You can't predict weather, or
even short term warming, but those aren't the only things to measure, and those things that are bigger than weather, longer term than decadal warming, they are profoundly important to the costs and risks we and our descendants will live with.
Not exact matches
in the end nasri, fabregas
even robin would still be playing at their best or close to, had they stayed with us but we know what happened however where are they trading their skills now?nasri on loan with sevilla, fabregas is
warming the bench on the wrong side of the city, robin is in the turkish league:)
short terms they made the right move but long
terms they might have one or two regrets i think koss knows better!!
Even a
short -
term cold air outbreak in December could cause 2015 to drop out of the top 5
warmest.»
Foster and Rahmstorf (2011) showed that when we filter out the
short -
term effects of the sun, volcanoes, and El Niño cycles, the underlying man - made global
warming trend becomes
even more clear (Figure 3).
If it hadn't been for that relatively
short -
term trend, no one would
even be talking about global
warming today, because there is nothing alarming about the very modest
warming we've experienced since.
Also keep in mind (as Gavin mentions) that there is a lot of
short -
term «noise» that will offset
warming, or
even cause cooling on
short timescales (such as years to a decade or longer).
Strong
short -
term variability would mean that
even in a
warming trend there would be more cool years than for the same trend with less variability, and vice-versa for cooling trends.
It seems to me that
even from a consensus viewpoint that the calculated contribution of global
warming should still be very small, and that if there are much bigger changes in the
short term they are far more likely to be weather than climate.
Instead, the empirical evidence is completely clear that both
short term and long
term climate variability has in the recent geological past occurred at rates, and to magnitudes of
warming and cooling, that far exceed
even all the
warming of perhaps 1 deg.
First, Happer mentions statistical significance, but global surface temperature trends are rarely if ever statistically significant (at a 95 % confidence level) over periods as
short as a decade,
even in the presence of an underlying long -
term warming trend, because of the natural variability and noise in the climate system.
Or
even our illustrious host, who testifies before Congress that because there has been a
short -
term flattening out of a longer
term trend of rising increase in temps, therefore there is a «hiatus» in «global
warming?»
Climate engineering can create
short term surface cool - downs at the cost of an
even worse overall planetary
warming.
Foster and Rahmstorf (2011) showed that when we filter out the
short -
term effects of the sun, volcanoes, and El Niño cycles, the underlying man - made global
warming trend becomes
even more clear (Figure 3).
As we discussed in Going Down the Up Escalator, Part 1, it's a very common mistake -
even amongst some climate scientists - to confuse
short -
term climate noise with long -
term global
warming signal.
Firstly,
even with man - made global
warming taken into account, because of the
short -
term noise due to the internal variability in the climate system, climate models predict that there will be decades where natural cycles dampen the man - made
warming trend.
Short -
term effects and external factors make it possible to have «cooler» periods in regions
even as the general trend of
warming continues.
Geoengineering has created
short term toxic cool - downs at the cost of an
even worse overall long
term planetary
warming.
Amazingly, over the
shorter term, the global
warming predictions for the U.S. breadbasket have been
even worse, in fact, astoundingly atrocious - instead of
warming, growing areas have cooled considerably.
Nevertheless, both years were still among the
warmest years on record and would have been
even hotter without this
short -
term cooling effect.
We have seen
short -
term pauses and
even short -
term reversals in global temperature rise in the past century, against the backdrop of an unambiguous long
term warming trend.
The other side of the coin is that for long
term warming, the cumulative emissions of CO2 are dominant,
even if in the
short term changes in its emission are relatively ineffectual,
even more so because they are often combined with emissions of cooling aerosols.
When removing these
short -
term effects, the
warming trend has barely
even slowed since 1998 (0.163 °C per decade from 1979 through 2010, vs. 0.155 °C per decade from 1998 through 2010, and 0.187 °C per decade for 2000 through 2010).
The climate science fact that huge modern CO2 emissions did not generate the expected runaway
warming over the long -
term, nor
even over the
shorter -
term, now has the establishment science journals questioning the obvious - how was the IPCC so wrong?
Short - term, avoiding a three - meter rise in sea level would certainly be a worthy goal to pursue IN ADDITION to the primary goal of eventually halting and reversing global warming — which nobody seems to believe will happen in the short - term even if we work very seriously on achieving that goal immedia
Short -
term, avoiding a three - meter rise in sea level would certainly be a worthy goal to pursue IN ADDITION to the primary goal of eventually halting and reversing global
warming — which nobody seems to believe will happen in the
short - term even if we work very seriously on achieving that goal immedia
short -
term even if we work very seriously on achieving that goal immediately.
Jan Perliwtz wrote I do not have any problems at all with efforts to explain
short -
term variability,
even if the deviations from the medium
warming trend are not statistically significant.
I do not have any problems at all with efforts to explain
short -
term variability,
even if the deviations from the medium
warming trend are not statistically significant.
It is quite clear from the paper that I was not questioning the link between anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and
warming, or
even suggesting that recent temperatures are unusual in the context of
short -
term natural variability.»
«When the data are adjusted to remove the estimated impact of known factors on
short -
term temperature variations (El Nino / southern oscillation, volcanic aerosols and solar variability), the global
warming signal becomes
even more evident as noise is reduced.»
In what his aides called one of the most significant policy addresses of his second and final
term, the mayor argued that directly taxing emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases that contribute to climate change will slow global
warming, promote economic growth and stimulate technological innovation —
even if it results in higher gasoline prices in the
short term.
They show that long -
term acclimatization or adaptation to
warm and acidified conditions could change or
even reverse the negative calcification responses observed in
short -
term studies, and thus alter feedbacks to the global carbon cycle.
Our planet is accelerating toward a state of total meltdown, though highly destructive (and toxic) covert geoengineering programs can create
short term cool - doowns, this manipulation comes at the cost of an
even worse overall
warming.
The highly toxic
short term engineered cool - downs come at the cost of an
even worse overall planetary
warming, this includes the Earth's oceans.
Contrary to the widespread myth, global
warming has not stopped, and
even if the rate slowed a bit in the very
short term, the temps are still going up — hardly a flat plateau.
Also, in my written testimony, and in the plot that Senator Whitehouse showed, the surface temperature shows frequent periods of
short cooling,
even while it is undergoing a long -
term warming trend.