Sentences with phrase «estimate warming fail»
One key finding is evidence that IPCC climate models used to estimate warming fail to include several important environmental variables and therefore routinely over-estimate results.
http://climatechangereconsidered.org/ Not exact matches
Quoting the IPCC 1.4 to 5.8 Â °C estimate (for doubling CO2) outside current agreements among models that the uncertainty is most likely in the 2.5 to 4Â °C range or failing to point out that discrepancies (used by skeptics) between surface and troposphere warming have been resolved, is misleading in my view.
The attribution studies fail to account for the large multi-decadal (and longer) oscillations in the ocean, which have been estimated to account for 20 % to 40 % to 50 % to 100 % of the recent warming.
In the non-stationary environment caused by ocean warming, traditional approaches, which are solely based on analysing historical data, increasingly fail to estimate today's hazard probabilities.
By the way, you also conveniently failed to mention that RSS admits that their version 4.0 TLT likely under - estimates lower tropospheric warming [5].
PS Interestingly, none of the supporters of Hansen's failed 1988 forecast have presentedquantitative estimates of the relative growth rates and warming impacts of these other human GHGs — it's all just «hot air».
BEST estimates show no warming for the most recent 13 years, which he failed to acknowledge (big mistake).
I agree that the IPCC5 lowered the «estimates» of earlier failed work to include the low end warming observed.
It is a pretty incompetent group of scientist who can not even use their closest to observation models to estimate the predicted harms of CAGW, but instead use the modeled mean of the way to warm models to inflate the predicted but failing to manifest harms.
Quoting the IPCC 1.4 to 5.8 Â °C estimate (for doubling CO2) outside current agreements among models that the uncertainty is most likely in the 2.5 to 4Â °C range or failing to point out that discrepancies (used by skeptics) between surface and troposphere warming have been resolved, is misleading in my view.