Using the ERF measure, the ECS
estimate increases from 1.72 C to 1.83 C on my calculations (from a clearly wrong 1.5 C to 1.8 C per MEA15 / GISS's corrections), or to 1.97 C based on the total radiative imbalance.
Using ERF to measure forcing, the TCR
estimate increases from 1.1 C to 1.29 C on my calculations (although they claim only 1.2 C).
If X includes only a constant, then
this estimate increases from 0.16 percentage points to 5.81 percentage points.
In a sensitivity analysis, we found that calculating absolute runoff based on the low (r = 0.66) and high values (r = 0.74) of this index changed
the estimated increase from treatments by only 1 — 2 percentage points.
Not exact matches
Last year, 6.15 million Chinese travelers took international trips, a 7 percent
increase from 2016, with overseas spending
estimated to amount to about 100 billion yuan (nearly $ 16 billion).
That marks a significant
increase from the
estimate of 35,000 that Afghanistan's TOLOnews attributed to an Afghan defense official in 2011.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
from those reflected in such forward - looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately
estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential for additional forward losses on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced
increases in the build rates of certain aircraft; 6) the effect on aircraft demand and build rates of changing customer preferences for business aircraft, including the effect of global economic conditions on the business aircraft market and expanding conflicts or political unrest in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the effect of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which we operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; 9) the success and timely execution of key milestones such as the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals for the consummation of our announced acquisition of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact on Boeing's and Airbus» production of aircraft resulting
from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or
from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact on the demand for air travel or our operations
from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover
from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns on pension plan assets and the impact of future discount rate changes on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance debt, including our ability to obtain the debt to finance the purchase price for our announced acquisition of Asco on favorable terms or at all; 18) competition
from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the effect of changes in tax law, such as the effect of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the «TCJA») that was enacted on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations of or guidance related thereto, and the Company's ability to accurately calculate and
estimate the effect of such changes; 21) any reduction in our credit ratings; 22) our dependence on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass of highly - skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other governments on defense; 25) the possibility that our cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate for our additional capital needs or for payment of interest on, and principal of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to higher interest payments should interest rates
increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness of any interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting; 29) the outcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess, manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition of Asco in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions for ourselves and Asco as a result of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks of doing business internationally, including fluctuations in foreign current exchange rates, impositions of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign government policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things.
Sales rose 7.9 percent to $ 3.45 billion in the first quarter
from a year earlier, slightly above the average analyst
estimate of $ 3.34 billion, with aluminum prices accounting for $ 109 million or about 40 percent of the
increase.
And by 2020, Peterson expects NFC payments via mobile phones to
increase to an
estimated $ 536 billion,
from its current level of an
estimated $ 112 billion for 2015.
Williams said the Heritage
estimate was correct based on the methodology the foundation used — the analysts
estimated a carbon tax rate of $ 36, which would
increase by 3 % each year
from 2015 to 2035.
That's an
increase in market size
from an
estimated $ 27 billion in 2015 to $ 67 billion in 2025.
The International Labor Organization
estimates that the participation rate of workers older than 55 will
increase to more than 18 % in 2030
from 14.3 % in 2014.
This
estimate is based largely on the assumption that bitcoin can
increase its share of the «alternative currency» market, which is mostly gold,
from 0.7 % to 5 %.
In Canada alone, total drug expenditures for 2005 rose 11 % to an
estimated $ 24.8 billion, a 61 %
increase from five years ago.
Martha Stewart Weddings and the trends consultancy the Futures Co. say that destination weddings are
increasing in popularity, with 31 % of brides between the ages of 21 and 30 planning to tie the knot away
from home — that's up
from previous
estimates of 10 % to 20 %.
Apple is
estimated to have sold 53 million iPhones
from January through March, a 4.4 percent
increase year over year, according to financial data and analytics firm FactSet.
American Express» 2017 State of Women - Owned Businesses Report
estimates that
from 1997 to 2017, the number of women - owned firms
increased by a rate of roughly more than 2.5 times the national average (114 percent vs. 44 percent).
The decision comes on the heels of a new report
from the National Center for Health Statistics, an agency of the Centers For Disease Control and Prevention, that shows the rate of
estimated drug overdose deaths
increased in the third quarter of 2016 and outpaced the rate of drug - related deaths over the same period in 2015.
«On the corporate side, we disregard the temporary
increase in tax payments in 2018 related to the tax on deemed repatriation; we do not
estimate a growth effect
from those repatriated profits, either,» the note said.
I've gone through the exercise of
estimating how much tax revenues could be expected to be generated
from an
increase in corporate income taxes a couple of times (here and here).
There's an
increasing concern that iPhone demand is slowing, and the iPhone X is expected to sell 14 million units in the current quarter, down
from an
estimated 29 million
from the quarter before.
We know retail ecommerce is expected to be strong — eMarketer
estimates the core holiday November - through - December period will continue its multi-year trend of double - digit growth to bring $ 79.4 billion in sales, an
increase of 13.9 percent
from the same time in 2014.
In May, Carlos Kirjner of Sanford Bernstein set his Amazon target price at $ 1,000 — a 30 %
increase from $ 770 — even while Wall Street
estimated an average 12 - month target price of $ 809.28.
«We already have seen an
increase in interest
from travelers who are more aware of terror attacks in different areas who are looking to us to buy policies with terrorist coverage,» says Rachel Taft, a Squaremouth spokeswoman, who
estimates that nearly a dozen people have called in the last few days.
In a report published in February, Parliamentary Budget Officer Kevin Page projects the cost of elderly benefits will
increase from $ 36 billion today to a peak of $ 142 billion in 2036 - 37 — but as dire as that fourfold
increase may sound, that will amount to a relatively small portion of the nation's economy (3.2 % of GDP), and Page
estimates that «the federal fiscal structure is sustainable.»
However, the decline in GDP growth was much larger at 4pp (to -1.1 % y / y
from 3.1 % prior to the
increase in the VAT), implying significant downside risk to our
estimates.»
The day after Thanksgiving — Black Friday — is historically the unofficial start to the holiday shopping season and is expected to generate $ 13.6 billion in revenue, an
increase of 3.9 percent over 2012, according to
estimates from IBIS.
While the Street is
estimating Apple sold about 55 million iPhones, Stifel Nicolaus
increased its
estimates earlier this week
from 53.6 million to 59.6 million units.
The department had previously only provided an
estimate for U.S. shale reserves, which it on Monday
increased from 32 billion barrels to 58 billion.
And the number of consumers buying goods
from international sites is expected to
increase to 130 million, the report
estimates.
From the fourth quarter of 2007 to the first quarter of 2011, real GDP decreased at an average annual rate of 0.2 percent; in the previously published
estimates, real GDP had
increased at an average annual rate of 0.2 percent.
Criticism of House Republicans
increased after the bill passed without an updated analysis
from the Congressional Budget Office — which initially
estimated the AHCA would
increase the number of uninsured to 24 million by 2026 — and after several Republicans conceded they had not fully read the bill before voting for it.
To accomplish this, the new WHO report
estimates that global funding for combating the disease will have to
increase from the $ 2.7 billion that's spent today to $ 8.7 billion in 2030.
Among the factors that could cause actual results to differ materially are the following: (1) worldwide economic, political, and capital markets conditions and other factors beyond the Company's control, including natural and other disasters or climate change affecting the operations of the Company or its customers and suppliers; (2) the Company's credit ratings and its cost of capital; (3) competitive conditions and customer preferences; (4) foreign currency exchange rates and fluctuations in those rates; (5) the timing and market acceptance of new product offerings; (6) the availability and cost of purchased components, compounds, raw materials and energy (including oil and natural gas and their derivatives) due to shortages,
increased demand or supply interruptions (including those caused by natural and other disasters and other events); (7) the impact of acquisitions, strategic alliances, divestitures, and other unusual events resulting
from portfolio management actions and other evolving business strategies, and possible organizational restructuring; (8) generating fewer productivity improvements than
estimated; (9) unanticipated problems or delays with the phased implementation of a global enterprise resource planning (ERP) system, or security breaches and other disruptions to the Company's information technology infrastructure; (10) financial market risks that may affect the Company's funding obligations under defined benefit pension and postretirement plans; and (11) legal proceedings, including significant developments that could occur in the legal and regulatory proceedings described in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2017, and any subsequent quarterly reports on Form 10 - Q (the «Reports»).
Worldsteel raised its
estimate for last year's demand growth to 1 percent
from 0.2 percent, primarily because Beijing's infrastructure - led stimulus resulted in a sharper - than - expected
increase in China's steel use.
The group
increased microlending activity by 26 % just
from 1995 to 1996, raising its total level of involvement to $ 15.8 billion at last
estimate.
Increased costs would also threaten the health insurance of about 13 million Americans, according to
estimates from the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office.
We do not know the
increase in the growth of federally regulated workers that make less than $ 15, but given what we know
from the Labour Force Survey, federally regulated workplace study and employment equity survey data,
estimates of 0.25 - 0.75 % annual growth appear reasonable.
ICBC is facing a financial loss of $ 1.3 billion by the end of the fiscal year, an astronomical
increase from an amount that the previous government
estimated at $ 11 million.
Earlier this year, when officials
from Health Canada appeared before a House of Commons committee, they acknowledged that it is hard to
estimate the actual cost but that they knew that the agreement would
increase the costs of drugs in Canada.
Data
from the IDC study supported Cook's theory and
estimated that tablet sales will
increase to 190.9 million units while PC sales will decline to 345.8 million units.
The cost savings to firms due to the delay remain unchanged relative to what was
estimated for the NPRM, while the cost - savings
from the complete elimination of the transition notice has
increased.
BLS projections show an
estimated increase of 19 %, or 108,400 total employed financial managers
from 2016 to 2026.
Premiums that are higher than those in the baseline projections would tend to boost the budgetary savings under this policy by
increasing the
estimated per - person savings
from people no longer enrolling in nongroup coverage.
Urgent care centers are steadily
increasing in number, growing to an
estimated 10,000 U.S. locations
from 8,000 locations three years ago.
«The Treasury Department
estimates that the Administration's tax cut proposals would (1)
increase tax receipts
from the AMT by $ 262 billion over the 2002 - 2011 period, and (2)
increase the number of taxpayers in 2011 who have additional tax liability because of the AMT
from 20.4 million to 34.7 million.»
Americans» total credit card debt continues to climb in 2017, reaching an
estimated $ 931 billion — a nearly 7 %
increase from the previous year — according to a NerdWallet analysis.
Pernod Ricard (PERP.PA) also
increased its
estimate of the euro's negative impact, to 200 million
from its previous
estimate of 180 million, and Remy Cointreau (RCOP.PA) said foreign exchange movements would knock 17 to 18 million euros off full - year operating profit.
Not only did its monthly active users peaked during the period, it is
estimated that around 688 million people used WeChat's hongbao feature on Chinese New Year's Eve, which is a 15 %
increase from the same time last year.
Bartsch now forecasts 2017 GDP growth of 1.9 % for the eurozone, a 10 - basis - point
increase from Morgan Stanley's previous
estimate.