Our theory relates this power to the intensity of condensation and produces
estimates of circulation power that are in agreement with observations on a variety of spatial scales.
Such empirical
estimates of circulation power are available in the literature.
We present a theoretical
estimate of circulation power that fits the observations.
As we clarify both in the paper and in the post, current theories do not provide a quantitative
estimate of circulation power.
They are all perfectly observable and measurable and combine elegantly to give
an estimate of circulation power.
Not exact matches
The facts are startling: fully 40 %
of all the pennies ever issued in the U.K. are now unaccounted for, while the U.S. Mint
estimates that 200 billion
of the half - trillion coins it has manufactured over the past generation have fallen out
of circulation.
There is an
estimated $ 100 million in Canadian Tire money redeemed each year, with more than $ 1 billion
of Canadian Tire money in
circulation since its inception.
Slush money due to the tune
of INR 14.20 trillion (US $ 210.00 billion) was in
circulation in India as per GoI
estimates as on 11/8/2016.
It was also
estimated that at least 15 %
of all Ethereum in
circulation was invested in the DAO.
This
circulation equates to a conservative readership
estimate of 60,000 per week and includes direct delivery to 3,000 local RMB addresses via Australia Post.
Circulation: 60,000 copies
of Gay Parent circulate each year, 10,400 copies
of each printed issue is published six times per year with an
estimated 20,500 readers per issue.
The magazine was always a niche publication with an
estimated 2008
circulation of 36,000.
The project, called
Estimating the
Circulation and Climate
of the Ocean (ECCO), uses observational data — including ocean surface topography, surface wind stress, temperature, salinity profiles and velocity data — collected between June 2005 and December 2007.
They used a model
of ocean
circulation to
estimate where the young turtles would be carried from natal beaches in the Atlantic, Mediterranean and Indian oceans.
I'd love to know what they did take into account in attempting to model that period — must include astronomical location, sun's behavior, best
estimates about a lot
of different conditions — where the continents were, what the ocean
circulation was doing, whether there had been a recent geological period that laid down a lot
of methane hydrates available to be tipped by Pliocene warming into bubbling out rapidly.
To quantify the impact
of human - induced climate change on Harvey and to
estimate whether it indeed exacerbated the rainfall thus requires taking into account the atmospheric
circulation as well as the overall warming.
Scientists now
estimate that the
circulation of seawater through the oceanic crust accounts for 34 %
of the heat input into the global oceans, about 25 %
of the globe's total heat input.
To
estimate the amount
of precipitation, Ghosh's team measured a common paleoclimate proxy for temperature, humidity, and atmospheric
circulation.
There is considerable confidence that Atmosphere - Ocean General
Circulation Models (AOGCMs) provide credible quantitative
estimates of future climate change, particularly at continental and larger scales.
The visualization covers the period June 2005 to December 2007 and is based on a synthesis
of a numerical model with observational data, created by a NASA project called
Estimating the
Circulation and Climate
of the Ocean, or ECCO for short.
But don't let your digitized checking account fool you: there are an
estimated 40 billion United States notes in
circulation, with a total value
of $ 1.5 trillion.
Since the official premiere
of GEM's film at the Assembly Hall
of The Riverside Church in Harlem on May 19, 2011 featuring historian Diane Ravitch as our honored guest, our free offer
of the DVD and permission to copy and distribute copies
of the film have produced an
estimated 15,000 copies in
circulation.
It is being
estimated that over 145 million units will be shipped, which adds to the hundreds
of millions currently in
circulation.
Our
estimate is based primarily on our review
of a series
of calculations with three - dimensional models
of the global atmospheric
circulation, which is summarized in Chapter 4.
This range includes all five meridional overturning
circulation values
estimated from the snapshots analyzed by Bryden et al.; thus, the apparent long - term decrease inferred by these authors may merely be a result
of large intra-annual variability...
The problem here is that
estimates of changes in sea surface temperature and the depth
of the warm mixed layer might be very unreliable, since the general behavior
of the Atlantic
circulation is only now being directly observed — and the most recent findings are that flow rates vary over a whole order
of magnitude:
The figure gives two model
estimates for the impact
of this
circulation (Stocker, 2002).
The response
of the internal variability
of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning
Circulation (MOC) to enhanced atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations has been
estimated from an ensemble
of climate change scenario runs.
(Paper abstract) Climate models may underestimate heat stored in ground General
circulation models (GCMs), the primary tool for
estimating the magnitude
of future climate change, rely on realistic inputs to generate accurate predictions.
The much slower thermohaline
circulation mixes cold abyssal water on a time scale
of centuries — the global ocean turnover time
estimated from bottom current velocities is
estimated to be on the order
of half a millennium
What is new is that we have used proxy reconstructions
of large - scale surface temperature (Mann et al, 2009) previously published by one
of us (study co-author and RealClimate co-founder Mike Mann) that extend back to 900 AD (see «What we can learn from studying the last millennium (or so)») to
estimate the
circulation (AMOC) intensity over the entire last 1100 years (Fig. 3).
In fact, Cane et al (1997) argue that the tendency toward increased SST gradient is precisely what is seen if one uses a robust trend analysis to decrease sensitivity
of the trend analysis to outliers such as the very large 1982/1983 El Nino event (this event, and the equally large 1997/1998 El Nino event, greatly influence the
estimate of a weakening trend
of the Walker
circulation in Vecchi et al).
Forcing however is dependent upon the climate model, and in the case
of aerosols distribution due to atmospheric
circulation is
estimated independently
of the main model itself.
People convinced as to the accuracy
of AO - GCM (Atmosphere Ocean General
Circulation Model) simulations may believe that these provide acceptable
estimates of S, but even the IPCC does not deny the importance
of observational evidence.
Physical properties
of the water and satellite
estimates of primary productivity were used separately to describe 25 different water masses in Australia's oceans, identified by different
circulation regimes and oceanographic features.
The three successive IPCC reports (1991 [2], 1996, and 2001 [3]-RRB- concentrated therefore, in addition to
estimates of equilibrium sensitivity, on
estimates of climate change over the 21st century, based on several scenarios
of CO2 increase over this time interval, and using up to 18 general
circulation models (GCMs) in the fourth IPCC Assessment Report (AR4)[4].
This slower warming
of the tropical Pacific induces changes in the atmospheric
circulation that can be seen in the reanalyses, but two different reanalysis products that incorporate different amounts
of satellite data in different ways produce conflicting
estimates of the change in
circulation.
The climate models have gotten more complex, for sure, with thousands
of estimated parameters for warming potential, vorticity,
circulation patterns, absorption
of heat, pressure, energy, and momentum by various layers or atmosphere, land, ocean, and sea - ice.
Detection / attribution assessments, using General
Circulation Models (GCMs) or Energy Balance Models (EBMs) with geographical distributions
of surface temperature trends, suggest that the solar influence on climate is greater than would be anticipated from radiative forcing
estimates.
Published
estimates of anthropogenic CO2 now stored in the upper ocean layers and affecting pH has been based on «the assumption that ocean
circulation and the biological pump have operated in a steady state since preindustrial times» (Sabine 2010).
Despite such different scales, physical determinants
of condensation intensity and drastically varying P values theoretical
estimates (3) and (5) successfully describe the Hadley cell as well as much more compact and transient
circulation phenomena (see (Makarieva, Gorshkov, 2011) and (Makarieva et al., 2011) for details).
However, it is noteworthy that the current paradigm with its heat - driven
circulation is exactly in the same position — but additionally lacking working theoretical
estimates of total
circulation power that we already have.
We note that this is the first and only theoretical
estimate of the power
of global
circulation currently available.
What purely physical principle did Walker and Schneider appeal to in
estimating the poleward energy flux
of the Hadley
circulation at 4.8 PW in Figure 5
of http://www.clidyn.ethz.ch/papers/annrev06.pdf (the paper Anastassia referenced above)?
Our
estimates suggest that the global mean power at which this potential energy is released by condensation is around one per cent
of the global solar power — this is similar to the known stationary dissipative power
of general atmospheric
circulation.
Our paper (discussed in this post) shows that we can
estimate the power
of global atmospheric
circulation.
Accordingly, in our
estimate of the global
circulation power we use global mean precipitation P which characterizes both regions where the air is ascending and precipitation is high and regions where the air descends and precipitation is low.
First, we note that the mean global power
of atmospheric
circulation estimated from (5) is about 4 W m − 2, which is in close agreement with the best observational
estimates.
To
estimate the amount
of precipitation, Ghosh's team measured a common paleoclimate proxy for temperature, humidity, and atmospheric
circulation.
Processes contributing to interannual steric sea level variability are studied over the period 1993 — 2004 using an observationally - constrained ocean state
estimate produced by the ECCO («
Estimating the
Circulation and Climate
of the Ocean») consortium.