Bonds do their best work for a balanced
portfolio during equity bear markets.
The idea behind a glidepath is that if we start with a relatively low
equity weight and then move up the
equity allocation over time we effectively take our withdrawals mostly out of the bond portion of the
portfolio during the first few years.
Prior, Peter worked in real estate acquisitions for Wexford Capital, a $ 4 billion private
equity and hedge fund, whose
portfolio consisted of over $ 1 billion in property value
during Peter's tenure.
He measures the attractiveness of adding anomaly premiums to the benchmark
portfolio by comparing Sharpe ratios, Sortino ratios and performances
during recessions of five
portfolios: (1) a traditional
portfolio (TP) that equally weights
equity, term and default premiums; (2) an equal weighting of size, value and momentum premiums (SVM) as a basic anomaly
portfolio; (3) a factor
portfolio (FP) that equally weights all 10 anomaly premiums; (4) a mixed
portfolio (MP) that equally weights all 13 premiums; and, (5) a balanced
portfolio (BP) that equally weights TP and FP.
He considers declining
equity, rising
equity and static glidepaths with an annual withdrawal rate of 4 % (of the
portfolio value at retirement) and annual rebalancing
during a 30 - year retirement period.
During this time he participated in approximately $ 800 million of acquisitions and in the debt and
equity structuring of a 2 million square foot commercial and multi-family
portfolio.
During his thirteen year tenure as a Managing Director, Mr. Balson was responsible for leading private
equity transactions and monitoring
portfolio companies, including Applied Systems, Bright Horizons Family Solutions, Burger King, Domino's Pizza, Dunkin' Brands, Fleetcor, Bloomin» Brands, and UGS.
Portfolio Strategies Investing for Retirement Requires a Disciplined Approach Maintaining a substantial
equity exposure before and
during retirement helps you achieve long - term financial goals.
Using Larry Swedroe's rule of thumb, a
portfolio with 70 %
equities can be expected to lose about 30 %
during a major downturn.
Gold performed horrendously
during this period, and the Permanent
Portfolio lost its shine as investors fell in love with
equities again.
More important,
during a period of turmoil in the
equity markets, rates are likely to fall as investors rush to safety, so high - quality conventional bonds are a better diversifier in a balanced
portfolio.
So of course even with a balanced or conservative
portfolio they will decline
during bear markets, but as you can see the declines are far less severe than an all
equity investor.
(See Chart 2) This hypothetical balanced 60/40 allocation enjoyed 86 % of the return of an all -
equity portfolio with 39 % less risk
during the same timeframe.
Similarly
during stock market crash it doesn't matter how well - experienced or well - qualified an analyst / investor is, it is next to impossible to save
equity only
portfolio.
Historically it is proved that not a single
equity analyst in the world can completely save your
equity only
portfolio during major stock market crash.
For your aggressive
portfolio allocation and using Bernstein's advice, you need to increase your
equity allocation from 80 % to 90 %
during rebalancing or initial allocation in your case.
For a more traditional
portfolio of 60 %
equity / 40 % bonds, using bernstein advice would be increasing
equity allocation from 60 % to 70 %
during rebalancing.
The aggressive strategy is the more
equity focused version of our Moderate Countercyclical
portfolio and will seek to generate higher returns with the understanding that stocks tend to generate strong 5 and 10 year rolling returns, but also seeks to protect the investor from substantial downturns
during periods in the business cycle when large downturns are most probable.
This
portfolio allows the investor to be aggressive, but improve the odds of reducing their risk to permanent loss by better shielding the
portfolio from stock market declines
during periods when the
equity markets are riskier than normal.
Knowing you have a certain amount from the pension each month might make you willing to leave more of your investment
portfolio in
equities during your early retirement.
Templeton gave the company a strong
portfolio of international
equity funds as well as the expertise of emerging markets guru Dr. Mark Mobius, who,
during his distinguished career, spent more than 40 years working in emerging markets all over the world.
A diversified
portfolio (including bonds, real estate, etc.) will minimize damage
during bear markets, leaving more of a
portfolio intact compared to just owning
equities.
For example, if you start with a moderately conservative
portfolio, the value of the
equity portion may increase significantly
during the year, suddenly giving you an
equity heavy
portfolio.
The one exception to this rule is
during the April 1975 to June 1981 business cycle, a time when a passive small - cap
equity portfolio performed exceptionally well.
Without a commodity investment, the returns for each of the five
equity portfolios are higher
during expansive monetary environments than
during restrictive monetary environments.
Interestingly, adding a commodity exposure enhances an
equity portfolio's return only
during periods when the Federal Reserve is increasing interest rates, which is consistent with the belief that a major attraction of commodities is that they serve as an inflation hedge.
To investigate the investment implications of this view, we examined a tactical strategy that supplants a portion of the
equity portfolio with commodity futures
during periods of Fed tightening, while no futures position is taken
during periods of Fed easing.
Even a properly constructed
portfolio with a well - diversified mix of
equities will see its fair share of ups and downs
during your investing lifetime.
The change in the rate of inflation is one of the determining factors in how well bonds protect balanced
portfolios during equity bear markets.
Putting aside the performance of bonds
during the bear market beginning in 1980 (both because the starting yields on Treasuries were so high but also because the bear market was relatively mild as the decline began from relatively low levels of valuation), what's interesting about the above chart is how dependably bonds protected a
portfolio during equity bear markets.
Bonds do their best work for a balanced
portfolio during equity bear markets.
The best framework for bonds protecting
portfolio capital
during equity bear markets is: average to above - average starting bond yields, with an average to above - average rate of inflation — which is set to decline in a recession - induced bear market.