There're tons of different robots, which submitting resumes using keyword
exact match method and so on..
Not exact matches
The
method you'll read here for making sourdough starter isn't an
exact match for the one you read on another site, or in a cookbook, or in your great - grandma's diary.
By contrast, both an objective Bayesian
method using Jeffreys» prior and the SRLR
method will provide
exact probability
matching whatever distribution of sample ages the process that actually generated the sample produces.
The key point here is that the objective Bayesian and the SRLR
methods both provide
exact probability
matching whatever the true calendar date of the sample is (provided it is not near the end of the calibration curve).
How do the SRLR and objective Bayesian
methods provide
exact probability
matching for each individual calendar date?
Demonstrating that Bayesian inference using Jeffreys prior and inference using likelihood ratios gives
exact probability
matching and hence accurate CIs, whereas subjective Bayesian
methods don't except in a special, unrealistic, case, shakes them up a bit and hopefully makes them think again.
For both variants of the uniform prior subjective Bayesian
method, probability
matching is nothing like
exact except in the unrealistic case where the sample is drawn equally from the entire calibration range — in which case over-coverage errors in some regions on average cancel out with under - coverage errors in other regions, probably reflecting the near symmetrical form of the stylised overall calibration curve.