It's best to
estimate on the low end of returns, though.
We could
estimate on the low end that insurance for fire and flood is 1 % per year and we all tolerate this cost because of the catastrophic loss a fire or flood would cause.
Not exact matches
By contrast, plenty of paintings
on Wednesday sold at the
lower end of
estimates, and some, like Jasper John's «Disappearance I» failed to sell at all, the New York Times reports.
High -
end yoga apparel maker Lululemon, whose controversial founder and chairman is set to step down in June,
lowered its revenue and profit
estimates for its fiscal fourth quarter, which
ends on Feb. 2.
Uncertainty shock =
lower US GDP
estimates; markets will price in EU fragmentation; Fed likely to pass in Dec; ultimate growth impact of Trump will depend
on whether his protectionism or Keynesianism triumphs; either way Trump will boost inflation / stagflation expectations as electorates say
end wage deflation via immigration controls, trade protectionism, fiscal spending.
Novartis set the price for the one - time treatment at $ 475,000, right in line with
low -
end estimates and one that will put pressure
on Gilead to rein in its own price for a rival therapy expected to be approved in the near future.
Of course, change it did — and now, most recent
estimates of the SLS» cost to launch put the rocket closer to $ 2B per launch
on the
low end.
As a former junk market professional specializing in special situations like this, I can say with certainty that the Wall Street Journal's
estimate of losses will
end up being
on the
low side.
In terms of own price elasticity values, a recent meta - analysis
estimated an average own price effect for carbonated sugar sweetened drinks (a near equivalent of the category non-concentrated sugar sweetened drinks, which predominantly includes carbonated drinks) of − 0.93, larger than our value of − 0.81.51 Our
estimated value is also at the
lower end of the range of own price elasticities frequently cited for sugar sweetened drinks of − 0.8 to − 1.0, based
on one large review.52 Our own price
estimate is comparable to experimental data (a 25 % reduction for a 35 % price rise) in a canteen study.53 However, all these
estimates may be influenced by US studies in which higher
estimates may reflect higher levels of consumption.
Subscribe to the Afternoon Brief Trending Story: Constellation Third Quarter Sales Miss, No Hit from Legalized Pot Constellation Brands missed Wall Street
estimates for third quarter revenue
on Friday and said wine and spirit sales for the full - year would be at the
low end of a previous forecast, sending its shares down as much -LSB-...]
Donaldson,
on the losing
end of this courthouse controversy, reminded me that renovation costs for the current courthouse
on Lucas Avenue were
estimated at $ 6.5 million, close to
low bids
on the BRC renovation.
They compared each individual's lifespan to that of their relatives and their degree of separation and found that genes explained about 16 percent of the longevity variation seen in their data —
on the
low end of previous
estimates which have ranged from about 15 percent to 30 percent.
Based
on the average surface brightness of these asteroids, DD45's size appears to be about 19 km across,
on the
lower end of its
estimated size range.
Therefore studies based
on observed warming have underestimated climate sensitivity as they did not account for the greater response to aerosol forcing, and multiple lines of evidence are now consistent in showing that climate sensitivity is in fact very unlikely to be at the
low end of the range in recent
estimates.
Future emissions
estimated based
on OECD projections for economic growth and steady progress towards the upper (65 %) or
lower (60 %)
end of China's carbon intensity target for 2030.
Leung emphasized the
estimate's conservativeness, noting that the climate projections of warming devised by the U.S. Department of Energy and the National Center for Atmospheric Research are
on the
low end compared to most other models.
I have taken my heart beat while swimming and then found a calculator that tells me what someone my size burns while doing a mix of freestyle and «frog style» swimming, I enter that in the off body calculations and try to stay
on the
low end of calories burned in case I am over
estimating.
Based
on the above reasoning, for carbohydrates, our
estimated plateau range is from 10 % of energy
on the
low end (which we recommend for therapeutic ketogenic diets) to 30 %
on the high
end (a «moderate carb» diet in which all the body's glucose needs are met from diet).
By their
low -
end estimates of benefits (which total to just three standard deviations), each $ 100 spent
on classroom coaches would be expected to yield at least a 0.25 standard deviations gain in achievement, very similar to the expected gain for full - day kindergarten.
Those factors would all increase teacher turnover rates, meaning our
estimates, particularly those for the percentage of teachers reaching later milestones, are likely
on the
low end.
So far, fuel economy is
on the
low end of the manufacturer's
estimate, about 16 around town, 18 overall.
Reviewer: Chip Drake Manufacturer: Daimler Make: Mercedes - Benz Model: Sprinter Type: Van (Cargo, Crew, Cab Chassis, MiniBus & Passenger) Competitors: Ford, Chevy, GMC, Nissan Price: Ranges from (
on the
low end) 3500 Cab Chassis $ 35,310 to (high
end) Sprinter 2500 Passenger Van $ 46,180 (options: V6 — $ 985; High Roof $ 2495) D&D: $ 995 Made in: Dusseldorf, Germany (vans manufactured, disassembled & shipped); Ladson, South Carolina (U.S. assembly plant) Drivetrain: Standard Engine: 4 - cylinder Turbodiesel (161 hp / 266 lb - ft); Optional Engine: 3 - liter V6 Turbodiesel (188hp / 325 lb - ft) EPA Ratings: Mercedes
Estimates: 4 - cylinder Highway — 28 - 29; V6 Highway — 24.9
I would
estimate that the average annual income for self - published authors is slightly
lower now and, having seen a number of authors quit over the last couple of years in order to get full time jobs because of financial problems, it hasn't gotten any easier to make
ends meet
on just book royalties.
Still, if you need to be cheered up, at least BlackBerry smartphone shipments are keeping up with
estimates, at 14.1 million for the three - month period
ending on November 26th, though RIM also forecasts that its numbers in the fourth quarter will be
lower than in the one just finished.
Such statements reflect the current views of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products,
low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, possible disruptions in Barnes & Noble's computer systems, telephone systems or supply chain, possible risks associated with data privacy, information security and intellectual property, possible work stoppages or increases in labor costs, possible increases in shipping rates or interruptions in shipping service, effects of competition, possible risks that inventory in channels of distribution may be larger than able to be sold, possible risks associated with changes in the strategic direction of the device business, including possible reduction in sales of content, accessories and other merchandise and other adverse financial impacts, possible risk that component parts will be rendered obsolete or otherwise not be able to be effectively utilized in devices to be sold, possible risk that financial and operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, possible risk that returns from consumers or channels of distribution may be greater than
estimated, the risk that digital sales growth is less than expectations and the risk that it does not exceed the rate of investment spend, higher - than - anticipated store closing or relocation costs, higher interest rates, the performance of Barnes & Noble's online, digital and other initiatives, the success of Barnes & Noble's strategic investments, unanticipated increases in merchandise, component or occupancy costs, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, product and component shortages, the potential adverse impact
on the Company's businesses resulting from the Company's prior reviews of strategic alternatives and the potential separation of the Company's businesses, the risk that the transactions with Microsoft and Pearson do not achieve the expected benefits for the parties or impose costs
on the Company in excess of what the Company anticipates, including the risk that NOOK Media's applications are not commercially successful or that the expected distribution of those applications is not achieved, risks associated with the international expansion contemplated by the relationship with Microsoft, including that it is not successful or is delayed, the risk that NOOK Media is not able to perform its obligations under the Microsoft and Pearson commercial agreements and the consequences thereof, risks associated with the restatement contained in, the delayed filing of, and the material weakness in internal controls described in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report
on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year
ended April 27, 2013, risks associated with the SEC investigation disclosed in the quarterly report
on Form 10 - Q for the fiscal quarter
ended October 26, 2013, risks associated with the ongoing efforts to rationalize the NOOK business and the expected costs and benefits of such efforts and associated risks and other factors which may be outside of Barnes & Noble's control, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report
on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year
ended April 27, 2013, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.
On the
low end of McCourt's
estimate, the Kindle Fire cost Apple at least $ 500 million considering the iPad 2's $ 500 entry - level price point.
Such statements reflect the current views of Barnes & Noble with respect to future events, the outcome of which is subject to certain risks, including, among others, the effect of the proposed separation of NOOK Media, the general economic environment and consumer spending patterns, decreased consumer demand for Barnes & Noble's products,
low growth or declining sales and net income due to various factors, possible disruptions in Barnes & Noble's computer systems, telephone systems or supply chain, possible risks associated with data privacy, information security and intellectual property, possible work stoppages or increases in labor costs, possible increases in shipping rates or interruptions in shipping service, effects of competition, possible risks that inventory in channels of distribution may be larger than able to be sold, possible risks associated with changes in the strategic direction of the device business, including possible reduction in sales of content, accessories and other merchandise and other adverse financial impacts, possible risk that component parts will be rendered obsolete or otherwise not be able to be effectively utilized in devices to be sold, possible risk that financial and operational forecasts and projections are not achieved, possible risk that returns from consumers or channels of distribution may be greater than
estimated, the risk that digital sales growth is less than expectations and the risk that it does not exceed the rate of investment spend, higher - than - anticipated store closing or relocation costs, higher interest rates, the performance of Barnes & Noble's online, digital and other initiatives, the success of Barnes & Noble's strategic investments, unanticipated increases in merchandise, component or occupancy costs, unanticipated adverse litigation results or effects, product and component shortages, risks associated with the commercial agreement with Samsung, the potential adverse impact
on the Company's businesses resulting from the Company's prior reviews of strategic alternatives and the potential separation of the Company's businesses (including with respect to the timing of the completion thereof), the risk that the transactions with Pearson and Samsung do not achieve the expected benefits for the parties or impose costs
on the Company in excess of what the Company anticipates, including the risk that NOOK Media's applications are not commercially successful or that the expected distribution of those applications is not achieved, risks associated with the international expansion previously undertaken, including any risks associated with a reduction of international operations following termination of the Microsoft commercial agreement, the risk that NOOK Media is not able to perform its obligations under the Pearson and Samsung commercial agreements and the consequences thereof, the risks associated with the termination of Microsoft commercial agreement, including potential customer losses, risks associated with the restatement contained in, the delayed filing of, and the material weakness in internal controls described in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report
on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year
ended April 27, 2013, risks associated with the SEC investigation disclosed in the quarterly report
on Form 10 - Q for the fiscal quarter
ended October 26, 2013, risks associated with the ongoing efforts to rationalize the NOOK business and the expected costs and benefits of such efforts and associated risks and other factors which may be outside of Barnes & Noble's control, including those factors discussed in detail in Item 1A, «Risk Factors,» in Barnes & Noble's Annual Report
on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year
ended May 3, 2014, and in Barnes & Noble's other filings made hereafter from time to time with the SEC.
If you assume
low multiples at the
end of say, a 10 - year holding period, it would take heroic assumptions about the growth of dividends and earnings to get a respectable return from stocks (see:
Estimating the Long Term Return
on Stocks).
Based
on this new Pro-Forma EUR 3.04 to EUR 4.04 NAV range, I'll use the
lower tertile of the range (i.e. weighted 2/3: 1/3 towards the Conservative
end of the range) this time» round to determine my best
estimate of NTR's updated intrinsic value — this equates to a EUR 3.37 Fair Value per share.
So as of right now we have a
low -
end estimate of $ 550 to $ 900 a year, depending
on size, to care for the newest family member.
The uptick coincided with an amendment, known as the Durbin Amendment, to the Dodd - Rank bill which
lowered the interchange fee
on debit card transactions and
ended up costing the banks an
estimated $ 14 billion a year.
The selling price was
on the
lower end of Sotheby's
estimate of $ 30 million to $ 50 million.
Maybe those are just the high and
low end estimates based
on error?
If the GHG - temperature link is
on the
low end of the range of
estimates (1.5 C to 4.5 C per doubling), then global warming will not be a significant problem.
Even if poor and rich countries agree, magically, to meet in the middle — at, say, 10 tons of carbon dioxide per person per year (about Europe's emissions rate)-- that produces a world well
on the way to centuries of warming and coastal retreats, even at the
low end of
estimates of carbon dioxide's heat - trapping power.
Therefore studies based
on observed warming have underestimated climate sensitivity as they did not account for the greater response to aerosol forcing, and multiple lines of evidence are now consistent in showing that climate sensitivity is in fact very unlikely to be at the
low end of the range in recent
estimates.
The new paper suggests that the contribution from Greenland was
on the
low end of the prior
estimates, but has little effect
on the
estimated total sea - level change, which points to a larger Antarctic source than the previous best
estimate.
Based
on the
low and high
end growth rates,
estimated demands ranges from about 265 to 625 billion cubic feet per day in 2040.
According to the technical analysis published by the Institute of Transportation Studies at UC Davis in 2007 for the California
Low Carbon Fuel Standard, estimates of full lifecycle GHG for refined product produced from oil sands / heavy oil range 29.4 gCeq / MJ on the low end to 35.9 gCeq / MJ on the high e
Low Carbon Fuel Standard,
estimates of full lifecycle GHG for refined product produced from oil sands / heavy oil range 29.4 gCeq / MJ
on the
low end to 35.9 gCeq / MJ on the high e
low end to 35.9 gCeq / MJ
on the high
end.
But arguments over the precise value of climate sensitivity duck the wider point, which is that even if we're lucky and climate sensitivity is
on the
low side of scientists»
estimates, we're still heading for a substantial level of warming by the
end of the century if greenhouse gas emissions aren't addressed, as the IPCC has highlighted.
At that point, we either have to hope climate sensitivity is
on the very
low end of the range that scientists have
estimated, or we're busting through the 2 °C limit.
And «scientists,» in this case, apparently include only those
on the
low end of climate sensitivity
estimates, rather than the more likely to be accurate consensus range.
My crude reconstruction of TSI (albeit based
on a good correlation between ACRIM and smoothed SSN) shows that the
lower end of the TSI
estimate discussed in the post above is more likely to be correct.
It boils down to Lewis and Crok trying to make the case that climate sensitivity is
on the
lower end of the IPCC
estimated range.
His
estimate was
on the very
low end of the IPCC range.
Previous research (Gillett et al, 2012)[v] has shown that scaling factors based
on a 1901 start date are more sensitive to
end date than those starting in the middle of the 19th century, with temperatures in the first two decades of the 20th century having been anomalously
low, so the 1861 — 2010
estimates are probably more reliable than the 1901 — 2010 ones.
As I recall he falls in the Tol / Curry / Lomborg school of focusing
on the
lower end of
estimates of climate change sensitivity and related effects, the «sure, some warming may be happening and maybe humans are responsible for some of it but who's to say it will be bad?»
That would be a constraint
on the
low end of the ECS PDF, which, combined with the high -
end constraints (of not using a uniform prior) should result in a nicely constrained ECS
estimate from the F&G 2006 study.
I didn't make it up — there was a posting
on Env Can with 2 %, which I included more as the
lower end of the
estimates (and they are all
estimates), although I think it's
low.
Estimates range from around $ 60 / ton of captured CO2 at the
low end (for only CO2 capture) to $ 1000 / ton of CO2 at the high
end (for both capture and regeneration) according to a recent National Research Council study (
on page 72).