Not exact matches
linking probabilistic simple
climate models, complex Earth system models, and econometric analyses
of historical weathering and
climate impacts to project
future risks associated with
climate change and improve
estimates of the social cost
of carbon.
Based on the
estimated coefficients
of mean temperatures in four regimes, we separate 78 cities into five areas with latitudes below 30 °, 31 ° -40 °, 41 ° -50 °, and 61 ° -70 °, and predict the
impacts of future climate change on mortality for 2021 - 2040, 2041 - 2060, and 2061 - 2100.
There are a number
of areas where improved scientific information or understanding would enhance the capacity to
estimate future climate change impacts.
Marco Springmann, post-doctoral researcher in population health at the Oxford Martin Programme on the
Future of Food at Oxford University, UK, and colleagues report in The Lancet that their study
of the
impact of climate change on diet and bodyweight is the first
of its kind, and the first to
estimate the possible number
of deaths in 155 countries.
The Stern Review on the Economics
of Climate Change (2006) estimates that the international costs of unabated climate change is already at least five percent of global per capita GDP and will continue at this rate into the future, with estimates rising to 20 percent of GDP or more when accounting for a wider range of i
Climate Change (2006) estimates that the international costs of unabated climate change is already at least five percent of global per capita GDP and will continue at this rate into the future, with estimates rising to 20 percent of GDP or more when accounting for a wider range of im
Change (2006)
estimates that the international costs
of unabated
climate change is already at least five percent of global per capita GDP and will continue at this rate into the future, with estimates rising to 20 percent of GDP or more when accounting for a wider range of i
climate change is already at least five percent of global per capita GDP and will continue at this rate into the future, with estimates rising to 20 percent of GDP or more when accounting for a wider range of im
change is already at least five percent
of global per capita GDP and will continue at this rate into the
future, with
estimates rising to 20 percent
of GDP or more when accounting for a wider range
of impacts.
Sea level rose faster in the 20th century than in any other century
of the last 3,000 years, new methods for
estimating future sea level rise and heat waves, consumers to blame for their carbon footprint, and new virtual forests predict
future impacts of climate change.
The
impact on our «understanding and attributing
climate change» is major,
of course: if up to 50 %
of past warming can be attributed to solar forcing (as many solar studies have concluded) then the whole model - predicted (2xCO2)
climate sensitivity
estimates are in serious question and, with these, all the projections for
future climate change caused by AGW.
In «Too hot, too cold, too wet, too dry: Drivers and
impacts of seasonal weather in the UK», the Met Office considered whether recent seasonal variations could be attributed to
climate change, and to what extent this could be used to
estimate likely
future climate.
It is therefore important to understand the relative influence
of the various factors in order to
estimate future climate changes and to decide how best to mitigate the negative
impacts.
Overall, the synopsis emphasized the positive effects
of climate change over the negative, the uncertainty surrounding predictions
of future change rather than the emerging consensus and the low end
of harmful
impact estimates rather than the high end.
Our current approach to water management doesn't adequately integrate
climate change projections into
estimates of future water supply or designs for new water infrastructure, yet
climate change will have a bigger
impact on water availability than any single El Niño or La Niña cycle.