Exchange traded funds, such as the iShares Currency Hedged MSCI EMU ETF (HEZU) and the iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Germany ETF (HEWG), can provide access to
the eurozone market and Germany, respectively, while potentially mitigating exposure to fluctuations between the value of the euro and the U.S. dollar.
This stems from the fact that they do not have a clear grasp on how
the Eurozone market even works.
See what they're saying about investing in this mature bull market, new
eurozone market trends, and why there's no room for complacency.
Two more big deals are coming in major
Eurozone markets.
Not exact matches
Despite the recent softness in data — the Citi economic surprise index for the
eurozone is now at its lowest since June 2012 —
markets remain stubbornly bullish on the euro with overall bets still near record highs as longer - term expectations remain optimistic.
He also urged
eurozone governments to push on with economic reforms, particularly to their labor
markets.
«60 % of European capital
market business is conducted through the UK, banks in the UK are the largest borrowers and lenders of euros outside of the
eurozone and when we talk about critical mass, when you look at the London Stock Exchange Clearing House, they've estimated that critical mass, that size of business, saves some # 17 billion a year.»
The
Eurozone's economy slipped in the third quarter as the slowdown in China and other emerging
markets more than offset the benefit to consumers from low oil prices.
Wall Street stock futures are lower again this morning, with
markets finally taking on board the risks of a Greek default and / or exit from the
Eurozone.
We would therefore mostly expect a «freeze» in terms of integration even though some areas may well see further headway (e.g. for existing initiatives in various areas, including banking union, capital
markets union or energy union or some movement towards a
Eurozone chamber in the European Parliament).»
It is the bond
market that will likely push Spain into becoming the fifth
eurozone state to accept a bailout — after Ireland, Greece, Portugal and Cyprus.
The
eurozone and Japan are best - placed for the continuing bull run, according to Citi, since both regions have both strong earnings potential and central banks ready and willing to flush the
markets with more quantitative easing.
Some of that is for good reason — the
eurozone's recovery is still extremely modest, China's growth is slowing (along with most other emerging
markets) and investors are uncertain over the ability of the halfway - recovered US and UK economies to sustain higher central bank interest rates.
And the
market still (largely) expects that the ECB will eventually undertake a larger QE program than what it is currently executing as the
eurozone's economy continues to flag.
It adds to the recent spate of weaker data coming out of the
eurozone and really underlines the fact that the ECB can afford to be a little bit patient in terms of ramping up its hawkish rhetoric when it comes to its QE policy, said Bipan Rai, director of foreign exchange strategy at CIBC Capital
Markets in Toronto.
Without a clear voice from Berlin, the EU will simply find it harder to articulate policies to deal with the suppression of civil rights in central Europe, the splintering of the single
market through Brexit and — heaven help us — a possible renewal of the
Eurozone crisis amid as global interest rates turn higher.
But unlike the 2011 rout, sparked by the
eurozone debt crisis, the sudden collapse of global equities
markets that began last week is all about China — which makes it all the more unnerving since few have a good grasp on how the world's most important emerging economy actually works.
The assumption is that a Samaras win would be better for the
markets, and that a Tsipras victory would put Greece into conflict with the rest of the
Eurozone, thus creating the possibility of a Greek exit.
Coupled with other bumps on the road (think the
eurozone crisis and slow global growth) the overall effect, he added, «has been economic growth around 2 percent, and only a very gradual improvement in labor
markets.»
Fears of seeming «political» during a presidential election year, sluggish growth in the
Eurozone and a slowdown of the Chinese economic juggernaut will also keep Janet Yellen and the rest of the Federal Open
Markets Committee from pulling the trigger more often; their vacillation will be one of the year's longest - running (and least loved) dramas.
«The current bull
market is not going to end simply because «stocks have gone up too much»... The buyside is fairly cautious, seeing downside stemming from: (i) deflationary pressures of the 40 % year - over-year oil decline, deceleration in China,
Eurozone weakness, and the fall in 5 - year inflation breakevens; and (ii) Fed monetary tightening... Capital stock is again showing signs of pent - up demand, and as a consequence, companies and households will have to invest.
Economic growth for the
Eurozone is also projected to be above trend, 2.4 % this year and 2.0 % in 2019, supported by continued monetary stimulus, improving labor
markets, and healthy external demand.
All
markets will continue to focus on the volatility in the equity and bond
markets, geopolitical events, developments with the Trump Administration, corporate earnings, oil prices, and will turn to this afternoon's FOMC Meeting Statement followed by reports tomorrow on UK PMI,
Eurozone PPI, CPI, US Challenger Job Cuts, Productivity, Unit Labor Costs, Jobless Claims, Trade Balance, Markit Services PMI, ISM Services, Durable Goods and Factory Orders for near term direction.
«Teetering on the abyss with record high unemployment putting the lie to his claims about the strength of the
eurozone, Draghi chooses to play mind games with financial
markets,» Duy writes.
For example, the ongoing
eurozone downturn has hurt Turkey and emerging -
market economies in Central and Eastern Europe, owing to trade links.
Malkiel, for his part, acknowledged the many uncertainties (such as
eurozone woes and the U.S. «fiscal cliff») that spook investors, but said uncertainty is always present in
markets.
Our special reports deal with critical current issues, such as the
eurozone crisis, the debt supercycle and the transformation of energy
markets through new technology.
European stock
markets surged almost 2 % while Wall Street jumped more than 1 % after a breakthrough came early on Monday when Donald Tusk, president of the European council, announced that the 19
eurozone leaders had unanimously reached agreement to keep Greece in the single currency, adding that Athens had signed up to «serious reforms».
To learn more about the
eurozone's economic outlook, read the recent BlackRock
Market Perspectives and a white paper I've written with my colleague, Chief Investment Strategist Russ Koesterich.
World growth will remain low on average but negative in the UK and Europe; price inflation will remain sufficiently subdued for a while longer so as to impose no constraint on monetary expansion; central banks will sustain a regime of negative real interest rates and rapid monetary expansion; the risk of a
eurozone collapse is off the table for now; finally, stock
markets should continue to perform better than expected, even though the four - year old cyclical bull
market is long by historical standards.
Should European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi fail to come up with an effective tactic to quell
market fears over the
eurozone crisis, it could make the situation worse than ever.
Those negative forces include a drop in demand for
eurozone exports from emerging countries like China, unstable financial
markets, and a decline in confidence among consumers and business managers.
If successful, quantitative easing would push down
market interest rates in the
eurozone and make it easier for businesses and consumers to borrow money, helping to stimulate the economy and restore inflation.
The European Union (EU) parliament has issued the
Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) in order to harmonise the regulatory framework of the financial
market within the
Eurozone.
The French
market is slightly higher on Wednesday with investors indulging in some selective buying, tracking fairly steady
markets in the
eurozone.
Although the largesse is restricted to blue - chip
eurozone companies such as food producer Danone or telecoms giant Telefónica, ECB - injected liquidity has spilled into the rest of the
market, paring average interest rates on investment - grade corporate debt by some 30 basis points to an even 1 %, Deloitte estimates.
Our newly launched BlackRock Inflation GPS signals greater potential for U.S. and
eurozone monetary policy divergence than
markets expect.
Growth outlook in the
eurozone remains broadly balanced with chances of better than expected economic growth, while downside risks are largely associated with global factors, including the forex (foreign exchange)
markets.
Emerging
market woes will ricochet into the
eurozone.
In our view, any decision on monetary policy normalization will have to take into account some of what is happening outside of America's borders, including the hazy economic outlook for China, the slowdown in other large emerging
markets and the uncertainties that continue to plague the
eurozone.
There are new events every day that require us to challenge our thinking and analyze implications for investment
markets, whether it's the future of the
eurozone or the implications of a major merger.
The SPDR EURO STOXX Small Cap ETF tracks an index of stocks from smaller European firms in
eurozone countries, selected and weighted by
market cap.
«Austria's property
market — its structure and recent performance — is more closely aligned with its German - speaking neighbours than it is with its more volatile southern
Eurozone partners.
European bond
markets initially welcomed the deal made at the July summit, although the narrowing of spreads for peripheral bonds over German Bunds was relatively muted, perhaps signaling a measure of skepticism among investors about the ability of the
eurozone to survive in the absence of a formal mechanism that ensures the sharing of liabilities among member states.
Another way to picture this is to presume that fears over
Eurozone debt can be measured on a scale of 0 - 100 %, with 100 % meaning that the
market is as fearful of a default as it can be and 0 % being equivalent to the
market not having any fears of a default.
Finance minister Luis de Guindos ruled out further fiscal cuts needed to qualify for a
eurozone rescue, leaving it unclear whether the European Central Bank can activate Europe's grand plan to stabilise
markets.
This is obviously a large simplification, but we are merely trying to make the point that changes in fears over the PIIGS and the subsequent «
Eurozone debt crisis premium» is more like changing the intercept of the gold bull
market trend than the gradient.
In conclusion our main point is that we think it is important that one understands how the «
Eurozone debt crisis premium» impacts the gold
market and the ramifications that price movements caused by the changes in this premium have on how one analyses and trades gold.
After strengthening during the summer's
market volatility, the single currency fell against the US dollar in October, providing a useful tailwind for
eurozone exporters.
At the time of writing, the EUR was flat at $ 1.213, with
market risk sentiment, today's stats out of the
Eurozone and a heavy set of stats out of the U.S later today key drivers.