In recent decades, a number of groups have tried combining sets of these proxy records together to construct long - term
estimates of global temperature change over the last millennium or so.
Executive Summary The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature project was created to make the best
possible estimate of global temperature change using as complete a record of measurements as possible and by applying novel methods for the estimation and elimination of systematic biases.
We can make good
estimates of global temperature so can estimate planck radiation (on global level), good estimates of albedo from ice extent, reasonable estimates of evaporation and convection from temperature contraints, now try closing that surface budget with GHG.
Stott said the Met Office is also refining
its estimate of the global temperature and that the new analysis is within the range of uncertainty the Met Office agency includes in its analysis.
«Uncertainties in
the estimates of global temperature are larger than the differences between the warmest years.
HadCRUT3 doesn't sample the Arctic at all well, so it probably has a cold bias if you consider it as
an estimate of global temperature.