Estimating
equity premiums does poorly.»
This post on Falkenblog (which I found via Larry MacDonald's Investment Ideas blog) captures the prevailing mood by arguing that
the equity premium does not exist by making the following points:
Not exact matches
Answer and solution: Term Sheet readers are aware that the private
equity industry is increasingly facing an inventory problem — viable targets are too expensive, activist shareholders are forcing companies to
do PE - style cost - cutting while they're public, and corporate buyers have so much cash they can afford to pay high
premiums.
Comments: «In addition to forecasting positive earnings growth this year (which we
did not in 2012), we are also using a slightly higher multiple to reflect the positive impact of heavy central bank intervention on the
equity risk
premium.»
Do the same thing with the Fed Model, or most other «
equity risk
premium» estimates proposed by Wall Street analysts or academics, and you'll either cry, or laugh, or cry laughing, but you'll undoubtedly be distressed that anyone would recommend those models as a basis for long - term investment.
Does shorting the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short - Term Futures ETN (VXX) with crash protection (to capture the
equity volatility risk
premium safely) work?
If
equities were certain to
do that then
equity managers would be offering you a
premium to take your money instead of you having to pay a management fee — see my last post on this issue.
But to take it a step further, I prefer
equities because real estate doesn't provide a sufficient illiquidity
premium to merit the leveraged risk and transaction cost.
We don't believe a low growth world will be less susceptible to recession or credit strains, so we also don't believe that
equity risk
premiums should be razor thin.
Do bonds, like
equity markets, offer a variance risk
premium (VRP)?
Economists have long been baffled by what they call the
equity -
premium puzzle: Long term, on average, stocks outperform bonds by a decent margin, yet people tend to put more money into bonds than they
do into stocks.
Lest you cast doubt upon Ferrari's brand
equity, consider that not only
do these special editions sell out reliably every time, they typically resell for a considerable
premium in the aftermarket.
While the
premium collection trades are managed separately from the
equity and hedge positions, it is important to remember that the DRS is designed so that the three elements complement each other: The
equity position is meant to participate in up markets; the hedge position protects in down markets; and the
premium collection trades tend to
do well in flat markets.
And though I don't think the
equity premium is high on average, I certainly prefer stocks to bonds here.
Partially out of a mistaken belief that the
equity premium is large (how much
do stocks earn on average versus cash), actuaries set earnings rates too high.
For those who have reached the 20 percent
equity threshold but are still locked into PMI
premiums for several years, this could save you thousands of dollars per year — if the lender fees and new interest rate don't negate your savings.
I am not a backer of the idea that the
equity return
premium over bonds is big, but I
do back the idea that it is positive.
Does shorting the iPath S&P 500 VIX Short - Term Futures ETN (VXX) with crash protection (to capture the
equity volatility risk
premium safely) work?
Doing a very rough average, and considering that the NASDAQ was in a boom period for most of the study period, I am comfortable with a reduction in the US
equity risk
premium over bonds down to 1 - 2 % on average, and over cash to 3 - 4 % on average.
Do not use them for borrower qualification, MI eligibility, Agency acceptance,
premium rates or amounts, monthly payments, home
equity or future home value.
Does the market pay a
premium to
equity funds with relatively high «bad» (left tail) volatility?
The fact that there was no corporate credit risk
premium at a time that there was no
equity risk
premium really should not surprise investors because corporate bonds are really hybrid securities (a mix of stocks and Treasury bonds) that don't have all that much unique risk in them.
In response to my words: «I
do not consider the terms «value
premium» and «
equity premium» to be useful concepts, per se.»
One of the things that annoys me about the concept of the
equity premium is that it is an academic creation that
does not grasp the structures of the markets.
I re-ran the analysis that Michael and I
did in our initial article, but I switched to the new capital market assumptions I use which allow for increasing bond yields over time while keeping a fixed average
equity premium over bonds.
Hmm... I came into these comments to say something like «what
do you think the
equity premium should be?»
Meanwhile, 100 percent stocks minimized the median retirement cost (as the
equity risk
premium can be adequately relied upon at the median) at $ 965,000, but it
did create greater downside risks with a 90th percentile retirement cost of $ 2.4 million.
But even that doesn't justify an
equity risk
premium anything like as big as we have seen historically.
This virtual disappearance of pension
premium and declining new business unit linked
premiums had wide repercussions on the overall investment
done by life companies in the Indian
equity market.
Term life insurance doesn't accumulate
equity as you pay your
premiums, and your coverage ends when your policy's term finishes.
Whole, Universal and Variable Universal: More comprehensive coverage with higher
premiums that include investments that build
equity and
do not expire.
After going through you post I
do nt want to invest any further, so would it be better to invest this annual
premium in a large cap
equity fund for a long time and stop investing in ULIP?
Universal life insurance is a type of permanent life insurance with flexible
premiums based on a minimum and maximum rate — as long as you continue to pay the minimum
premium, the universal policy maintains its good standing; however, no
equity is built and the cash value
does not grow.
Hello I would like to share my master plan of new जीवन anand policy My age is 30 I have purchased 7 policies of 1 lac sum assured and each maturity year term 26 to 32 I purchased in 2017 Along with I have purchased 3 policies of same jivananad of 11lac each Maturity year term 33,34,35 Now what will I have to pay is rs, 130000
premium per year means 370rs per day At age of 55 in year 2047 I will start getting return, of, 3lac maturity per year till 2054 For 7policies of i lac I buyed for safety of paying next 10 years
premium of 130000 As year by year my liability goes on decreasing and at the age of 62 to 65 I get my major part of maturity amount around 16000000 one crore sixty lac Along with 4000000 sum assured continued for rest of life So from above example it is true that you can make money to make money for you You can enjoy a large sum by just paying 370 per day and you will feel you have earned 19000000 / 35 years = 1500 per day And assume if I die after 5 years then in this case also my spouse will get 7500000 as death claim against 650000 paid
premium Whats bad in this A asset is getting created for you It is a property of 2 crores which you are buying for 35 year installment If you make fd of 2000000 Lacs against this policy u will get 135000 interest per year to pay for 35 years If u buy a flat for 20 lack in 2017 there is no scope of valuation of Flat will be 2 crores But as I described you are creating a class asset for your beloved easily just investing 10500 per year for 35 years And too buy a term of 50 Lacs with it And rest you earn deposit in ppf Keep in mind if you will survive then only ppf will create corpus for you but in lic your family is insured to a higher extent till 1 crore with term including And its sufficient if you are earning 100000per Month no problem for investing of 10 % in New जीवन anand with rest 90 % you go with ppf, mutual funds,
equity, gold, lottery, real estate any thing but keep 10 % for new jeewan anand it's a class if you understand it properly and after all if you rely only on term there are more chances of rejecting claims as one thing is sure cheap things just come under warranty but lic brand is guaranteed because in case of demise if your nominee doesn't get claim then your all hardwork is going to be waste so think and invest take long term and bigger sum assured for least
premium You can assign your policy for taking flat or property it is a legal asset of you But term never.
«Although
equity valuations
do not appear to be rich relative to Treasury yields,
equity prices are vulnerable to rises in term
premiums to more normal levels, especially if a reversion was not motivated by positive news about economic growth,» the Fed said.
The higher your trust
equity, the more inclined people will be to recommend you to others, and be willing to pay a
premium — literally — to
do business with you.
And the benefits of finding a home's value don't end with a purchase or sale: Refinances, home
equity lines of credit, insurance
premiums and annual property taxes are all based on home value.