Sean F. Reardon and Stephen W. Raudenbush, «Assumptions of value - added models for
estimating school effects,» Education Finance and Policy 4 (4)(2009): 492 - 519.
Not exact matches
The
effect of the Triborough Amendment is significant: Edmund J. McMahon, senior fellow at the Empire Center for New York State Policy, a conservative research group, has
estimated that longevity - based pay increases for teachers, guaranteed by the amendment even after contracts expire, add $ 300 million to
school budgets annually.
In the case of charter
schools, however, an
estimate of their
effect on students who enroll is exactly what we want, as the basic idea behind charter
school reform is that only students who want to should attend them.
Only 6 percent attend a
school that is
estimated to have a negative
effect on math, and these
estimated effects are all small.
We use common statistical procedures to
estimate the
effect on math and reading test scores of each additional year of actual attendance at a charter
school.
Another 56 percent attend a
school that is
estimated to have a positive
effect that is large: between 0.1 and 0.3 of a standard score.
We also
estimated a separate
effect on achievement for each of the 32 charter
schools with students in grades 3 through 8.
To identify more precisely the independent
effects of the multiple factors affecting teachers» choices, we use regression analysis to
estimate the separate
effects of salary differences and
school characteristics on the probability that a teacher will leave a
school district in a given year, holding constant a variety of other factors, including class size and the type of community (urban, suburban, or rural) in which the district is located.
The
estimated effect of charter
school attendance for each of our measures is very small in magnitude; none is statistically significant.
Fortunately, statistical techniques are available that produce reliable
estimates of the average
effect of using a voucher compared to not being offered one and the average
effect of attending private
school in year 3 of the study with or without a voucher compared to not attending private
school.
All three
effect estimates — treatment vs. control,
effect of voucher use, and impact of private
schooling — are provided in the longer version of this article (see «Summary of the OSP Evaluation» at www.educationnext.org), so that individual readers can view those outcomes that are most relevant to their considerations.
In high - poverty
schools, we
estimate that the overall
effect of all teacher turnover on student achievement is 0.08 of a standard deviation in math and 0.05 of a standard deviation in reading.
In comparison, in low - poverty
schools, the
estimated effects of turnover are close to zero.
Charter
school attendance also appears to have a modest positive
effect on reading scores, though this
estimate falls short of statistical significance due to the relatively small number of students in our lottery sample.
Although not all students offered a voucher will use it to enroll in a private
school, the data from an RCT can also be used to generate a separate
estimate of the
effect of voucher use (see sidebar, page 50).
On one hand, the higher rates of preschool participation among children today suggest that any positive long - term
effects of extending universal public
schooling to four - year - olds may be even smaller than those
estimated here for kindergarten.
What could account for the differences in the
estimated effects of SAT performance and the high -
school dropout rates?
The size of this
estimated effect is similar to the
effect of a larger black population, about 2 percent greater enrollment in charter
schools accompanying a one - standard - deviation increase in the fraction of college - educated adults in the state.
One can therefore obtain a rough
estimate of the
effect of actually attending the first - choice
school (as a result of winning the lottery) by doubling the results presented below.
Based on a back - of - the - envelope calculation of the relationship between enrollment and criminal activity in my sample, I
estimate that the
effects of winning a
school lottery on enrollment could potentially explain about 45 percent of the impact on criminal activity in the high
school sample, but only about 10 percent in the middle
school sample.
Semiparametric lower bound
estimates of the variance in teacher quality based entirely on within -
school heterogeneity indicate that teachers have powerful
effects on reading and mathematics achievement, though little of the variation in teacher quality is explained by observable characteristics such as education or experience.
Estimates of teacher
effects on achievement gains are similar in magnitude to those of previous econometric studies, but the authors found larger
effects on mathematics achievement than on reading achievement, and in low socioeconomic status (SES)
schools than in high SES
schools.
Black males in such
schools fare the worst, penalized seven times as harshly as my
estimate of the average
effect of acting white on all black students!
For this reason, we
estimate charter
school effects by comparing students who are more likely to attend a charter
school because they live closer to one to those less likely to attend a charter
school because it is less convenient.
The central problem with
estimating peer
effects in
schools is that families, in a number of ways, can select their children's peers.
We found that although Florida's conversion charters have significantly greater
effects on high
school graduation than do de novo charters, the impact of non-conversion charters is still sizable (nearly equal to the
estimate in Chicago).
In Florida, grade configuration is not a primary driver of the
estimated positive
effects of charter high
schools on attainment.
Meanwhile,
estimates of the
effect of attending a charter high
school on college enrollment are even larger using the restricted sample than with the original sample that includes
schools offering both 8th and 9th grade.
In this study we use data from Chicago and Florida to
estimate the
effects of attending a charter high
school on the likelihood that a student will complete high
school and attend college.
However, OPPAGA's 2010 report and 2012 revenue
estimating conference relied on U.S. Census data and found that their previous
estimate of switchers had been too low, since 94.6 % of scholarship - eligible low - income students were attending public
schools in the year before the STC program took
effect.
By controlling for a wide variety of other characteristics, including the students» own prior performance, our analysis is able to
estimate the likely
effect of desegregation within the
school.
It is first worth noting that the inclusion of the teacher effectiveness measures does little to change the
estimated effects of the teacher,
school, and district characteristics discussed above.
And it has an even smaller
effect on the results for college enrollment, reducing the
estimated effect of charter
school attendance by only about 10 percent in both locations.
The fact that traditional public
schools experienced net gains in performance, despite a slight decrease in average student quality, suggests that our
estimates of the
effects of charter -
school competition may understate the true
effect of charters on traditional public
schools.
To
estimate the
effects of charter
schools on students in traditional public
schools, we use information on each
school's distance from the nearest charter
school to develop indicators of whether or not the traditional
school faces competition from charter
schools.
Taking into account the higher rates of student turnover in charter
schools reduces the magnitude of the
estimated negative
effect of charter
schools by 29 percent in reading and by 30 percent in math.
In short, the overrepresentation of exiters matters, but it accounts for only a small fraction of the
estimated negative
effect of charter
schools.
I therefore
estimate the
effect of receiving a fail rating by comparing the May test results for
schools inspected very early in the same academic year, the treatment group, with a comparison group of
schools inspected after the test is taken in early May but before the results are released in July.
More importantly, they say, the
effects persisted when children were aged 11, but add `... the
estimated effects of
school starting age on other mental health constructs, which have weaker links to subsequent student achievement, are smaller and less persistent.»
Two of these studies succeeded in randomly allocating eligible and willing
schools to the Comer program and to control conditions and in producing unbiased
estimates of the program's
effect.
Applying their
estimates of the causal
effect of added spending to the actual increases in spending suggests that the average poor - nonpoor gap in
school attainment should have been more than closed — which is not even close to what we observe.
If we use standard value - added methods to
estimate the
effects of attending a charter
school for these students, the results do not match well with those of our lottery - based analysis.
The
effect of the voucher offer is referred to as an intent - to - treat (ITT)
estimate, as offering a voucher to a family is an attempt by SCSF to induce the family to make use of a private
school.
The results are based on students who enter charter
schools in kindergarten through grade 5, the grades of entry for which we can confidently
estimate effects.
To measure the
effect on children's test scores of switching to a private
school, we
estimate a statistical model that takes into account whether a child attended a public or a private
school, as well as baseline reading and math test scores.
We can not use the lottery - based method with any confidence to
estimate the
effect of attending a charter
school on students who enter in atypical grades, like grades 6 through 12.
Our analysis confirms that
estimates of the
effects of attending a charter
school that rely on this peculiar group of students differ dramatically from
estimates that are representative of students who apply to charter
schools.
• Joshua M. Cowen, «
School Choice as a Latent Variable:
Estimating «Complier Average Causal
Effect» of Vouchers in Charlotte,» Policy Studies Journal, May 2008.
We therefore report the
estimated effects of a one standard deviation increase in the amount of competition faced by a given public
school by each measure.
While it is difficult to disentangle the reasons for this strengthening over time of the program's
estimated effects, these findings nonetheless suggest that our first - year results may understate the positive
effect of the FTC program on public
school performance