Given the fact that nearly 90 % of
ethnic minorities vote Labour and the highest concentration of them live in London it gives that particular interest a huge sway in selections.
68 % of
ethnic minorities voted Labour at the last election compared with 31 % of white voters.
Not exact matches
This analysis confirms what we might have anticipated from the evidence of the polls — local authorities appear to contain more Leave voters if there was a large
vote for UKIP there in the 2014 European elections, if there was a small
vote for parties of the «left» (
Labour, Liberal Democrats, Scottish and Welsh Nationalists and Greens) on the same occasion, and in places with relatively low proportions of graduates, young people, and people from an
ethnic minority background.
However, there was absolutely no mention of an entire street of
Labour -
voting ethnic minority voters not being able to speak English either in her Guardian report or elsewere.
That is why even today if someone is from an
ethnic minority, even if they are highly educated or rich, they are much more likely to
vote Labour than
vote Conservative.
In fact, studies (e.g., Manacorda et al 2012) show that the negative impact of wage depression from recent EU migration has been disproportionately shouldered by immigrant communities already in Britain, a major reason why
Labour MP Khalid Mahmood is working to persuade British
ethnic minority communities to
vote to leave the EU.
At the last General Election, more than two thirds of voters from Britain's black and
ethnic minority (BME) communities supported Labour; only 16 % voted for us (source: Ethnic Minority British Election Study (PDF)
ethnic minority (BME) communities supported Labour; only 16 % voted for us (source: Ethnic Minority British Election Study (PD
minority (BME) communities supported
Labour; only 16 %
voted for us (source:
Ethnic Minority British Election Study (PDF)
Ethnic Minority British Election Study (PD
Minority British Election Study (PDF)-RRB-.
If
ethnic minorities had
voted for Cameron at the same rate as the white British population in 2010, the Tories would have won 500,000 more
votes, 24 more seats from
Labour, and a parliamentary majority.
Nearly four times as many people from
ethnic minority communities
voted Labour than
voted Tory — and those different communities are a growing part of our population.
There has been much interest in the «Asian
vote» since the 2010 general election - when
Labour secured 68 % of
ethnic minority votes.
The research, conducted by internet polling company Survation, suggested that the longstanding link between
ethnic minorities and the
Labour party was fraying, and that the Conservatives might at last be breaking through with
minority voters, having achieved a 33 % share of the 2015
ethnic minority vote overall or «one million» new voters for the party, and with a lead over
Labour among Hindu voters.
British Future are therefore right to conclude that the
ethnic minority vote is increasingly «up for grabs», even if
Labour still has a large starting advantage.
Comparison of 2010
ethnic minority vote choices on the (also online) YouGov web panel with the more comprehensive Ethnic Minority British Election Study (EMBES) conducted in that same year shows that Tory support in the online sample is 10 points higher, and Labour support 13 - 18 points lower, than among the equivalent groups in the
ethnic minority vote choices on the (also online) YouGov web panel with the more comprehensive Ethnic Minority British Election Study (EMBES) conducted in that same year shows that Tory support in the online sample is 10 points higher, and Labour support 13 - 18 points lower, than among the equivalent groups in th
minority vote choices on the (also online) YouGov web panel with the more comprehensive
Ethnic Minority British Election Study (EMBES) conducted in that same year shows that Tory support in the online sample is 10 points higher, and Labour support 13 - 18 points lower, than among the equivalent groups in the
Ethnic Minority British Election Study (EMBES) conducted in that same year shows that Tory support in the online sample is 10 points higher, and Labour support 13 - 18 points lower, than among the equivalent groups in th
Minority British Election Study (EMBES) conducted in that same year shows that Tory support in the online sample is 10 points higher, and
Labour support 13 - 18 points lower, than among the equivalent groups in the EMBES.
Backed up by polling showing
Labour streaking ahead in London, it's easy to see the basis of this trend, even if certain seat - specific results look odd - lots of
ethnic minority voters, lots of young voters and students, lots of young professionals, and lots of angry Remainers make for lots of
Labour votes.
Since then the growing
ethnic minority population and boundary changes in 2010 which removed the Conservative
voting area of Pinner have moved it further into the
Labour column, to the point where it can be held even in what was a very bad election for the party.