Sentences with phrase «error bars either»

Your comment on error bars over short time periods makes sense, but the UAH record would tell us that 21st century total warming would be around 1C, if past trends continue (and that was the point I wanted to make).

If the instrument error is 0.1 C, the error bars would be off the scale.

But in these graphs they are mostly related to organisms, through which any local temperature «signal» is noisy — which means it has a lot of error bars on it.

Is it warranted to reproduce graphs like those shown without confidence limits / error bars?

How do we estimate error bars?

It looks like a convincingly big rise, but it's not enough, and the error bars are huge.

At the end is like pretending you can detect a milligram change in weight using a balance with a precision of one kg, you only need to use many balances, model the measurements for a hundred years and show a mean ensemble of the results without error bars and a very obtuse wording.

At least the IPCC still puts error bars on their estimate of ECS, what are the error estimates for the 1.6 or 1.7 figure?

If, as I think we should, we implicitly place very wide error bars on the 3 scenarios, then the current temperature record would fall comfortably within the error bars of all 3 scenarios.

If the researcher had provided reasonable error estimates for all of the relationships modeled, I think the predictions would have come with very wide error bars, probably even permitting an ice age in time, because so many of the relationships are poorly understood.

That puts huge error bars on what CO2 sensitivity could be.

Nonetheless, it would be interesting to see if the statistical error makes also an additional and large difference (that would require something like 3D error bars).

Error bars are + / - 0.1 C for observed and provisional data, and + / - 0.12 C for 2016.

Error bars represent the standard errors of the annual means.

The original projections included error bars.

If they weren't hand waving they would have included it in the attribution with error bars instead of just claiming half ice half warming, right?

Having terrestrial water sources on the chart with the huge error bars they had wouldn't have made a very convincing chart for the summary for policy makers section.

Error bars give the standard deviation from the 60 years for which data is available (1948 — 2007).

These differences are of the same magnitude than the radiative forcing due to CO2, and therefore the error bars make the detection of CO2 forcing rather unlikely.

The dotted lines indicate the error bars associated with the averages (2 S.E.).

Black solid circles connected by a grey line: data measured at Bern (mean of four to six samples); error bars represent 1σ of the mean (s.d.).

Whatever error bars are on measuring the temperature sensitivity in 1910 to CO2 (which must be huge) must mean when translated to higher CO2 levels of today a similar level of accuracy must prevail.

Error bars assigned to all these estimates, and finale estimates.

Update: Several folks have argued that the individual instrument error bars are irrelevant, I suppose because their errors will average.

They demand my uncertainties so that they can prove that their answer is within my error bars, but don't realize that they also have error bars.

The error bars about the limitations of the measuring systems, but given that solar at TOA is very stable, if you claim that energy is not reaching the surface, then the imbalance is being stored in the atmosphere.

Clearly, OHC is within the error bars of the measurement system, unless Argo can measure more accurately (unlikely).

There are no wiggles in the ensemble error bars — which I have only ever seen plotted once — when GS was trying deperately to refute Douglas & Christy.

A few error bars have gotten smaller but new ones have been found as is often the case in science.

But the unfortunate fact about uncertainty is that the error bars always go in both directions.

«An entirely equivalent argument [to the error bars] would be to say (accurately) that there is a 2K range of pre-industrial absolute temperatures in GCMs, and therefore the global mean temperature is liable to jump 2K at any time — which is clearly nonsense...»

Single - epoch (snapshot) estimates of mass balance are represented by vertical error bars when error estimates are available, and are otherwise represented by asterisks.

B) no error bars.

This needs to be expressed with error bars greater than that reported by the instrument manufacturer.

As the adjacent chart shows, the reported 2014 HadCRUT4 (HC4) global temperature with its estimated error bars (± 0.1 °C) may have been the warmest, and then again... there are 15 prior years that may have been warmer when considering all the error bar implications.

Even today using a better pH meter than mine, you need to report error bars.

Means +0.02 C annualy (is this within the error bars?).

More understanding has revealed some additional weaknesses in the earlier conclusions leading to the outcome that the error bars are as wide as they were before.

And now Gavin et al finally admit that the error bars on the outputs are consequently huge too (which was always blindingly obvious to more responsible computer modelers).

These climate modelers think that «±» error bars imply the model itself is oscillating (liable to jump) between the error bar extremes.

Finally, I read his first sentence, he cites a 30 % figure that lacks both a cite and error bars.

I'm guessing that the MBH one was used because it had nice error bars on it

Error bars mean model oscillation — wherein climate modelers reveal a fatal case of naive - freshman-itis.

Systematic errors are likely to dominate most estimates of global average change: published values and error bars should be used very cautiously.

It was a battleground since at least 2000, and Douglass et al threw down the guantlet in 2008 (already on line in 2007) demonstrating that models and temperature measurements did not overlap within error bars.

They think physical error bars mean the model itself is oscillating between the uncertainty extremes.

They complain about error bars in world temperatures when the real problem is lack of accuracy.

Converting from heat content to degrees C, the ocean warming over the last 30 years is less than 0.1 degrees C, which is probably well within the error bars or the Argo float's measurement ability.

I.e., statistics might or might not allow for large error bars, but I'm not sure physics does.

You suppose that the propagated error bars indicate the behavior of the model itself.