To give an idea of whether the fluctuations are meaningful, decadal 5 % to 95 % (light grey)
error ranges about that line are given (accordingly, annual values do exceed those limits).
Not exact matches
So for example, a 4 - week forecast in the most favorable Market Climate would be a gain of
about 4 x 0.4 % = 1.6 %, but the
range of
error would grow to the square root of 4 x 2 % = + / - 4 %.
In either case, the standard deviation or typical «
range of
error» is
about + / - 2 %.
What we found was a wide
range of historical «facts»
about the club that were not facts at all, and these
errors which have littered previous histories of the club have now been put to rights.
The questionnaire asks
about how IPCC has gone
about its business since its inception in 1988, how it has handled the
range of scientific opinions on climate change, how it responds to criticism and
errors, and how it deals with governments and the media.
Using a Bayesian statistical technique to narrow the margins of
error, she concluded that the oldest human occupation was 65,000 years ago, with a
range of
about 60,000 to 70,000 with 95 % probability.
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About Blog UCLA Laser Refractive Center offers superior vision correction, Blade - free LASIK, and many pioneering technologies for a wide
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«I think for a long time teachers have been encouraged to target children's individual difficulties with explicit instruction, but my findings highlight actually just how much teachers will need to know
about the
range of strategies a child uses and the types of
errors they make if they are going to use explicit instruction effectively.
Aside from the wide
error range found to be associated with these metrics, they offer no information
about what students actually did, said, or thought that could help teachers improve their practice.
The vast
range of driving conditions I encountered with the Sedona included probably
about 15 minutes of pushing the vehicle through the turns as I would a sportier conveyance — and most of that trying to recover from a navigational
error.
Los Angeles, CA
About Blog UCLA Laser Refractive Center offers superior vision correction, Blade - free LASIK, and many pioneering technologies for a wide
range of refractive
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About Blog - UCLA Laser Refractive Center offers superior vision correction, Blade - free LASIK, and many pioneering technologies for a wide
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There are other important questions
about the path forward, related to how to handle reasoned minority views on particular science and policy questions, how to deal speedily with
errors and how to break down barriers among the three main «working groups» — on the basic science pointing to warming, the
range of impacts and possible responses.
Steven E. Koonin, once the Obama administration's undersecretary of energy for science and chief scientist at BP, stirred up a swirl of turbulence in global warming discourse this week after The Wall Street Journal published «Climate Science is Not Settled,» his essay calling for more frankness
about areas of deep uncertainty in climate science, more research to narrow
error ranges and more acknowledgement that society's decisions on energy and climate policy are based on values as much as data.
The contribution from natural factors and internal variability is thought to be
about 0 °C with an
error range of ± 0.1 °C (± 0.2 °F).
He also pointed out that
error boundaries (how far from physical reality the models are expected to be) are not the same as the
range of wobbles (precision) as the wobbling is not wobbling
about the real world; it wobbles
about what the models are centred on.
I can certainly understand that there are differing scientific views
about CIs and
error ranges and measures of probability — but categorical statements such a yours, that «solid evidence» doesn't exist, don't wash with me.
We derive these values from the spread of IPCC model responses, realizing that these models do have systematic
errors, but reproduce historic variations well enough to have confidence
about the approximate
range of warming in 2050.
Over the whole 0 - 500 C
range, the point scatter
about the fit yielded an estimate of average systematic
error in T = (+ / --RRB- 29 C.
IMO, the science dictates that the «debate»
about climate change probably won't be «settled» for maybe 150 years, when
error ranges will pretty much exclude ambiguity at a meaningful level.
If this is the best such land area surface temperature assessment system on the planet (covering, as well, a broad
range of metropolitan, suburban, and rural areas), and the quality of the system is now proven to be demonstrably more prone to
error than had been previously assumed — with the preponderance of
error shown to produce the impression of warming in excess of real conditions prevailing — what may be reliably inferred
about surface temperature monitoring systems data from even less reliable thermometers all over the rest of the world?
non-tropical places on earth
ranges over
about 100 degrees F over the course of a year, and 20 to 40 degrees F over the course of a day, I assume (I am not a climate scientist) was hard to anticipate that we'd ever be concerned
about 1 deg F
error in the daily readings and the consequent uncertainties.
I'm sure you guys have thought
about this more than me, but the mean of the period in the Mann reconstruction has to have an
error range.
Even if true,
about 1oC calibration
errors (I don't believe you, BTW), if you take many hundreds of thousands of measurements each with an
error range of 1, the resulting certainty of your aerage is much much less than one.
This
ranged from a minor
error in the author's name or the title to claims
about topics that were absent from the supposed source.
By fixating on a minor detail, you have glossed right over all the real difficulties and challenges in working out the probable
error range for early temperature records, which include uncertainty
about the properties of the thermometers used and gaps in the records.
Even in the ARGO era (2003 --RRB-, the
error bars and uncertainty
ranges for our educated guesses (that's what they are)
about deep ocean heat are 10 times greater (and more) than the suggested temperature changes (hundredths of a degree) themselves.
Every year,
about 250,000 people die due to a
range of preventable medical
errors.
About Blog - UCLA Laser Refractive Center offers superior vision correction, Blade - free LASIK, and many pioneering technologies for a wide
range of refractive
errors.
About Blog UCLA Laser Refractive Center offers superior vision correction, Blade - free LASIK, and many pioneering technologies for a wide
range of refractive
errors.