Sentences with phrase «even simple models»

«It's encouraging when even a simple model can reproduce observations that have baffled people for a long time,» she says.
The six box climate models seem right on and even simpler models, distinguish between solar foercing and greenhouse gases.
If you ACTUALLY BELIEVE that it is «virtually certain» that human activities, primarily the increase in CO2 concentrations, is altering the climate in a measurable way, then there's no other conclusion possible: you are a scientifically illiterate moron, with absolutely no concept of how even the simplest model of a planetary atmosphere works.

Not exact matches

While franchisors often work to simplify business operations, even the simplest business model requires some intelligence to run.
While «operating earnings» are not even defined under Generally Accepted Accounting Principles, and «forward operating earnings» only surfaced as a creature of Wall Street in the early 1980's, it's simple enough to impute historical values of forward operating earnings because they are almost completely explained by observable earnings and employment data — see Long - term Evidence on the Fed Model and Forward Operating Earnings.
Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...
There are even all - in - one models, which can cost up to $ 18 each, that combine diaper and cover, making changes as simple as with disposables.
A lot of newer models come with a self - cleaning feature now which makes the cleaning process even faster and simpler but for those models which still do not have this feature, one needs to be really careful.
Unlike the Solar System where most of the gravitational pull comes from the Sun and is simple to model, it is much harder to describe the gravitational field near the centre of the Galaxy, where millions of stars, vast clouds of dust, and even dark matter swirl about.
The UI study showed that adding thermometer data, which captures clinically relevant symptoms (temperature) likely even before a person goes to the doctor, to simple forecasting models, improved predictions of flu activity.
With even better data, the researchers said, we might find out if the relatively simple Lambda - CDM model needs to be modified.
I kept the face simple, as the model has gorgeous and even skin, but not too much contouring or highlighting going on.
It's a simple fit - and - flare shape with a defined gold waist, although this band sits above the natural waist even on the model.
Even though it's simple, the colour perfectly complimented the model's skin.
Even the simple and regular Russian girls look gorgeous like models.
Unlike the Naruto: Ultimate Ninja Storm series which is more and more a mess of technical, balance and gameplay issues these days, Brave Soldiers delivers what is a nice, franchise - based fighting game, at first, i was expecting a simple fighting game with some button mashing, however, the game proved me wrong and i fell in love, the combo system, while easy, is a lot more deep than the one in the Naruto games, with all of the characters having two special attacks, two «burst attacks», a knock - away and a launcher respectively, a throw and an ultimate attack (called a «Big Bang Attack»), every character also has an universal dodge - action that sends them behind their enemies while spending one cosmo bar, making bar management that much precious and shielding you from a half - a-hour combo, unlike in the NUNS series, the fighting and the characters are nicely balanced, with every character being fun to play and viable at the same time, the game runs smoothly without frame - rate issues and the cell - shaded graphics, character models, arenas and effects alike are nice to the eye, battles are divided into rounds, with all the tiny nice stuff like character introductions and outros being intact (fun fact: the characters will even comment on their score after the battle), the game also features an awakening system, called the «Seventh Sense» awakening, unlike the NUNS awakening system which became severely unbalanced in the later game, every character simply gains a damage / defense boost, with the conditions being the same for all characters, eliminating situations when one character can use awakening at almost any point in the battle, or one awakening being drastically stronger than the other, the game has a story mode with three story arcs used to unlock characters, a collection mode, tournament modes, a survival mode, a series of special versus modes and online battle modes.
The gameplay is simple to pick - up and play, and there is a sizable amount of loot to obtain (even if, sadly, only the weapon changes reflect the character model) as well as WoW - like pets to collect and upgrade.
«That simple request cut the number of requests from 30 down to fewer than ten,» said Younger, noting that the need for such requests has dropped even more this year because the fifth - sixth grade teams have adopted a team - teaching model.
«We can't even get a model that meets our first and simplest goal, which was to make this transparent and easy to understand,» says Snapp, adding that he thought the different passing levels would be difficult to explain to parents.
That strong output, along with the broad torque band, makes getting up to speed in the Nissan Juke fairly simpleeven though, at lower speeds, you can overwhelm the driven wheels on front - wheel drive models if you're not careful enough with the gas pedal.
For the test car, the Mercedes C 220 d T - Model even offers a folding electrical system for the rear seats, an operation that can be run ellegantly, by the simple touch of a button.
A simple, three - gauge cluster has highly readable dials with white backgrounds, and even the base model appointments are brushed metal, a nice touch.
Gave my wife a new next generation Kindle just the wi - fi model, I am so jealous, Its great simple and reads better than a book, If we could just get an ebook with an easy screen for READING but could use all formats of e-books and brows the web a little even just facebook winner but for 139 kindle rocks
I would recommend a number of e-readers over this model for the price of $ 139 such as the Kindle with Special Offers, Kobo Touch, Nook Simple Touch Reader, or even the Jetbook Lite.
«Even simple things like distribution channels that are controlled by the carriers with pricing models that are completely upside down to adoption [of a tablet],» he said about the U.S. market.
Even something as pervasive as option modeling does not truly have a simple model, but implied volatility has to be re-estimated regularly for the Black - Scholes Mmodel, but implied volatility has to be re-estimated regularly for the Black - Scholes ModelModel.
Even a Subpar Sage is Pure Genius John Kay discusses how Berkshire Hathaway owes its stellar success to a model that is sustainable and simple, so it is baffling that there are so few imitators.
Even with the benefit of hindsight, it is hard to come up with a simple valuation timing model that doesn't suffer from decade - long dry spells of underperformance.
It even shows the savings of the two stage model over the simple model.
Ralph Lauren also partnered with the ASPCA and even used adoptable dogs as their models — the American Beagle site does not say whether the current dog models are looking for loving homes or if they're simple in it for the stylish swag.
The journey back in time, and to a simpler life, begins the moment you step outside the terminal building, however, as in the parking lot there are Hindustan Ambassadors (the iconic Indian car modelled on a Morris Oxford), auto - rickshaws, cycle rickshaws, and even an occasional wandering cow!
The models are probably simple enough for even a vanishingly tiny studio to faithfully recreate, so maybe we'll see some loving tributes to the blocky dwarves of Final Fantasy VII in the near future.
Often a simple model may give you the best insight even if it doesn't give the best agreement.
The simpler models it seems to me are also subject to uncertainty, even they are at least understandable.
Surely, applying the simple models to the last 1000 years or even the last 100 is better.
Some of them are optimal fingerprint detection studies (estimating the magnitude of fingerprints for different external forcing factors in observations, and determining how likely such patterns could have occurred in observations by chance, and how likely they could be confused with climate response to other influences, using a statistically optimal metric), some of them use simpler methods, such as comparisons between data and climate model simulations with and without greenhouse gas increases / anthropogenic forcing, and some are even based only on observations.
This science is more than half a century old; it is in any textbook; the I.P.C.C. even as an «official» log forcing function that is widely used in simple policy analysis models.
Even really simple, naive models do a good job of reproducing climate.
To make matters more difficult, even a simple mechanistic model (AFRC Wheat) containing good science in it sub-modules, struggles if fed less than perfect data : http://www.nottingham.ac.uk/environmental-modelling/Roger%20Payne.pdf Given the imperfect nature of real - world data, could AFRC wheat ever be shown to be wrong?
Let's agree that a simple «Global Conveyor» is an inadequate, even misleading model of circulation.
My point was that, if we accept this basic story (it's too simple, even as an account of how cultural cognition works; but that's in the nature of «models» & should give us pause only when the simplification detracts from rather than enhances our ability to predict and manage the dynamics of the phenomenon in question), then there's no reason to view the valences of the cultural meanings attached to crediting climate change risk as fixed or immutable.
Each model run under those circumstances «should» be exact and perfect, but each will be a bit different even in the ideal case of a simple stress - strain issue.
It used a simple mathematical model, and IPCC data, to suggest that even if CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere doubled, which might take the rest of the century, average global temperature would not rise by much more than 1 degree Celsius.
One might even find that the output of this complex sytem model could be approximated to a relatively simple linear system with feedback just as complex socioeconomic sytems are often modelled.
Within economics modelling, attempts to model the feedback mechanisms that occur in the real economy are also really difficult — we know, for example, that investment in new technologies will act as an incentive for the existing technologies it hopes to substitute to become more efficient (the sailing ship effect — i.e. in the 50 years after the introduction of the steam ship, sailing ships made more efficiency improvements than they had in the previous 3 centuries) but how to quantify something even as simple as this is not easy BUT we have learnt a few ways to give sensible (order of magnitude) figures with time lags, the learning by doing effect and phased - in substitution effects based on massive amounts of data.
What warmists hate about Dr. Soon is the fact that his «irreducibly simple model» works, and even worse, cost taxpayers nothing, while the 70 + «The C02 Did - It» computer are laughably inaccurate and shockingly expensive.
You'll note my original comment stated chemistry was largely phenomenology «other than quantum chemistry calculations» - maybe quantum chemistry is more prevalent now than it was back when I worked in the field, but I don't believe even now it's what spectroscopists do most of the time - they make measurements and parametrize simple models, they don't work all the time from basic physical principles.
That we can never even in the simplest, zero order, models for climate, neglect miniscule effects to get a first approximation.
If we can't even model simple boundary layer turbulence, how can we expect to model clouds and other complex processes?
Even if the climate system really was a simple energy balance model, the estimation method gives highly inaccurate and strongly biased answers anyway!
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