Sentences with phrase «even better fit to the data»

In fact my eyeball would say that a somewhat steeper straight line would be an even better fit to the data.

Not exact matches

However, even in the ocean the fit to the data is not that good in many regions — particular the southern oceans and Antarctica, but also in the Northern mid-latitudes.

Craig, I you even read my posts, you will know that I have said that a linear trend is not the best fit to the data.

Truncating down to 1950 has yet another benefit: it shows that if we ignore the temperature data beyond 1970 (since we're using 1950 - 1970 temperature data to avoid end effects) and find the best fit using only HadCRUT3 up to 1970, we predict the next four decades of temperature remarkably well, even predicting the relatively flat temperature for 2000 - 2010, which the model shows is entirely attributable to SOL and has nothing to do with a cessation of long - term global warming.

The fit is even better for the latest years (which are not as significant due to the modified and asymmetric filtering) but for most of the full period the difference between the filtered data and filtered model oscillates more with a period of about 32 years and full amplitude of about 8 mK.

It would certainly make an interesting study to determine the fractal dimension of your saw and then «zoom out» to the next level and re-apply your method — it seems to me that this may even provide a better fit to the available data (inc long term proxies) than the single level you have already calculated — certainly the change in the projections would be most interesting!

Can't find a recent item on arctic sea ice but hoped it might be worth pointing out Peng et al Sensitivity Analysis of Arctic Sea Ice Extent Trends and Statistical Projections Using Satellite Data http://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/10/2/230/htm «The most persistently probable curve - fit model from all the methods examined appears to be Gompertz, even if it is not the best of the subset for all analyzed periods.

I'm merely pointing out that the physical model of greenhouse gas induced warming over the last 165 years is an excellent fit to the data, one that is even better when one adds an purely empirical «natural» variation on top of it.

This suggests that, when the adjustments implied by historical changes in measurement techniques and data sources are properly applied, the past SST record will end up cooler on the whole relative to current temperatures, and will also provide an even better fit to climate models.