Let's say you believe there should be a 4 %
equity risk premium above bond yields — so these days that might be 6 % or 7 % — and returns end up being above that expectation.
Not exact matches
Specifically, analysts argue that the «
equity risk premium» — the expected return of stocks over and
above that of Treasury bonds — is actually quite satisfactory at present.
The
equity risk premium is the higher return an investor receives,
above the so - called riskless rate.
Currently, in the Euro Zone ex UK, the
equity risk premium is already
above levels seen in the European debt crisis in 2011 and closing in on the 2009 highs of close to 900 basis points.
I was researching the subject and reading Strategic Allocation to
Premiums in the
Equity Market by David Blitz which concludes that an entire porfolio of smart beta can produce a
premium above the market, and better
risk adjusted returns than a single factor.
The chart [
above] shows the weighted average of the twenty - nine models for the one - month - ahead
equity risk premium, with the weights selected so that this single measure explains as much of the variability across models as possible (for the geeks: it is the first principal component).
The resulting
equity risk premium comes in at 3.8 per cent, well
above the 10 - year average
equity risk premium for the index of 2.7 per cent.