Hence, high latitude trees may in fact over
estimate volcanic cooling.
Not exact matches
See e.g. this review paper (Schmidt et al, 2004), where the response of a climate model to
estimated past changes in natural forcing due to solar irradiance variations and explosive
volcanic eruptions, is shown to match the spatial pattern of reconstructed temperature changes during the «Little Ice Age» (which includes enhanced
cooling in certain regions such as Europe).
It turns out that for the signal - to - noise ratios
estimated for the individual tree - ring records, one would be hard pressed to cleanly isolate the
volcanic cooling signal in individual records or even regional composites.
This reveals an ignorance of the literature, otherwise you'd know that the extent of aerosol
cooling is
estimated from the measured aerosol optical depth due to
volcanic eruptions and their consequent impact on global temperature, and
estimates of aerosol emissions during the 20th century.
Best
estimate of natural external forcings in the past 50 years:
Cooling, due to solar and
volcanic measurements.
This means that
volcanic aerosols have minimal long - term
cooling effects and therefore, the warming effect of CO2 has to be much lower than assumed in Hansen's climate models and thus climate sensitivity
estimates must be lowered even further.