Sentences with phrase «event attribution assessments»

For event attribution assessments to be most useful, remaining scientific uncertainties need to be robustly assessed and the results clearly communicated.

Not exact matches

Otto, a climate scientist at the University of Oxford, also works with Climate Central's World Weather Attribution program, which attempts to conduct rapid attribution assessments in the days and weeks afteAttribution program, which attempts to conduct rapid attribution assessments in the days and weeks afteattribution assessments in the days and weeks after an event.

Some attribution assessments that link events to dynamically driven changes in circulation have been criticized on the grounds that small signal - to - noise ratios, modeling deficiencies, and uncertainties in the effects of climate forcings on circulation render conclusions unreliable and prone to downplaying the role of anthropogenic change.

The paper considers the necessary components of a prospective event attribution system, reviews some specific case studies made to date (Autumn 2000 UK floods, summer 2003 European heatwave, annual 2008 cool US temperatures, July 2010 Western Russia heatwave) and discusses the challenges involved in developing systems to provide regularly updated and reliable attribution assessments of unusual or extreme weather and climate - related events.

Although the demand for attribution assessments is higher shortly after an event occurs, most scientific studies become available several months later.

A week after the event the climateprediction.net team, together with the World Weather Attribution team, provided an initial assessment of the influence of anthropogenic climate change on the likelihood of one - day precipitation events averaged over an area encompassing northern England and southern Scotland using data and methods available immediately after the event occurred.