These are the kinds of numbers I was looking for to put in as a rough
estimate on my cash flow spreadsheet.
Not exact matches
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in such forward - looking statements and that should be considered in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately
estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential for additional forward losses
on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced increases in the build rates of certain aircraft; 6) the effect
on aircraft demand and build rates of changing customer preferences for business aircraft, including the effect of global economic conditions
on the business aircraft market and expanding conflicts or political unrest in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the effect of economic conditions in the industries and markets in which we operate in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates; 9) the success and timely execution of key milestones such as the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals for the consummation of our announced acquisition of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact
on Boeing's and Airbus» production of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact
on the demand for air travel or our operations from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns
on pension plan assets and the impact of future discount rate changes
on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance debt, including our ability to obtain the debt to finance the purchase price for our announced acquisition of Asco
on favorable terms or at all; 18) competition from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the effect of changes in tax law, such as the effect of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the «TCJA») that was enacted
on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations of or guidance related thereto, and the Company's ability to accurately calculate and
estimate the effect of such changes; 21) any reduction in our credit ratings; 22) our dependence
on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass of highly - skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other governments
on defense; 25) the possibility that our
cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate for our additional capital needs or for payment of interest
on, and principal of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to higher interest payments should interest rates increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness of any interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting; 29) the outcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess, manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition of Asco in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions for ourselves and Asco as a result of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks of doing business internationally, including fluctuations in foreign current exchange rates, impositions of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign government policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things.
Seasonal demand limits the
cash -
flow to a couple of weeks per year, which means you need to stack up
on inventory based
on an
estimate of future demand.
(Amazon doesn't release Prime subscription numbers so Morningstar's
estimates are based
on an analysis of Amazon's
cash flow statement.)
Similarly, looking at it from an enterprise value basis, assuming a free
cash flow margin of 25 % for FY18 (consensus
estimates are at 24 %)
on sales growth of 12 % (in - line with consensus) along with a EV / FCF multiple of 11x (in - line with the peak multiple leading up to the iPhone 6 cycle), we come up with a stock value in the mid $ 160s as well.
The income approach
estimates the fair value of a company based
on the present value of the company's future
estimated cash flows and the residual value of the company beyond the forecast period.
As a share of total household sector disposable income, the
cash flow effect in this scenario is
estimated be less than 0.2 per cent
on average per annum over each of the next three years (Graph 7).
Impairment losses are recorded
on long - lived assets when indicators of impairment are present and the undiscounted
cash flows estimated to be generated by those assets are less than the net carrying amount of the assets.
Forward - looking statements are based
on estimates and assumptions made by BlackBerry in light of its experience and its perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors that BlackBerry believes are appropriate in the circumstances, including but not limited to the launch timing and success of products based
on the BlackBerry 10 platform, general economic conditions, product pricing levels and competitive intensity, supply constraints, BlackBerry's expectations regarding its business, strategy, opportunities and prospects, including its ability to implement meaningful changes to address its business challenges, and BlackBerry's expectations regarding the
cash flow generation of its business.
Try our rental property
cash flow calculator to run
estimates on potential investment opportunities.
The key takeaways are: 1) without using a discounted
cash -
flow model, the PE ratio that should be applied to a company's earnings stream can never be appropriately calculated, and by extension, 2) when investors assign an arbitrary price - to - earnings multiple to a company's earnings (based
on historical trends or industry peers or the market multiple), they are essentially making
estimates for all of the drivers behind a discounted
cash -
flow model in one fell swoop (and sometimes hastily).
The software enables students to develop business management skills, requiring them to take decisions
on staffing levels,
estimating and bidding, managing
cash flow and capital and seeking investment opportunities.
Using a discounted
cash flow analysis (EPS = 5.87, 10 yr growth rate = 13 % (based
on previous years), terminal growth rate = 4 %, discount rate = 10 %) I come up with a fair value
estimate of $ 125.43, in line with the analyst consensus.
Asset allocation begins by measuring likely
cash flow yields
on asset classes, together with the likelihood of obtaining those
estimates.
The methodology screens US companies based
on five criteria: expected dividend yield,
cash flow / debt ratio, five - year normal EPS growth, return
on equity (latest quarter), and three - month EPS
estimate revision.
If a company is seen as cutting back
on its growth or is less profitable — either through higher debt expenses or less revenue — the
estimated amount of future
cash flows will drop.
The reader should note that the last 2 columns (light brown) provide annualized total return
estimates based
on the consensus 3 to 5 years trend line analyst
estimates of either
cash flows or earnings.
The team ranks the stocks in this universe based
on a series of growth factors, such as the change in consensus earnings
estimates over time, the company's history of meeting earnings targets, earnings quality and improvements
on return
on equity, as well as a series of value criteria, such as price - to - earnings ratio and free
cash flow relative to enterprise value.
Our fair value
estimate for WYNN is $ 195 per share based
on a discounted
cash flow analysis.
People who focus
on Going Concern tend to believe that value creation is a function of just one factor —
estimated free
cash flows appropriately capitalized: EMH; or
estimated earnings appropriately capitalized: G&D.
Such growth seems a good prospect, based not only
on the long - term track records of the companies in various TAM portfolios but, more importantly, assuming that the independent appraisals represent reasonable
estimates of future
cash flows for existing properties, then future
cash flows should be relatively large compared to the current discount market prices for the relevant common stocks.
The key factor for a Going Concern analyst is an
estimate of future
flows, whether those
flows are
cash or earnings; i.e., a «what will be» approach focusing
on estimated income accounts.
Others base their
estimates on future
cash flows.
Since the Roofstock Neighborhood Rating is the same for either house, you can focus
on other differentiators that influence purchase decision, such as list price, potential
cash flow,
estimated capital expenditures, house condition, current leasing conditions, tenant performance, etc..
Nevertheless, this post is not focused
on the absolute valuation and we'll discuss more in another post where you will require to understand a lot of complex terms like future free
cash flow projections, discount rate (weighted average cost of capital - WACC) etc to find the
estimated present value.
The absolute valuation tries to determine the intrinsic value of the company based
on the
estimated free
cash flows discounted to their present value.
On a net asset value basis (using management's last estimate of DHT's fleet value, $ 400 million) DHT is trading for less than its fleet value on an unchartered basis, despite the roughly $ 100 million at least in free cash flow to be collected by DHT through 2012 when the charters begin to roll of
On a net asset value basis (using management's last
estimate of DHT's fleet value, $ 400 million) DHT is trading for less than its fleet value
on an unchartered basis, despite the roughly $ 100 million at least in free cash flow to be collected by DHT through 2012 when the charters begin to roll of
on an unchartered basis, despite the roughly $ 100 million at least in free
cash flow to be collected by DHT through 2012 when the charters begin to roll off.
One, since YTM is an
estimate, does that mean that the actual discount factor for each
cash flow will be slightly above or below the Yield, depending
on market conditions, but still overall balances out?
free
cash flow of $ 4.3 m. However, the aforementioned severance & settlement were actual
cash expenses, so I
estimate (cumulative) free
cash flow was $ 6.0 m if we exclude them — which nicely endorses our reliance
on adjusted EBITDA figures.
For instance, Morningstar has a 4 - 5 % ten year Treasury baked into its discounted
cash flow (DCF) models to come up with their fair value
estimates on stocks.
The intrinsic value approach relies
on estimating value based
on a combination of the net present value of the future
cash flow stream of a business and any excess assets not used to generate those
cash flows.
He predicts, for instance, that there are already people working
on creating data - models that would help investors predict the future appreciation of certain rental neighbourhoods, rental
cash -
flow estimates, the impact of school zones
on home prices, as well as the exact market cycles of detached and semi-detached homes in specific neighbourhoods.
Based
on these revenue projections, we
estimate that the company will be
cash flow neutral during the third quarter, plus or minus $ 5m.
Others look to future
cash flows that are discounted at some rate to arrive at a value
estimate based
on future financial performance.
For securities not actively traded, fair values are
estimated by using quoted market prices of comparable instruments or, if there are no relevant comparables,
on pricing models, formulas or
cash flow forecasting models using current assumptions.
[WWF have claimed that the long - term costs could be offset by energy savings in all areas, but this appears to be based largely
on wishful thinking and, at any rate, no discounted
cash flow analysis was made to include the investment cost, nor was any
estimate provided for the amount of global warming that would be averted.]
Determined market prospects,
estimated cash flows, and prepared business plans for ventures ranging from developing housing
on industrial and commercial sites, through retailing, to telephone calling, direct - mail marketing, and educating overseas students
Prepared valuation analyses and
cash flow models
on prospective acquisitions using ARGUS; and recorded acquisition / sale of 1031 properties
on multiple entities Prepared quarterly financial reports for tax auditors using QuickBooks, including all supporting schedules for 10 - K and 10 - Q filings Created / Maintained lease briefs for newly acquired assets and performed due diligence for prospective acquisitions Managed and reconciled
cash for company and 1031 exchange properties; and acted as primary contact for all treasury management issues Filed annual business property statement and recorded
estimated income tax payments — state and federal Created accounting procedures manual and supervised / trained assistants to perform accounts payable tasks Consulted with property accountants to resolve discrepancies in monthly financial reports Provided executives, shareholders, lenders and investors with monthly, quarterly and annual financial reports Ensured compliance with loan covenants and tenant in common (TIC) agreements
Unless you are a trained psychic
on the crystal ball, then predicting appreciation may be easier for you than
estimating cash flow.
So after taxes, mortgage payment, utilities, and other monthly expenses, I
estimated the
cash flow on that one to be about $ 1,000 each month.
Ask a lot of questions and get yourself comfortable with when to make offers, how to make offers, how to calculate
cash flow, how to calculate
cash on cash returns, how to calculate cap rates, how to
estimate ARV, etc..
This free
estimated tax saving benefit analysis can help you analyze your potential commercial real estate acquisition based
on the potential increase in
cash flow resulting from additional income tax deductions from accelerated depreciation schedules.
A more full mathematical model for
estimating the value of a property based
on the expected
cash flows to be received over the holding period is the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model that estimates the present value of all cash flows of the property over its expected holding period taking into account all revenues and expenses, as well as the sales price and costs at the end of the holding per
cash flows to be received over the holding period is the Discounted
Cash Flow (DCF) model that estimates the present value of all cash flows of the property over its expected holding period taking into account all revenues and expenses, as well as the sales price and costs at the end of the holding per
Cash Flow (DCF) model that
estimates the present value of all
cash flows of the property over its expected holding period taking into account all revenues and expenses, as well as the sales price and costs at the end of the holding per
cash flows of the property over its expected holding period taking into account all revenues and expenses, as well as the sales price and costs at the end of the holding period.