Here,
we estimate average emission factors and marginal emission factors for CO ₂, SO ₂, and NOx from fossil and nonfossil generators in the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) region during years 2007 — 2016.
With
an estimated average emission reduction of 16 % for 2008 - 2012, they are certain to exceed their target quite comfortably.
Not exact matches
Similarly, Fonterra said GRAIN's
average emissions factor
estimate is more than double the amount used by the New Zealand dairy industry.
In this study, we created new per - animal
emissions factors — that is measures of the
average amount of CH4 discharged by animals into the atmosphere — and new
estimates of global livestock methane
emissions.»
In his new paper, Lovejoy applies the same approach to the 15 - year period after 1998, during which globally
averaged temperatures remained high by historical standards, but were somewhat below most predictions generated by the complex computer models used by scientists to
estimate the effects of greenhouse - gas
emissions.
«Given that the
average capacity of the registered projects and those in the validation pipeline are in the range of 2,000 - 3,000 [megawatts], resulting in a large amount of
emission reductions per project activity, extra caution should be given to ensure that the baseline
emissions are
estimated in a transparent and conservative manner,» the panel says in its recommendation to the Executive Board.
Even if the
average U.K. citizen were to fall in line with dietary guidelines set forth by the World Health Organization (which most do not), the study
estimates there would be a 17 percent reduction in greenhouse gas
emissions.
Even so, the IPCC
estimates above indicate: 1) Total Net Atmospheric Carbon
Emissions to 2100 will amount to ~ 2050 PgC (or more) on current Trends, 2) A BAU projected
estimate would push CO2 to ~ 952 ppm by 2100 (or more), and 3) Global
average temperature increase / anomaly would be as high as ~ 6.8 C by 2100
For a future of continued growth in
emissions the new results indicate a likely global
average sea - level rise between 1.1 and 2.1 meters (3.6 to 6.9 feet)-- roughly double the IPCC - consistent
estimate.
However, other independent analyses have, based on a range of assumptions, methodologies and data sources, attempted to
estimate the impact of the INDCs on temperature leading to a range of
average estimates below, at or above 3 degrees C. Importantly all deliver more or less similar
emission levels in 2025 and 2030 and all confirm that the INDCs, if fully implemented, are an important advance on previous scenarios.
The 2015 edition of the EPA's annual report «Light - Duty Automotive Technology, Carbon Dioxide
Emissions, and Fuel Economy Trends»
estimates the following utility factors for 2015 model year plug - in hybrids to represent the percentage of miles that will be driven using electricity by an
average driver, whether in electric only or blended modes: 83 % for the BMW i3 REx, 66 % for the Chevrolet Volt, 45 % for the Ford Energi models, 43 % for the McLaren P1, 37 % for the BMW i8, and 29 % for the Toyota Prius PHV.
The Department of Energy
estimates that keeping your car maintained can improve your mileage by an
average of 4 percent when comparing it to vehicles that have failed an
emissions test.
These trees will eliminate an
estimated half a million tons of carbon dioxide over the course of their lifetime — offsetting the equivalent
emissions of 10,000
average U.S. households.
The work is an
estimate of the global
average based on a single - column, time -
average model of the atmosphere and surface (with some approximations — e.g. the surface is not truly a perfect blackbody in the LW (long - wave) portion of the spectrum (the wavelengths dominated by terrestrial / atmospheric
emission, as opposed to SW radiation, dominated by solar radiation), but it can give you a pretty good idea of things (fig 1 shows a spectrum of radiation to space); there is also some comparison to actual measurements.
«In 1997, human - caused Indonesian peat fires were
estimated to have released between 13 % and 40 % of the
average carbon
emissions caused by the burning of fossil fuels around the world in a single year.»
To achieve the aim of initial stabilization followed by an actual fall in
emissions by the year 2020 by 20 % the cost was
estimated at some 2 to 5 % of GDP in the initial period and an
average of 1 % over a 50 year period.
(ppm) Year of Peak
Emissions Percent Change in global emissions Global average temperature increase above pre-industrial at equilibrium, using «best estimate» climate sensitivity CO 2 concentration at stabilization (2010 = 388 ppm) C
Emissions Percent Change in global
emissions Global average temperature increase above pre-industrial at equilibrium, using «best estimate» climate sensitivity CO 2 concentration at stabilization (2010 = 388 ppm) C
emissions Global
average temperature increase above pre-industrial at equilibrium, using «best
estimate» climate sensitivity CO 2 concentration at stabilization (2010 = 388 ppm) CO 2 - eq.
From preindustrial levels, contemporary surface ocean pH is
estimated to have dropped on
average from 8.2 to 8.1, or by about 0.1 pH units (a 26 % increase in hydrogen ion concentration), and further decreases of 0.22 to 0.35 pH units are projected over this century unless carbon dioxide
emissions are significantly reduced (Orr et al., 2005; Bopp et al., 2013).
From preindustrial levels, contemporary surface ocean pH is
estimated to have dropped on
average from 8.2 to 8.1, or by about 0.1 pH units (a 26 % increase in hydrogen ion concentration), and further decreases of 0.22 to 0.35 pH units are projected over this century unless carbon dioxide
emissions are significantly reduced.
Further climate change is expected to intensify these effects on North Sea plankton, cod, and marine ecosystems.7 By 2100, scientists
estimate that
average world sea surface temperatures could rise as much as 5.4 ° F (3 ° C) if our heat - trapping
emissions continue unabated.13, 14
This chart uses historical GHG
emissions data and the targets and timetables in submitted pre-2020 pledges (for 2020 reductions) and INDCs to
estimate the
average annual change in
emissions (decarbonization rate) from 2020 - 2030.
These carbon cycle models are not perfect and tend, on
average, to have lower
emissions associated with current CO2 concentrations than our best
estimate of
emissions that have actually occurred.
For instance, it found that for the year 2040 on the worst - case
emissions pathway, the global
average sea - level rise would be 0.2 meters (0.65 feet), but «more than 90 percent of coastal areas will experience sea level rise exceeding the global
estimate.»
According to
estimates released this week by Guido van der Werf on the Global Fire
Emissions Database, there have been nearly 100,000 active fire detections in Indonesia so far in 2015, which since September have generated emissions each day exceeding the average daily emissions from all U.S. economic
Emissions Database, there have been nearly 100,000 active fire detections in Indonesia so far in 2015, which since September have generated
emissions each day exceeding the average daily emissions from all U.S. economic
emissions each day exceeding the
average daily
emissions from all U.S. economic
emissions from all U.S. economic activity.
The net heat flows are much smaller like 60 W / m ^ 2 which is a typical
estimate for the
average net energy transfer from Earth surface due to LWIR taking both
emission and absorption into account.
It
estimates a 20 - 24 percent reduction in
emissions from electric vehicles driven 90,000 miles and powered by
average European electricity.
The Congressional Budget Office
estimates that a 15 percent cut in
emissions from a base year would raise annual
average household energy costs by almost $ 1,300 (in 2006 «constant» dollars), or roughly 3 percent of income for the bottom four fifths of the population.
Using the Solar Estimate calculator, we determined that given an
average monthly utility bill of $ 150, the owner of a two - bedroom home on Montagu Street in Charleston's up - scale 29401 zip code should produce around 9,890 kilowatt - hours (kWh) of
emissions - free renewable energy over its useful life; resulting in an
estimated net profit (energy cost savings less the cost of equipment and installation) to the homeowner of $ 57,878 over 25 years.
Overall, in MISO,
average emission factors are generally higher than marginal
estimates (typical difference: ∼ 20 %).
While oil palm can be grown sustainably, this is rarely the case in Indonesia, where Wetlands International
estimates that production of one metric ton of palm oil will result in an
average emission of 20 tons of carbon dioxide from peat decomposition alone, not including
emissions resulting from production or combustion.
The Earth's
average surface temperature is
estimated to have warmed 1.3 degrees Fahrenheit (0.7 degrees Celsius) since humans accelerated greenhouse gas
emissions around the time of the Industrial Revolution.
The report
estimates that secondhand machinery, often built with older technology, consumes an
average of 20 percent more energy than modern equipment — often resulting in more greenhouse gas
emissions.
In the figure, each line represents a central
estimate of global
average temperature rise (relative to the 1901 - 1960
average) for a specific
emissions pathway.
Many scientists
estimate that if greenhouse - gas
emissions continue unabated, the
average temperature could increase by four degrees Celsius or more by the end of the century — a scenario that might, as Elizabeth Kolbert wrote recently in The New Yorker, «transform the globe into a patchwork of drowned cities, desertifying croplands, and collapsing ecosystems.»
Global
average CO2
emission per tonne cement production is
estimated by Worrell et al. (2001b) at 814 kg (222 kg C), while Humphreys and Mahasenan (2002)
estimated 870 kg (264 kg C).
• Poles to tropics temperature gradient,
average temp of tropics over past 540 Ma; and arguably warming may be net - beneficial overall • Quotes from IPCC AR4 WG1 showing that warming would be beneficial for life, not damaging • Quotes from IPCC AR5 WG3 stating (in effect) that the damage functions used for
estimating damages are not supported by evidence • Richard Tol's breakdown of economic impacts of GW by sector • Economic damages of climate change — about the IAMs • McKitrick — Social Cost of Carbon much lower than commonly stated • Bias on impacts of GHG
emissions — Figure 1 is a chart showing 15 recent
estimates of SCC — Lewis and Curry, 2015, has the lowest uncertainty range.
The mining industry has significant potential exposure to carbon
emissions regulation in its value chain where Scope 3
emissions from downstream customers is
estimated at an
average of 10x and up to 30x higher than operational
emissions.
The proportionate increase in fuel energy use (and thus GHG
emissions) due to a person's weight per kilometre is
estimated as car weight plus half the mass of the person, divided by car weight (Leonard Evans, personal communication)-LSB-...] we assumed that all individuals with BMI < 30 kg / m2 use an
average small car (e.g. Ford Fiesta) and that individuals with BMI 30 kg / m2 use a car with more internal space (e.g. Ford Galaxy).
The State Department
estimates that oil sands oil has 17 % greater well - to - wheel CO2
emissions than
average US crude, which corresponds to approximately 200 additional pounds of CO2
emissions per barrel relative to
average US crude.
For an
average American car (26 miles per gallon), Shindell
estimates that the air pollution
emissions altogether cost us $ 1700 in damages per year.
At current
emissions trends,
average pH of the oceans would drop from about 8.1 (current levels) to at least 7.9 in about 100 years (NRC, 2011a).22 A similar change occurred over the 200,000 years leading up to the end - Permian mass extinction, which resulted in loss of an
estimated ~ 90 percent or more of known species (Chen and Benton, 2012; Knoll et al., 2007).
Taking an
average across ESMs suggests that our cumulative
emissions to date would correspond to about 0.3 C more than best
estimates of human - caused warming so far.
For a future of continued growth in
emissions the new results indicate a likely global
average sea - level rise between 1.1 and 2.1 meters (3.6 to 6.9 feet)-- roughly double the IPCC - consistent
estimate.
Only 50 % Reduction in Upstream
Emissions Possible According to the report Carbon Capture and Storage in the Alberta Tar Sands, CCS «has limited potential to reduce upstream emissions to levels comparable with the average for conventional oil,» with «even the most optimistic estimates from industry experts» showing reductions in the 10 - 30 % range in the medium term and up to 50 % in the l
Emissions Possible According to the report Carbon Capture and Storage in the Alberta Tar Sands, CCS «has limited potential to reduce upstream
emissions to levels comparable with the average for conventional oil,» with «even the most optimistic estimates from industry experts» showing reductions in the 10 - 30 % range in the medium term and up to 50 % in the l
emissions to levels comparable with the
average for conventional oil,» with «even the most optimistic
estimates from industry experts» showing reductions in the 10 - 30 % range in the medium term and up to 50 % in the long term.
Recent
estimates suggest that forestry could contribute an
average 6.7 billion tons of
emissions reductions annually, with over two - thirds of this potential coming from tropical nations.3 Making full use of the forest carbon sink is appealing to both the developed and the developing world.
When the total energy in Btu from coal consumption by State is known (with no breakdown by coal - consuming sector), the State
average emission factors can be used to
estimate the total amount of carbon dioxide
emissions by State.
1 ton = ~ 7.3 barrels oil
estimated Gulf oil leakage rate ~ 21600 barrels / day (5 - 40,000 depending on who's
estimating) or 3000 tons / day methane
emission = 1.5 e3 ton / day = 1.5 e9 g / day at 50 % methane by weight in the leak (probably a high
estimate) Gulf area = 1.5 e6 km ^ 2 = 1.5 e12 m ^ 2 Gulf
average depth = 1.62 e3 m Gulf volume = ~ 2.4 e15 m ^ 3
Paragrap 17 «Notes with concern that the
estimated aggregate greenhouse gas
emission levels in 2025 and 2030 resulting from the intended nationally determined contributions do not fall within least - cost 2 ̊C scenarios but rather lead to a projected level of 55 gigatonnes in 2030, and also notes that much greater
emission reduction efforts will be required than those associated with the intended nationally determined contributions in order to hold the increase in the global
average temperature to below 2 ̊C above pre-industrial levels by reducing
emissions to 40 gigatonnes or to 1.5 ̊C above pre-industrial levels by reducing to a level to be identified in the special report referred to in paragraph 21 below;»
I think that, given how steadily it has been warming since 1980 (about 0.3 C per decade for the
average land area, see below), a forward projection would be a good central
estimate around which to add the uncertainty that partly includes what
emissions will do in that timeframe.
So how do we
average the Earth's temperature such that the application of a single temperature term (or a small number of distinct temperature elements if we partition the system into latitudes and sea vs terrestrial) works correctly to
estimate the aggregate
emission?