For the particularly worry - prone, note that most policies will pay out in
the event of a volcanic eruption.
On the off chance, then, an observation: why would an escape clause be needed in
the event of a volcanic eruption?
Not exact matches
A series
of Cataclysmic
events will take place, to mention a few, earthquakes, Yellowstone, the coming California earthquake August 9, 2011, the earth wobble, the
volcanic eruptions, the oceans rising, the earth splinting open spilling lava all over, the atmosphere will be consumed killing all living things.
The first 110,000 annual layers
of snow in that ice core (GISP2) have been visually counted and corroborated by two to three different and independent methods as well as by correlation with
volcanic eruptions and other datable
events.
By contrast,
volcanic eruptions occurring in the 2,000 years before that can not be dated reliably, while the dates
of even older
volcanic events can be determined relatively accurately using the C14 method.
And secondly, the previously undetermined traces
of volcanic eruptions that could not be assigned to any particular
event or volcano
eruption, can now be clearly traced to their origin.
Such
eruptions, which expel enormous quantities
of magma, are the largest
volcanic events on earth.
«As it's not possible to always successfully predict
volcanic events due to the lack
of complete knowledge
of the signals leading to catastrophes, these results are an important new finding and ultimately we hope they will contribute to our understanding
of where and when the next
volcanic eruption will be.»
Here we are not dealing with large
volcanic eruptions of the size
of Pinatubo
of Mount St. Helens, here we are talking about extreme
events: The Toba caldera in the Sumatra subduction zone in Indonesia originated from one
of the largest
volcanic eruption in recent Earth history, about 74,000 years ago.
The
eruption was the most deadly and economically destructive
volcanic event in the history
of the United States.
Beyond human activity, tropical sea surface temperatures further back in time are affected by
volcanic eruptions, changes in the intensity
of sunlight and natural
events like El Niño.
She offers a fascinating history
of how catastrophic natural
events — including the Lisbon earthquake
of 1755, Iceland's Laki
volcanic eruption in 1783 (SN: 2/17/15, p. 29) and Hurricane Katrina in 2005 — have shaped politics, culture and society.
The finding supports previous research suggesting that colossal
volcanic eruptions in what's now Siberia, about 300,000 years before the onset
of the extinction
event, probably triggered the die - off
of nearly all marine species and two - thirds
of species living on land (SN: 9/19/15, p. 10).
Volcanic eruptions are some
of the most violent
events on Earth... but seen from space, they take on an eerie and forbidding beauty.
The researchers were able to show a recurring close timing between such
events and the dates
of major
volcanic eruptions.
Over the history
of the planet, there have been many sudden peaks in CO2 related to
volcanic eruptions, releases from hydrothermal vents, and other natural
events.
Nutrient - rich ash from an enormous flare - up
of volcanic eruptions toward the end
of the dinosaurs» reign kicked off a chain
of events that led to the formation
of shale gas and oil fields from Texas to Montana.
Infrasound signals can remain strong as they travel over large distances, making them useful for pinpointing the location and size
of events such as nuclear explosions, meteorite strikes,
volcanic eruptions and sometimes earthquake ruptures.
These datasets will be used to improve strategic and hazard - warning capabilities
of events in near real - time, such as tracking plumes from dust storms,
volcanic eruptions, and wildfires.
«Most
of these
events have been blamed, at various times, on
volcanic eruptions and asteroids impacts.
The historic temperature pattern we observed has abrupt dips that match the emissions
of known explosive
volcanic eruptions; the particulates from such
events reflect sunlight, make for beautiful sunsets and cool the earth's surface for a few years.
The most explosive
volcanic event of the Quaternary was the
eruption of Mt. Toba, Sumatra, 75,000 y ago, which produced voluminous ash deposits found across much
of the Indian Ocean, Indian Peninsula, and South China Sea.
But despite that steady climb, not every year is warmer than the one before it, thanks to the vagaries
of weather, the influence
of natural climate cycles, and the effects
of events like
volcanic eruptions.
One example that I wasn't previously aware
of, were the climate
events of 536 AD — «dry fogs», crop failures, «dim suns» and yellow snow etc. — features consistent with a large
volcanic eruption, possibly near the site
of Krakatoa — and which correlates with evidence
of a sulphate peak in the North GRIP ice core at the same time.
Investigation
of ash sediments from recent Mt. Pinatubo
eruptions and other major
volcanic events show a signature
of mass independent isotope ratios
of sulfur, while sediment from minor
eruption does not.
Volcanic eruptions and impacts from celestial bodies, like asteroids, have a near instantaneous effect, but very few
of these one - time
events are
of sufficient size to impact the global climate for more than a few years.
Zooming in on the period after 1970, one sees a record
of largely unabated warming, with temperatures increasing steadily accompanied by some short - term variability driven by El Niño and La Niña
events, and also by major
volcanic eruptions like Pinatubo in 1992.
What is your level
of confidence in the prediction made by GISS: «barring the unlikely
event of a large
volcanic eruption, a record global temperature clearly exceeding that
of 2005 can be expected within the next 2 - 3 years.»
«While
volcanic eruptions are natural
events, it was the timing
of these that had such a noticeable effect on the trend.
Most homeowner policies cover direct damages that result from
volcanic eruptions, but do not cover floods or earthquakes that occur as a separate
event, or in the aftermath
of a
volcanic eruption.
The same forces that led to the most recent major
volcanic event (a devastating 1957
eruption on the island
of Faial that sent a wave
of refugees to the U.S. and beyond) also make the Azores one
of Europe's best destinations for mineral hot springs and geothermally - heated ocean lagoons.
We therefore don't know what specific type, frequency or size
of volcanic precursors — that is,
events that precede an
eruption — to look for with Agung volcano.
We are emitting carbon dioxide 10 times faster than one
of the world's largest known
volcanic eruptions (the Deccan Traps) that was implicated in the Cretaceous - Tertiary extinction
event 65 million years ago.
The computer models deal with the actual energy and matter flows within, and in and out
of the system, and do not account for random geological or cosmological
events, such as
volcanic eruptions or asteroid impacts, solar disturbances, etc..
(For those «coming in in the middle» — assuming any such are still reading — this subthread began with a link I provided discussing the vulnerability our complex society bears WRT to very large
volcanic eruptions, in the context
of the robustness
of some Stone Age populations who «thrived» during the
event — albeit at a considerable distance!)
So when you put cooling natural
volcanic eruptions in 1982 and 1991 together with a warming natural strong El Nino in 1998 you get a slight upward tilt to the global temperature graph, but it's entirely due to the dominace
of natural
events.
-- change, not stability, is the defining characteristic
of the global climate, with naturally occurring
events (e.g.,
volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, tsunamis) much more likely to affect climate than anything humans do
Since we can not examine the real world in the absence
of forcings (there is always solar variability,
volcanic eruptions, orbital forcing and random
events like asteriod impacts), it is a valid working hypothesis to assume the models are reasonable.
Such an
event is suggestive
of a
volcanic dust veil or ash cloud observed from Constantinople, possibly from a Mediterranean
eruption.
I think there is an important context here that is easy to lose in all
of the emphasis on the thing that the trees don't appear to be doing well w / (i.e. the response to the high - frequency cooling
events associated primarily with explosive
volcanic eruptions): that's, the thing that the trees appear to be doing remarkably well with, i.e. capturing the long - term trends and low - frequency variability that is predicted by the climate model simulations.
One example that I wasn't previously aware
of, were the climate
events of 536 AD — «dry fogs», crop failures, «dim suns» and yellow snow etc. — features consistent with a large
volcanic eruption, possibly near the site
of Krakatoa — and which correlates with evidence
of a sulphate peak in the North GRIP ice core at the same time.
When we tried to reconstruct past climate patterns we learned that there was this interesting relationship between past very large
volcanic eruptions and the timing
of some
of the large El Nino
events in past centuries.
In fact, climate models are tested against historic trends, both near history and distant history, and then tested against specific
events, such as the effects
of volcanic eruption.
REMOVING THE LINEAR EFFECTS
OF ENSO AND VOLCANIC AEROSOLS HELP TO SHOW THE TIMING OF THE WARMING Many papers and blog posts that attempt to prove the existence of anthropogenic global warming remove the obvious linear effects of El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and of stratospheric aerosols discharged by explosive volcanic eruption
OF ENSO AND
VOLCANIC AEROSOLS HELP TO SHOW THE TIMING OF THE WARMING Many papers and blog posts that attempt to prove the existence of anthropogenic global warming remove the obvious linear effects of El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and of stratospheric aerosols discharged by explosive volcanic er
VOLCANIC AEROSOLS HELP TO SHOW THE TIMING
OF THE WARMING Many papers and blog posts that attempt to prove the existence of anthropogenic global warming remove the obvious linear effects of El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and of stratospheric aerosols discharged by explosive volcanic eruption
OF THE WARMING Many papers and blog posts that attempt to prove the existence
of anthropogenic global warming remove the obvious linear effects of El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and of stratospheric aerosols discharged by explosive volcanic eruption
of anthropogenic global warming remove the obvious linear effects
of El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and of stratospheric aerosols discharged by explosive volcanic eruption
of El Niño - Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
events and
of stratospheric aerosols discharged by explosive volcanic eruption
of stratospheric aerosols discharged by explosive
volcanic er
volcanic eruptions.
In the abstract
of Trenberth et al (2002), they write, «The 1976/1977 climate shift and the effects
of two major
volcanic eruptions in the past 2 decades are reflected in different evolution
of ENSO
events.
Volcanic eruptions represent one kind
of natural
event whose lofting
of sulfur dioxide high into the stratosphere can create tiny particles that can have a temporary cooling effect.
Their causes range from completely unpredictable
events like
volcanic eruptions (which have mainly local effects) to more regular phenomena such as «El Niño» (a warming
of the surface waters
of the tropical Pacific that occurs every three to five years, temporarily affecting weather world - wide).
This reminds me
of the time I mixed uncorrected radiocarbon dates with corrected ones, and got a bit skewed distribution
of volcanic events, though I tried to correct for observational bias on earlier and smaller
eruptions.
The iconic climate curve, a combination
of observed land and ocean temperatures, has quite a few ups and downs, most
of which climate scientists can easily associate with natural phenomena such as large
volcanic eruptions or El Nino
events.
I assumed that large volcano
eruption certainly an peak
event in terms
of the global weather - so
volcanic eruption has cause it snow in summer - big global weather change.