Not exact matches
The full effects on the
global climate will
come later, and even if the amount
of CO2 in the atmosphere stabilises at double today's levels the International Panel on Climatic Change (IPCC)
estimates that by end
of the 21st century the
global temperature will have increased by between 1.5 °C and 4.5 °C.
A
global team
of scientists, led by those at the University
of Florida Institute
of Food and Agricultural Sciences, used two different simulation methods and one statistical method to predict the impact
of rising
temperatures on
global wheat production, and all
came to similar
estimates.
In addition to a discussion
of some
of the extreme events
of 2011 this also
comes with a first
estimate of the 2011
global temperature, see their graph below:
The individual station records (
coming soon), show the raw station records (in red), the best
estimate of the regional record via kriging in blue, and the
global land
temperature record in gray for comparison.
The cash value
of this is, that all
of NASA's
estimates of annual mean
global surface
temperatures come with an uncertainty
of + / -(not less than 0.6) °C.
They fitted a simple (ish) climate model to these most recent and comprehensive proxy syntheses, and
came up with a
global mean
temperature anomaly
of only 3C (with an uncertainty range
of 1.7 - 3.7 C), which is far milder than most previous
estimates.
After all, we have about 100 years
of measured data when it
comes to
global temperature, and we have a few thousand years
of data that can help us
estimate how the earth's
temperature has changed over that timeframe.
He did do the first quantitative outlook
of the effects
of CO2 changes on
global temperature (
of which he got very lucky in being close to modern
estimates), but his target was largely to examine the
coming and going
of ice ages.